Renewed Calm in Libya Attracts Lucrative Foreign Investments

An unfinished hotel, after its construction was halted in 2011, is seen in the Libyan capital Tripoli, Libya, on Aug. 13, 2021. (AFP)
An unfinished hotel, after its construction was halted in 2011, is seen in the Libyan capital Tripoli, Libya, on Aug. 13, 2021. (AFP)
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Renewed Calm in Libya Attracts Lucrative Foreign Investments

An unfinished hotel, after its construction was halted in 2011, is seen in the Libyan capital Tripoli, Libya, on Aug. 13, 2021. (AFP)
An unfinished hotel, after its construction was halted in 2011, is seen in the Libyan capital Tripoli, Libya, on Aug. 13, 2021. (AFP)

A decade after Libya descended into chaos, a host of countries are eyeing potential multi-billion-dollar infrastructure projects in the oil-rich nation if stability is assured.

In the capital Tripoli, dozens of rusted cranes and unfinished buildings dot the seafront, testimony to hundreds of abandoned projects worth billions of dollars launched between 2000 and 2010.

Reconstruction might kick off again with the end of fighting on the outskirts of the capital and the establishment of a unified executive authority in March to lead the transition.

Economist Kamal Mansouri expects Libya’s reconstruction drive to be one of the biggest in the Middle East and North Africa. He estimates “more than $100 billion” are needed to rebuild Libya.

Turkey, Italy and Egypt are tipped to be awarded the lion’s share of reconstruction deals.

Samuel Ramani, an expert on Africa at Oxford University, said that the competition over reconstruction in Libya will be fiercer in comparison to Syria.

Italy aims to defend its commercial interests in the nation with Africa’s largest oil reserves, an energy sector where ENI has been the leading foreign player since 1959.

The firm reportedly proposes building a photovoltaic solar plant in southern Libya.

In June, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez also visited with a business team, while Libyan Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dbeibeh has traveled to Paris.

Algeria’s Sonatrach recently announced that it was considering resuming its activities while Tunisian officials have intensified calls to revive cooperation.

Talks between Egypt and Libya were also held. Libya was a key market for Egypt before 2011, especially in the construction field.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.