Egypt Harvested Over 700,000 Wheat Feddan since April

Egypt's strategic wheat reserves last until the end of next January (Reuters)
Egypt's strategic wheat reserves last until the end of next January (Reuters)
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Egypt Harvested Over 700,000 Wheat Feddan since April

Egypt's strategic wheat reserves last until the end of next January (Reuters)
Egypt's strategic wheat reserves last until the end of next January (Reuters)

Egypt has harvested more than 700,000 feddans of local wheat since the harvest season on April 1.

Egyptian Finance Minister Mohamed Maait said the country allocated $59.69 million for a down-payment to state grain buyers to purchase wheat from local farmers.

Among the world's biggest wheat importers, Egypt is heavily reliant on shipments from Ukraine and Russia, and its government has been seeking alternative supplies from countries including India and France.

Minister of Supply Ali al-Moselhi said Egypt has 2.6 million tons of imported wheat and targets to collect 5.5-6 million tons of local grain; therefore, strategic wheat reserves can last for 6-9 months.

Meanwhile, the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) said Ukraine is the eighth wheat producer with about 25 million tons and ranks fifth in corn production with 3.3 million tons.

FOA said that nearly 25 million tons of grains were stuck in Ukraine with blockades at ports due to the war with Russia

Food prices remain high, despite the drop, due mainly to the combination of military conflict in Ukraine and sanctions against Russia.

The FAO's food price index was down just 0.8 percent compared to March.

FAO Deputy Director, Markets and Trade Division Josef Schmidhuber described the situation as "grotesque.”

“We see at the moment in Ukraine with nearly 25 mln tons of grain that could be exported, but that cannot leave the country simply because of lack of infrastructure, the blockade of the ports."

Another concern was that about 700,000 tons of grain may have "disappeared" in Ukraine.

Schmidhuber cautioned that there were no "statistics" about possible theft.

"There's anecdotal evidence that Russian troops have destroyed storage capacity and that they are looting the storage grain that is available," he said. "They are also stealing farm equipment."

The absence of Ukraine as a supplier of grain will put the food supply of the population of Africa in particular at risk, according to the German Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

IfW trade researcher Henrik Mahlkow explained that due to the war, Ukraine is likely to be initially cut off from the global economy after trade routes have been cut, infrastructure destroyed, and all remaining production factors are likely to be directed towards a war economy.

"As the country is one of the most important grain exporters in the world, and especially relevant for Africa. Losing Ukraine as a supplier will noticeably worsen the supply situation across the continent," said Mahlkow.

According to the institute, the consequences would also be felt in Germany, albeit far less dramatically.

The institute's economists made a trade model to simulate Africa's long-term consequences of an end of exports of Ukrainian wheat and other cereals for food production, such as corn or sorghum.

The model calculations did not include cereals used as animal feed, such as corn. Accordingly, Tunisia and Egypt, in particular, would be negatively affected.

Egypt would import over 17 percent less wheat and almost 19 percent less other cereals, while South Africa would import 7 percent less wheat and over 16 percent less other grains.



China's Industrial Profits Narrow Decline but 2024 Likely Worst Year in Decades

An employee works at a carbon fibre production line inside a factory in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China October 27, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer
An employee works at a carbon fibre production line inside a factory in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China October 27, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer
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China's Industrial Profits Narrow Decline but 2024 Likely Worst Year in Decades

An employee works at a carbon fibre production line inside a factory in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China October 27, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer
An employee works at a carbon fibre production line inside a factory in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China October 27, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer

China's industrial profits fell at a slower clip in November, official data showed on Friday, but the annual decline in earnings this year is expected to be the worst in over two decades due to persistently soft domestic consumption.

The world's second-largest economy has been struggling to mount a strong post-pandemic revival, as business and household appetites for spending and investment remain subdued amid a prolonged housing downturn and fresh trade risks from the incoming US administration of President-elect Donald Trump.

Industrial profits fell 7.3% in November from the same month last year, following a 10% drop in October, National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data showed, Reuters reported.

The narrower decline in November pointed to improved profits as recent economic stimulus measures start to have an effect, said Zhou Maohua, a macroeconomic researcher at China Everbright Bank.

The profit numbers were also in line with a slower decline in factory-gate prices in November. The producer price index fell 2.5% year-on-year versus the 2.9% drop in October.

The World Bank on Thursday revised up its 2024 economic growth forecast for China slightly to 4.9% from its June forecast of 4.8%.

Still, in the first 11 months of 2024, industrial profits declined 4.7%, deepening a 4.3% slide in the January-October period, reflecting still tepid private demand in the Chinese economy.

China's full-year industrial profits are set to show their biggest drop in percentage terms since 2011. However, when smaller companies are included under a previous compilation methodology, this year's profit decline is expected to the worst since at least 2000.

A spate of economic indicators released this month pointed to mixed results, with industrial output accelerating in November while new home prices fell at the slowest pace in 17 months.

The industrial sector is undergoing an uneven recovery amid insufficient demand, Zhou said, pointing to difficulties facing real estate and some related industries as evidence of this malaise.

China's leaders vowed in a key policy meeting this month to raise the deficit, issue more debt and loosen monetary policy to maintain a stable economic growth rate. The government also recently pledged to step up direct fiscal support to consumers and boosting social security.

Beijing has agreed to issue a record $411 billion special treasury bonds next year, Reuters reported.

Profits at state-owned firms fell 8.4% in the first 11 months, foreign firms posted a 0.8% decline and private-sector companies recorded a 1% fall, according to a breakdown of the NBS data.

Industrial profit numbers cover firms with annual revenues of at least 20 million yuan ($2.7 million) from their main operations.