Bahrain Central Bank Expects Real GDP to Grow 3.1% in 2021

The Central Bank of Bahrain is seen in Manama, Oct. 27, 2013. (Reuters)
The Central Bank of Bahrain is seen in Manama, Oct. 27, 2013. (Reuters)
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Bahrain Central Bank Expects Real GDP to Grow 3.1% in 2021

The Central Bank of Bahrain is seen in Manama, Oct. 27, 2013. (Reuters)
The Central Bank of Bahrain is seen in Manama, Oct. 27, 2013. (Reuters)

Bahrain's Central Bank Governor, Rasheed Mohammed al-Maraj, said in an interview published on Sunday he expects the real gross domestic product to grow 3.1 percent in 2021.

Bahrain's annual real GDP growth reached 5.7 percent in the second quarter of 2021, pushed by the growth in the non-oil sector resulting from the recovery of the sectors most damaged by the coronavirus pandemic such as transportation and tourism.

The GDP is expected to continue to grow in the third and fourth quarters of 2021, Maraj said.

He noted that international bond issues denominated in US dollars were made with an amount of $4.5 billion during 2021. International bonds worth $1.475 billion were due during the same year.

The governor told local newspaper Albilad that foreign reserves increased to 1.63 billion dinars in September, and they were expected to keep growing because of the expected increase in revenues due to higher oil prices.



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.