Saudi Non-oil Private Sector Resumes Growth

Overall sales picked up at the quickest rate since last November, despite a further slight fall in export demand. (Reuters)
Overall sales picked up at the quickest rate since last November, despite a further slight fall in export demand. (Reuters)
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Saudi Non-oil Private Sector Resumes Growth

Overall sales picked up at the quickest rate since last November, despite a further slight fall in export demand. (Reuters)
Overall sales picked up at the quickest rate since last November, despite a further slight fall in export demand. (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector managed to regain its strength in February, as improved business confidence and customer demand led to faster expansions in production, new business and purchases.

Cost inflation pressures eased for the second month in a row, while expectations for future production rose to their highest levels since the beginning of 2021.

The seasonally adjusted IHS Markit Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 56.2 in February from 53.2 in January, marking the first increase since last September.

According to the index, the improvement was driven by a spurt in new business growth after concerns about the Omicron variant led to a slowdown at the beginning of the year.

Overall sales picked up at the quickest rate since last November, despite a further slight fall in export demand, while activity growth moved closer to the peak levels seen towards the end of 2021.

New orders grew at the fastest rate in three months after dropping to the slowest rate of expansion in 15 months in January. Export orders, however, declined for a second month, due to greater competition in foreign markets, while the Omicron wave continued to curb demand in some places.

“The latest PMI figures confirmed that the impact of the Omicron wave on the non-oil economy was only mild,” said David Owen, economist at survey compiler IHS Markit.

He added: “Signs of improving market conditions meant that business optimism was at its highest since January 2021, as firms expect demand growth to remain robust and the impact of the pandemic to subside. Reflecting this optimism, companies raised purchasing activity at the fastest rate since May 2019, aided by a strong improvement in supply chain performance.”



Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Prices Steady as Markets Weigh Demand against US Inventories

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors weighed firm winter fuel demand expectations against large US fuel inventories and macroeconomic concerns.

Brent crude futures were down 3 cents at $76.13 a barrel by 1003 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dipped 10 cents to $73.22.

Both benchmarks fell more than 1% on Wednesday as a stronger dollar and a bigger than expected rise in US fuel stockpiles pressured prices.

"The oil market is still grappling with opposite forces - seasonal demand to support the bulls and macro data that supports a stronger US dollar in the medium term ... that can put a ceiling to prevent the bulls from advancing further," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

JPMorgan analysts expect oil demand for January to expand by 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) year on year to 101.4 million bpd, primarily driven by increased use of heating fuels in the Northern Hemisphere.

"Global oil demand is expected to remain strong throughout January, fuelled by colder than normal winter conditions that are boosting heating fuel consumption, as well as an earlier onset of travel activities in China for the Lunar New Year holidays," the analysts said.

The market structure in Brent futures is also indicating that traders are becoming more concerned about supply tightening at the same time demand is increasing.

The premium of the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August on Wednesday. A widening of this backwardation, when futures for prompt delivery are higher than for later delivery, typically indicates that supply is declining or demand is increasing.

Nevertheless, official Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed rising gasoline and distillates stockpiles in the United States last week.

The dollar strengthened further on Thursday, underpinned by rising Treasury yields ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's entrance into the White House on Jan. 20.

Looking ahead, WTI crude oil is expected to oscillate within a range of $67.55 to $77.95 into February as the market awaits more clarity on Trump's administration policies and fresh fiscal stimulus measures out of China, OANDA's Wong said.