World Bank Lowers Growth Forecast for Tunisia

Women shop at Sidi Bahri market in Tunis, Tunisia (File photo: Reuters)
Women shop at Sidi Bahri market in Tunis, Tunisia (File photo: Reuters)
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World Bank Lowers Growth Forecast for Tunisia

Women shop at Sidi Bahri market in Tunis, Tunisia (File photo: Reuters)
Women shop at Sidi Bahri market in Tunis, Tunisia (File photo: Reuters)

The World Bank has just revised its growth forecasts downwards for Tunisia, dropping it from a previous forecast of 3.5 percent to 3 percent in 2022.

The report prepared by the bank, entitled "Forecasting Growth in The Middle East and North Africa in Times of Uncertainty," indicated that Tunisia's economic prospects remain uncertain, especially that the economic resilience in 2021 was moderate, and that concerns related to debt repayment remain strong due to budget deficit and high financing needs.

The bank highlighted that the modest growth is due to the economy's close link to tourism, tight budget margins, challenging business climate, and restrictions on investment and competition.

The report pointed out that Tunisia is a supplier of energy and grain and remains vulnerable to increasing international raw materials prices due to extreme uncertainty, such as the current war in Ukraine.

Tunisia is facing challenges in maintaining its food subsidies.

"Rising oil prices could delay reforms, however, as subsidies might rise with global food and energy prices," according to the report.

The World Bank noted that the growth rate in Tunisia would achieve gains, but it remains modest in light of "the structural volatility," the economic situation, the repercussions and the uncertainty of the war in Ukraine, and the sanctions associated with it.

The bank expected the inflation rate to reach 6.5 percent in 2022 and 2023 and the poverty rate to reach 3.4 percent in 2022 and drop to 3.1 percent in 2023.

Tunisian expert Ezzedine Saidan believes the figures and indicators are optimistic, noting that the local economy is still under solid shock at energy and grain prices, which Tunisia depends on for supply.

Saidan warned that if commodity prices continue to rise, the cost will double on the local economy, and such results may not be achieved again.

The Ministry of Finance predicted a medium growth rate in the coming years, announcing in a February report that the growth rate will reach 2.5 percent in 2023 and 2024, then three percent in 2025 and 2026.

The Ministry indicated its adherence to reducing the budget deficit, adding that wages should be dropped to 14.4 percent of the gross domestic product in 2024 compared to 16.4 percent in 2020.

Subsidy expenditure should decrease from 3.8 percent of GDP in 2020 to 2.1 percent in 2024.

The government aims to gradually reduce its budget deficit by 2026 from 8.9 percent of GDP in 2020 to 6.2 percent in 2022 and 2023, then 5.3 percent in 2024.



Gulf States Accelerate Adoption of Unified Digital Government Platforms

A Tawakkalna app events in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A Tawakkalna app events in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Gulf States Accelerate Adoption of Unified Digital Government Platforms

A Tawakkalna app events in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A Tawakkalna app events in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Gulf governments are moving swiftly to leverage modern technology in reshaping citizen-government relations, with a strong push toward digital transformation and more efficient, user-centric public services.

At the forefront of this shift are unified government applications that constitute comprehensive digital platforms that combine smart technology with seamless usability.

According to a recent study by Strategy& Middle East, a member of the PwC network, these platforms are no longer optional but have become strategic necessities.

The study, titled “Unified Government Apps: Smart Choices for Services and Cost Control,” highlights that citizens and residents can now complete services such as issuing birth certificates, renewing business licenses, or applying for social support within minutes, without physically visiting a government office.

Tawakkalna: A Saudi Model

Saudi Arabia’s Tawakkalna app, originally launched as a health tool during the COVID-19 pandemic, has since evolved into a comprehensive digital gateway offering over 1,100 government services.

Dr. Esam Al-Wagait, Director of the National Information Center at the Saudi Data and Artificial Intelligence Authority (SDAIA), noted the Kingdom’s aim to build a proactive digital government powered by AI.

“We are creating an integrated system that uses advanced technology to predict citizen needs and deliver personalized experiences aligned with smart and sustainable city goals,” he said.

Engineer Saleh Mosaibah, Deputy Director of the National Information Center, added that unified platforms enhance inter-agency collaboration, reduce operational costs, strengthen cybersecurity, and boost Saudi Arabia’s regional and global competitiveness.

Challenges and Solutions

Despite progress, the study noted operational and technical challenges remain, particularly around user expectations for faster, smoother service. Repeated logins and redundant data entry were identified as key obstacles.

Engineer Hani Zein, Partner at Strategy& Middle East, stressed the need for seamless, single-entry platforms powered by artificial intelligence.

“Unified interfaces are the future. They improve service delivery, enhance quality of life, and align with Gulf digital transformation goals,” he said.

Investment and Private Sector Integration

Experts stress that building such applications requires significant investment in IT infrastructure, data integration, and cybersecurity. “These are not just tech expenses, they are investments in smarter, more cost-efficient governance,” said Mosaibah.

The private sector also presents growth opportunities. Licensed companies could offer services through government platforms for a fee, or strategic partnerships could bring in private funding and innovation without straining public budgets.

Building a Sustainable Model

To ensure sustainability, Zein recommends a three-pillar approach: an agile operational model inspired by startups, strong legal and financial frameworks, and robust risk management systems. These foundations, he said, enable governments to move quickly, innovate freely, and maintain public trust.

With the right strategy, Zein and Mosaibah believe Saudi Arabia is well-positioned to set global standards for integrated digital government, offering a world-class experience for citizens and residents alike.