Egypt Reviews with UN Officials ‘Negative Impact’ of GERD

Egyptian Minister of Water Resources Mohamed Abdel-Aty meets with a delegation of international organizations working in the field of water resources (Ministry of Water Resources)
Egyptian Minister of Water Resources Mohamed Abdel-Aty meets with a delegation of international organizations working in the field of water resources (Ministry of Water Resources)
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Egypt Reviews with UN Officials ‘Negative Impact’ of GERD

Egyptian Minister of Water Resources Mohamed Abdel-Aty meets with a delegation of international organizations working in the field of water resources (Ministry of Water Resources)
Egyptian Minister of Water Resources Mohamed Abdel-Aty meets with a delegation of international organizations working in the field of water resources (Ministry of Water Resources)

Egypt reviewed with UN officials the negative impact of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on the Nile River, stressing its keenness to reach an agreement that preserves its "water rights" and meets the aspirations of all the countries.

Egypt and Sudan have been in vain negotiations with Ethiopia for the last decade, aiming to reach an agreement on filling and operating the dam on the main tributary of the Nile.

The UN Security Council has called on the three countries to resume negotiations under the auspices of the African Union (AU), stressing the need to reach a "binding agreement on the filling and operation of the GERD" within a reasonable timetable.

Egypt, along with Sudan, wants to conclude a legally binding agreement regulating the filling and operation of the dam, while Ethiopia rejects the proposal stressing its right to "development."

Egyptian Minister of Water Resources Mohamed Abdel-Aty met on Tuesday with a delegation of international organizations working on water resources management, headed by the UN Resident Coordinator in Egypt, Elena Panova.

The meeting was also attended by representatives of the European Union and several diplomats from the embassies of the US, UK, Germany, the Netherlands, and Finland.

Abdel-Aty presented Egypt's strategy and plan for water management until 2050 to face the adverse effects of climate change.

He explained that Egypt has limited renewable water resources from the Nile River and received limited amounts of rainwater and groundwater in the deserts, indicating that the shortage is compensated by reusing agricultural drainage water and surface groundwater and importing food products.

The Minister presented the Egyptian water sector's challenges amid a population increase and climate change.

He pointed out that the volume of rainwater in Ethiopia amounts to more than 935 billion cubic meters of water annually and that 94 percent of Ethiopia's land is green. In contrast, the green land in Egypt is only 4 percent.

Ethiopia owns more than 100 million head of livestock and consumes 4 billion cubic meters of water annually, equal to the share of Egypt and Sudan combined.

He stressed Cairo's keenness to complete the negotiations while emphasizing Egypt's water rights, and reiterated the need to reach a just and binding agreement for all that meets the aspirations of all countries.

He emphasized that the dam and its impact on Nile River waters is one of the significant challenges facing Egypt nowadays, especially in light of the unilateral measures taken by Ethiopia regarding the filling and operation and the resulting negative repercussions.



Erbil Mediation in Syria Hinges on Sidelining the PKK

Kurdish fighters aboard Syrian Democratic Forces military vehicles flash victory signs in Hasakah (AP)
Kurdish fighters aboard Syrian Democratic Forces military vehicles flash victory signs in Hasakah (AP)
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Erbil Mediation in Syria Hinges on Sidelining the PKK

Kurdish fighters aboard Syrian Democratic Forces military vehicles flash victory signs in Hasakah (AP)
Kurdish fighters aboard Syrian Democratic Forces military vehicles flash victory signs in Hasakah (AP)

Mediation efforts led from Iraq’s Kurdistan region are gathering pace to avert a new escalation in northeastern Syria, as Damascus presses ahead with a Turkish-backed military campaign and Ankara seeks guarantees that Kurdish forces will be severed from the Kurdistan Workers Party.

The Syrian Democratic Forces have lost areas previously under their control following a military operation launched by Damascus and strongly backed by Ankara, aimed at asserting control over all Syrian territory, as Kurdish factions demand what they describe as fair representation in government.

Observers tend to believe Türkiye’s motivation for supporting the Syrian army’s offensive stems from fears that Kurdish self-rule in Syria could pave the way for secession. Ankara has repeatedly threatened to launch a military operation against Syrian Kurdish areas near its border unless SDF forces are integrated into the Syrian army.

