Turkish Hotels to Close Early after UK ‘Red List’ Dashes Hopes

Boats are placed away from a marina as a measure against wildfires near Marmaris, Turkey, August 3, 2021. (Reuters)
Boats are placed away from a marina as a measure against wildfires near Marmaris, Turkey, August 3, 2021. (Reuters)
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Turkish Hotels to Close Early after UK ‘Red List’ Dashes Hopes

Boats are placed away from a marina as a measure against wildfires near Marmaris, Turkey, August 3, 2021. (Reuters)
Boats are placed away from a marina as a measure against wildfires near Marmaris, Turkey, August 3, 2021. (Reuters)

When Britain announced Turkey would stay on its “red list” of travel destinations last week, Onur Arican decided to close his boutique hotel on the Aegean coast early this year rather than wait out a summer season derailed by COVID-19 and wildfires.

In 2019, Britain was Turkey’s third-biggest source of tourists with 2.5 million visitors that year, most of whom flocked to the Turquoise Coast near Bodrum and Marmaris, where Arican runs his 19-room Mavi Yengec hotel.

This year the number of British guests was down by two thirds compared to 2019, Arican said, and he was forced to cut a third of his staff.

Offering discounts to vacationing Turks has kept the business going, but alcohol sales were down sharply and he hadn’t bothered to open up his biggest room, he said.

Britain imposed COVID-19 travel restrictions on Turkey in October last year and added it to its “red list” in May, forcing all travelers to quarantine in a hotel upon return.

Hundreds of hotel owners and travel agencies in on Turkey’s southern coast had hoped it would drop the designation last week as a last chance to save the season, but Britain decided to extend the restriction until its next review expected on Sept. 15 or 16.

“Britain’s red list opened a fresh can of worms for Turkish tourism,” said Arican. “Due to the absence of the Britons, we will close on September 15 or maybe even earlier.”

Turkey’s tourism season typically ends in November. The sector drives more than 10% of the economy, attracting hard currencies vital to offsetting a heavy trade deficit.

Foreign arrivals jumped fourfold from last year thanks to holidaymakers from Russia, Germany and Arab countries, but they remain well off 2019 levels.

A spate of wildfires last month in which nine people were killed had already forced many hotels in areas around Marmaris, Fethiye, Dalaman and Kusadasi to close early.

Yet it was Britain’s decision on travel restrictions that many took as the nail in the coffin for the summer season of 2021.

In Marmaris alone, about 600 hotels are expected to shut in coming days due to London’s decision last week, said Bulent Bulbuloglu, chairman of the South Aegean Hoteliers Union.

“They were all waiting for a last chance for the season, but after Britain’s latest update most of them will be closed by the first days of September,” he said. Many will struggle to survive until next season, he added.

Hotels in the region met with banks and the tourism minister two weeks ago to discuss loan restructuring.

Bank regulator data shows total loans of 114.5 billion lira ($13.8 billion) in Turkey’s hotel industry, with non-performing loans at 4.5 billion lira ($541 million) at the end of July.

Can Tolga Eroglu, owner of three hotels near Marmaris, said only 25 of his 118 total rooms are occupied. Usually 90% of his guests are from Britain.

“Hotels should have 95% occupancy rate these months,” Eroglu said. “Because Turkey was kept on the red list, many facilities will decide to close. Marmaris seems to have its worst August and September.”

Menderes Akbulut, general manager of Koral Travel, which mainly serves the British market, said many small hotels have already begun to close. “If Britons came, the season would continue until mid-November,” he said.



