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Israel Sees Iranian Atomic Bomb in Five Years, Deal or No Deal

Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett speaks during a memorial ceremony for Israeli soldiers who fell in battle during the 2014 Gaza War, at the Hall of Remembrance of Mount Herzl Military Cemetery in western Jerusalem, Israel, June 20, 2021. (EPA)
Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett speaks during a memorial ceremony for Israeli soldiers who fell in battle during the 2014 Gaza War, at the Hall of Remembrance of Mount Herzl Military Cemetery in western Jerusalem, Israel, June 20, 2021. (EPA)
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Israel Sees Iranian Atomic Bomb in Five Years, Deal or No Deal

Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett speaks during a memorial ceremony for Israeli soldiers who fell in battle during the 2014 Gaza War, at the Hall of Remembrance of Mount Herzl Military Cemetery in western Jerusalem, Israel, June 20, 2021. (EPA)
Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett speaks during a memorial ceremony for Israeli soldiers who fell in battle during the 2014 Gaza War, at the Hall of Remembrance of Mount Herzl Military Cemetery in western Jerusalem, Israel, June 20, 2021. (EPA)

Iran is five years away from developing a nuclear weapon, and international talks due to restart next week will do nothing to slow it down, Israel said on Tuesday, adding it reserved the right to act to protect itself.

Indirect negotiations to revive the 2015 accord, under which Iran agreed to curbs on its nuclear program in return for the lifting of international sanctions, are due to resume in Vienna next Monday after a five-month pause.

Israel long opposed the nuclear deal, but Prime Minister Naftali Bennett's government, in power since June, had previously said it could be open to a new deal with tougher restrictions. In remarks on Tuesday to a security forum, however, he sounded less accommodating.

Bennett described Iran, which denies it is pursuing nuclear arms, as being at "the most advanced stage" of a nuclear weapons program.

"In any event, even if there is a return to a deal, Israel is of course not a party to the deal and Israel is not obligated by the deal," he told the conference, hosted by Reichman University.

Finance Minister Avigdor Lieberman said: "With or without an agreement, Iran will be a nuclear state and have a nuclear weapon within five years, tops."

Israel, itself widely believed to have nuclear weapons, has long argued that the 2015 deal was too weak to prevent Iran from pursuing a bomb. Former US President Donald Trump abandoned the deal in 2018, describing it as too soft, and Iran responded by violating some of the deal's restrictions. President Joe Biden's administration aims to revive it.

Israel has also complained that the nuclear agreement does nothing to rein in Iran's missile program, or hostile activity by Iranian-backed militia.

"The Iranians have encircled the State of Israel with missiles while they sit safely in Tehran," Bennett said. "To chase the terrorist du jour sent by the (Iranian covert) Quds Force does not pay off anymore. We must go for the dispatcher."

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China Releases 3 Americans it Imprisoned for Years, Beijing Says US Returned 4 People to China

The Chinese and United States flags are flown outside the China International Supply Chain Expo in Beijing, Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2024. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
The Chinese and United States flags are flown outside the China International Supply Chain Expo in Beijing, Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2024. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
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China Releases 3 Americans it Imprisoned for Years, Beijing Says US Returned 4 People to China

The Chinese and United States flags are flown outside the China International Supply Chain Expo in Beijing, Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2024. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
The Chinese and United States flags are flown outside the China International Supply Chain Expo in Beijing, Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2024. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)

Three American citizens imprisoned for years by China arrived back in the United States late Wednesday. Their release, announced earlier by the White House, was the result of a rare diplomatic agreement with Beijing in the final months of the Biden administration.
The Chinese government also announced Thursday that the US had returned four people to China, including at least three Chinese citizens who it said had been held for “political purposes,” and a person who had been sought by Beijing for crimes and had been living in the United States. According to The Associated Press, it did not identify the four.
The three Americans released by Beijing are Mark Swidan, Kai Li and John Leung, all of whom had been designated by the US government as wrongfully detained by China. Swidan had been facing a death sentence on drug charges while Li and Leung were imprisoned on espionage charges.
A plane carrying the three men landed late Wednesday night at a military base in San Antonio, Texas.
Biden told reporters on Thursday morning that he has spoken to all of them and “I’m really happy they are home."
The release comes just two months after China freed David Lin, a Christian pastor from California who had spent nearly 20 years behind bars after being convicted of contract fraud.
US-China relations have been roiled for years over major disagreements between the world’s two largest economies on trade, human rights, the production of fentanyl precursors, security issues that include espionage and hacking, China’s aggressiveness toward Taiwan and its smaller neighbors in the South China Sea, and Beijing’s support for Russia’s military-industrial sector.
The release of Americans deemed wrongfully detained in China has been a top agenda item in each conversation between the US and China, and Wednesday’s development suggests a willingness by Beijing to engage with the outgoing Democratic administration before Republican President-elect Donald Trump’s return to the White House in January.
Trump took significant actions against China on trade and diplomacy during his first term. He has pledged to continue those policies in his second term, leading to unease among many who fear that an all-out trade war will greatly affect the international economy and could spur potential Chinese military action against Taiwan.
Still, the two countries have maintained a dialogue that has included a partial restoration of military-to-military contacts. President Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping met this month to discuss potential improvements.
In a separate but related move, the State Department on Wednesday lowered its travel warning to China to “level two,” advising US citizens to “exercise increased caution” from the norm when traveling to the mainland. The alert had previously been at “level three,” telling Americans they should “reconsider travel” to China in part because of the “risk of wrongful detention” of Americans.
The new alert removes that wording but retains a warning that the Chinese government “arbitrarily enforces local laws, including exit bans on US citizens and citizens of other countries, without fair and transparent process under the law.”
The Biden administration had raised the cases of the detained Americans with China in multiple meetings over the past several years, including this month when Biden spoke to Xi on during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Peru.
Politico was first to report the men’s release, which it said was part of a prisoner swap with the US. The White House did not immediately confirm that any Chinese citizens in American custody had been returned home.
However, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning announced in Beijing on Thursday that “three Chinese citizens have returned to the motherland safe and sound."
“China always firmly opposes US suppression and persecution of Chinese nationals out of political purposes, and we will continue taking necessary measures to defend the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese nationals,” she said.
She added that a fourth person, “a fugitive who escaped to the US many years ago, has also been repatriated to China.”
The fourth person's nationality was not identified. Mao said “this shows that there will be no safe haven forever for criminals. The Chinese government will continue our efforts to repatriate the fugitives and recover criminals and illegal possessions until every fugitive is held accountable.”