Part of the solution

Politicians in Erbil are pushing to support political tracks that respect good neighborly relations with Türkiye and guarantee the rights of all components in Syria.

Dlawar Faeq, an adviser to the Kurdistan Regional Government, told Asharq Al-Awsat that Kurds in the Kurdistan region would remain part of the solution and a factor of stability in the region, as they have been since 1991.

Faeq said the vision of Kurds in Iraq’s Kurdistan aligns with a new, democratic, constitutional Syria that guarantees the rights of ethnic and religious components, while upholding principles of good neighborliness with Türkiye and other regional states and non-interference in internal affairs.

Kurds in the Kurdistan region are in contact with parties to the Syrian conflict, including actors in self-administration areas, authorities in Damascus, and the United States, Faeq said, adding that the goal of these contacts is to reach a permanent settlement.

In recent weeks, Masoud Barzani has held several contacts with Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa, US envoy Tom Barrack, and SDF commander Mazloum Abdi to bolster civil peace through dialogue and mutual understanding, according to statements issued by the Kurdistan Democratic Party since the crisis erupted.

Faeq warned that a military solution would harm Syria’s components and the Syrian state and could increase the likelihood of remnants of ISIS regrouping.

PKK as an obstacle

Despite these efforts, the Kurdistan Workers Party has emerged as a significant obstacle to ongoing understandings.

Abdulsalam Brwari, a member of the Kurdistan Democratic Party, said Erbil’s efforts to resolve the crisis and prevent escalation continue. Still, Türkiye views the situation with Syrian Kurds through the lens of the PKK, which has waged an armed insurgency against it for years.

Türkiye has launched a peace process with the outlawed party, conditional on its disarmament, but clashes in northern Syria now threaten to undermine negotiations between the two sides.

While Erbil understands Ankara’s concerns, it is trying to correct misunderstandings surrounding the Kurdish issue.

Brwari said Kurdish rights in Türkiye and Syria predate even the emergence of the PKK, adding that resolving the issue with the Kurdish people would eliminate any pretexts for escalation.

He described Erbil’s relations with Ankara as good, saying the Kurdistan region is working with Türkiye and the international community to resolve the issue between Syrian Kurds and the Syrian government, calling this the priority.

Developments involving Syrian Kurds have had repercussions inside Türkiye, where hundreds took part in angry protests against military operations in northeastern Syria.

This prompted Turkish authorities in the southeastern province of Mardin, bordering Syria, to impose a six-day ban on all protests and events on Monday.

Mediation moves slowly

Soran al-Dawoudi, a leader in the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, said Iraq’s Kurdistan region is likely seeking to play an undeclared mediating role between Türkiye and Syrian Kurds, but within carefully calculated limits.

He told Asharq Al-Awsat that this complex role is primarily based on strong political and economic relations with Ankara, and longstanding communication channels with Syrian Kurdish actors, particularly those outside the influence of the PKK.

Al-Dawoudi said there are quiet, unofficial contacts between Erbil and influential Kurdish figures aimed at narrowing differences. Still, these face key obstacles, most notably Türkiye’s stance toward the People’s Protection Units, the armed wing of the Democratic Union Party and the backbone of the Syrian Democratic Forces, which Ankara views as an extension of the PKK.

He also pointed to another division deepening the crisis within the Syrian Kurdish arena between the Syrian Democratic Forces on one side and the Kurdish National Council on the other.

Despite attempts by the Kurdistan region to sustain dialogue, al-Dawoudi said the impact of this mediation remains limited and is moving slowly.

Still, the repeated arrival of key figures involved in the crisis in Erbil has fueled optimism among politicians such as al-Dawoudi that the city could serve as a suitable venue for genuine understanding among Damascus, Ankara, the Kurdish parties, and Washington.


Hamas Gets Mediator Assurances on Rafah Reopening, Israel Seeks Delay

Palestinians walk on Wednesday amid the rubble of residential buildings destroyed by Israel in Gaza City (Reuters)
Palestinians walk on Wednesday amid the rubble of residential buildings destroyed by Israel in Gaza City (Reuters)
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Hamas Gets Mediator Assurances on Rafah Reopening, Israel Seeks Delay

Palestinians walk on Wednesday amid the rubble of residential buildings destroyed by Israel in Gaza City (Reuters)
Palestinians walk on Wednesday amid the rubble of residential buildings destroyed by Israel in Gaza City (Reuters)

As Hamas says it has received firm assurances from mediators, including the US, that the Rafah border crossing between the Gaza Strip and Egypt will reopen, Israeli media report that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government is working to slow the move as much as possible.