China Carefully Assembling a Deep-sea Mining Strategy

So-called polymetallic nodules like those seen in this 2016 photograph from Japan are at the heart of the race to mine ocean floors for valuable minerals and metals. HO / JAMSTEC/AFP
So-called polymetallic nodules like those seen in this 2016 photograph from Japan are at the heart of the race to mine ocean floors for valuable minerals and metals. HO / JAMSTEC/AFP
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China Carefully Assembling a Deep-sea Mining Strategy

So-called polymetallic nodules like those seen in this 2016 photograph from Japan are at the heart of the race to mine ocean floors for valuable minerals and metals. HO / JAMSTEC/AFP
So-called polymetallic nodules like those seen in this 2016 photograph from Japan are at the heart of the race to mine ocean floors for valuable minerals and metals. HO / JAMSTEC/AFP

In a world hungry for crucial resources, China may not be poised to start deep-sea mining but it is planting seeds for such operations in a meticulously planned economic and geopolitical strategy.

The world's oceans, both international waters and those under national jurisdiction, are rich in minerals and metals, like cobalt, nickel and copper.

These are important for building electric car batteries, for instance, and other technologies as countries try to transition away from fossil fuels.

China "is an energy-thirsty country. It will look for resources everywhere," including the deep sea, said Julia Xue of Shanghai Jiao Tong University.

But she said China is not particularly anxious over the issue, although recent developments -- one company is itching to be the first to start mining the sea bed -- may put more pressure on Beijing.

A Canadian firm, The Metals Company, has filed an application with the United States to begin undersea mining in international waters.

Using its American subsidiary, it acted after President Donald Trump, bypassing international negotiations, signed an executive order in April to speed up the permit-issuing process for such mining in US and international waters.

Trump cited an obscure 1980 US law that says American citizens can explore for and recover deep sea minerals in areas beyond the country's jurisdiction.

Environmental groups are outraged by Trump's order, arguing that a wild hunt for the potato-sized, metal-containing nodules could harm fragile undersea ecosystems.

The Canadian company initially said it would submit its request to the International Seabed Authority (ISA), a body which has jurisdiction over the ocean floor in international waters.

The Metals Company says it ignored this authority because of its slow pace in talks on adopting a mining code that establishes rules for exploiting seabed resources. The United States is not an ISA member.

A long-time observer of those talks who spoke on condition of anonymity said China is not particularly worried about who starts mining first.

"For them it's more about dominance, staying competitive in the game, and giving the impression that you can't mess with us," the observer said.

With that goal in mind "they're definitely developing the technology and putting the strategic agreements in place," Alex Gilbert, a researcher at the Payne Institute for Public Policy at Colorado School of Mines, told AFP.

For instance, China has reached an agreement with the Cook Islands to explore for minerals in that Pacific country's waters.

Another tiny Pacific nation, Kiribati, also says it is exploring a deep-sea mining partnership with China.

This approach is "more geopolitical than economic," said Emmanuel Hache of the French Institute for International and Strategic Affairs, noting Beijing is using undersea mining as a lure to cement greater diplomatic support as it exerts power.

China holds five contracts handed out by the ISA to look for resources in the Pacific and Indian Ocean sea beds and these contracts cover all types of undersea mineral resources. China's is the largest number of the 22 contracts the organization has granted.

Years behind

"From a research perspective, we have been continuously getting closer. And from a technical perspective, we have been continuously improving," said Chen Xuguang, a researcher at Ocean University of China.

In 2024 a Chinese prototype deep-sea mining vehicle called Pioneer II, developed by Shanghai Jiao Tong University, set a national record by operating at a depth of more than 4,000 meters (13,100 feet).

State-owned Beijing Pioneer Hi-Tech Development Corporation told AFP that later this year it plans a seabed nodule collection test.

Still, China is not as advanced technologically as The Metals Company, experts say.

"I would characterize China as being two to four years behind them in terms of their technology," said Gilbert in Colorado.

Hache, the French expert, put the gap at five years.

But China has an advantage over firms like the Canadian one in recovering and processing nodules: its companies are supported by the state and China has infrastructure for processing metals.

The observer of the international seabed talks said China does not need seabed mining for metal supply, "but maybe geopolitically, in the context of maintaining their control over the commodities market."

China wants to keep its options open, this person said.

And while it supports an international mining code, China does not need one now and "they're not going to put pressure until they've decided strategically that they're ready," said Gilbert.