Sources from Hamas told Asharq Al-Awsat that the information and assurances received by the movement indicate that “the Rafah crossing will open during the current week, with Thursday the most likely date.”

Israeli media, however, offered conflicting timelines. While the public broadcaster said the crossing would open on Thursday, the Walla news site reported that it would reopen next Sunday.

According to Hamas sources, mediators have provided reassurances that the crossing will indeed open. They said that since efforts began to recover the body of the last Israeli captive, and after it was found, Hamas leaders were told the crossing would be reopened during the current week.

Entry of the Gaza Administration Committee

One Hamas source told Asharq Al-Awsat that it is “likely that some members of the Gaza Administration Committee will be allowed to enter the Strip through the Rafah crossing in the coming days” to hold meetings with Hamas government officials, in preparation for assuming some governmental duties as an initial step toward transferring authority to the committee.

The Palestinian Authority and the European Union mission have confirmed their readiness to begin operating at the crossing immediately under the terms of the 2005 agreement.

While Hamas sources say the crossing “is supposed to open under a full-movement mechanism as stipulated in the agreement,” Netanyahu said at a press conference on Tuesday that it would open in a limited manner and under agreed arrangements, allowing a specific daily number of Palestinians to enter and exit.

Netanyahu added that “Israel will maintain full security control over the crossing and over the entire Gaza Strip.”

What does complete security control mean?

Netanyahu’s remarks about “full security control” have raised widespread questions and concerns among Palestinian factions over how Israel intends to implement such control.

Factional sources estimate that Israel “may seek to remain along the so-called yellow line, which would allow it to retain control over more than 53% of Gaza’s territory.”

They said that while the conditions of the second phase call for an Israeli withdrawal to the limits of the buffer zone, Netanyahu’s government has linked that step to the disarmament of Hamas, an issue still under discussion and likely to face significant obstacles.

If the conditions of the second phase are not implemented, Israel may seek to impose security control by expanding its military presence inside Gaza and taking control of additional areas west of the yellow line, particularly in the north and east of the enclave, while maintaining its military presence in the south.

Even if Israel withdraws, it may seek to maintain a buffer zone larger than that specified in the agreed ceasefire withdrawal maps, extending to more than one kilometer in some areas and possibly up to two kilometers, while remaining smaller in others.

In the event of a withdrawal, Israel would also ensure its continued presence at the Rafah crossing and along the Philadelphi Corridor, which it considers crucial to preventing the smuggling of weapons, explosives, and other materials.

This follows Israel’s destruction of all tunnels along the corridor, strengthening its security grip there, extending to the maritime boundary.

Since Oct. 7, 2023, Israel has exercised complete control over Gaza’s coastal waters, preventing Palestinian fishing boats from approaching those areas or exceeding one nautical mile westward and up to five nautical miles southward toward Egypt’s maritime border.

Sources reiterated their assessment that Israel, by repeatedly emphasizing “full security control,” may aim to carry out surprise targeted killings similar to those conducted in Lebanon, or to strike targets on the pretext that they contain military objectives.

They did not rule out Israel carrying out special operations, including the abduction of faction members deep inside areas controlled by Hamas in Gaza or in the West Bank, to demonstrate its full security control over the enclave.


Putin, Sharaa Talks Focus on Strengthening Bilateral Ties

Russian President Vladimir Putin receives Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa at the Kremlin (DPA)
Russian President Vladimir Putin receives Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa at the Kremlin (DPA)
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Putin, Sharaa Talks Focus on Strengthening Bilateral Ties

Russian President Vladimir Putin receives Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa at the Kremlin (DPA)
Russian President Vladimir Putin receives Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa at the Kremlin (DPA)

The second meeting in three months between Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Russian President Vladimir Putin signaled an apparent rise in confidence and a shared push to fast-track the rebuilding of ties between Damascus and Moscow.

Unlike their first meeting in October, which focused on the historical legacy of bilateral ties and the need to review relations during the era of the ousted president, Bashar al-Assad, the two leaders appeared more at ease during Sharaa’s second visit to Moscow.

Putin received the Syrian president at the Kremlin alongside a high-level Russian delegation and praised what he described as the Syrian leadership’s successes in rebuilding a new Syria, unifying the country, and extending government control across its territory.

Sharaa responded by commending Russia’s active role in maintaining stability in Syria.

The Russian delegation included Defense Minister Andrey Belousov, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, Finance Minister Anton Siluanov, Construction and Housing Minister Irek Faizullin, presidential aide Yuri Ushakov, Deputy Chief of the Presidential Administration Maxim Oreshkin, First Deputy Defense Minister Yunus-Bek Yevkurov, and Dmitry Shugaev, head of the Federal Service for Military-Technical Cooperation.

Admiral Igor Kostyukov, head of the Main Directorate of the Russian General Staff, also took part in the talks.

Kostyukov has previously participated in Russian-Syrian discussions and recently led Russia’s delegation to trilateral talks with the United States and Ukraine in Abu Dhabi.

The composition of the Russian delegation underscored the Kremlin’s level of interest in the visit and the breadth of issues on the agenda.

Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani, Defense Minister Murhaf Abu Qasra, and Secretary-General of the Presidency Maher al-Sharaa accompanied Sharaa.

Opening the meeting, Putin said bilateral relations had continued to develop, noting that the two countries had advanced economic cooperation despite complex conditions.

He pointed to economic growth exceeding 4%, saying it may not be as ambitious as desired but represented tangible progress that should be maintained. Putin added that relations between Moscow and Damascus had seen notable development, crediting Sharaa’s personal efforts.

He congratulated his guest on what he described as growing momentum toward restoring Syria’s territorial unity, calling recent advances by government forces in northeastern Syria a decisive and essential step. Russia, he said, was closely monitoring Syria’s efforts to reassert control over its territory.

Putin told Sharaa that much work remained in reconstruction and rehabilitation, adding that Russian economic institutions, including those in the construction sector, were fully prepared for cooperation.

Sharaa thanked Russia for its role in stabilizing the situation, saying Moscow played a critical part in that process. He expressed hope for productive talks and said the two sides shared many common issues.

He said Syria had overcome several significant challenges over the past year, most recently unifying its territory, and that Damascus was seeking to move from destruction toward stability and peace.

Sharaa also noted that the following day would mark one year since the first Russian delegation visited Syria after the start of the new era, referring to a visit by Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov that paved the way for dialogue and the rebuilding of ties.

On bilateral issues, the two presidents discussed increased cooperation among relevant ministries in areas such as industry, humanitarian affairs, sports, medicine, and construction.

In their public remarks, the leaders avoided contentious topics such as the future of Russian military bases in Syria. However, the Kremlin had indicated ahead of the meeting that the issue would be discussed.

They also did not publicly address the situation along Syria’s coast, where tensions persist amid accusations that figures linked to the former regime and now based in Russia are attempting to destabilize the area.

Sources have previously said Sharaa may seek the extradition of some second- and third-tier figures involved in unrest.

Other sources said Damascus had prepared lists of former regime figures with whom reconciliation could be pursued, a proposal previously encouraged by Moscow.

The situation in northeastern Syria was also expected to feature in closed-door talks, particularly after Russia withdrew from Qamishli airport two days before the visit, reportedly at Damascus’s request.

A source said Sharaa was also likely to raise the situation in southern Syria, amid Syrian interest in a Russian role that could strengthen Damascus’s position in ongoing negotiations with Israel.

Russian involvement in southern Syria, including possible patrols to curb Israeli incursions and acting as a guarantor between Damascus and Tel Aviv, has been discussed during previous visits.

However, some sources said Israel appeared unenthusiastic about reviving an active Russian role in the area.

Regarding Russian military bases, estimates suggest the two sides may begin discussions on a new arrangement that would see Moscow retain its presence at the Tartous naval facility, a key logistics hub supporting Russia’s operations in Africa and naval movements in the Mediterranean.

Talks are also expected on the Hmeimim air base, with sources anticipating discussions on a new framework involving cooperation to support the rehabilitation of the Syrian army.