US Delegation Discusses Political Crisis in Sudan with Political Actors

Sudanese protesters attend a demonstration in Khartoum (File photo: Reuters)
Sudanese protesters attend a demonstration in Khartoum (File photo: Reuters)
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US Delegation Discusses Political Crisis in Sudan with Political Actors

Sudanese protesters attend a demonstration in Khartoum (File photo: Reuters)
Sudanese protesters attend a demonstration in Khartoum (File photo: Reuters)

A US delegation visiting Sudan met with various political forces and reviewed the national political crisis following the army's seizure of power last October.

The delegation held meetings with the pro-military armed factions which signed the Juba Agreement and the National Umma Party, led by Mubarak Al-Mahdi.

It is scheduled to meet army leaders and the opposition Forces of Freedom and Change-the Central Council (FFC).

Following the meeting, al-Mahdi called in a press statement for expediting the formation of a government consisting of technocrat figures to assume the executive and legislative authorities and lead the country to elections.

He also called for distributing the financial and humanitarian aid to the vulnerable groups that pay the bill for the economic reform agreed upon with international institutions.

Al-Mahdi stressed the importance of lifting the ban on private sector financing from the International Financing Corporation (IFC), affiliated with the World Bank, to ease the burdens on the Sudanese people.

Meanwhile, the FFC-National Accord affirmed its demands for unconditional dialogue, saying it was ready to sit down with all parties.

Spokesperson Mohamed Zakaria Faragallah briefed the US delegation on the peace process developments, including implementing the security arrangements and the challenges such as lack of international support.

Faragallah explained the vision of the forces for a political solution and consensus, including holding dialogue and identifying the parties involved in it.

The FFC wants to hold unconditional dialogue and is willing to meet all parties, Sudanese News Agency (SUNA) quoted Faragallah as saying.

The spokesman indicated that the Forces of Freedom and Change handed over the Tripartite Mechanism a written vision with several observations.

The Tripartite Mechanism consists of the United Nations Integrated Transition Assistance Mission in Sudan (UNITAMS), African Union (AU), and Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD).

He stressed that the international community and facilitators must have a position regarding the parties that refuse to join the dialogue because of their negative role that prevents the completion of the democratic transition and contributes directly to exacerbating the economic and security situations.

The FFC Secretary of Foreign Affairs Ahmed Taqd Lisan said the meeting with the US delegation discussed many issues related to the current situation and the initiatives put forward, namely the tripartite mechanism initiative.

Taqd Lisan confirmed the group's desire to participate in the dialogue, noting that it has a clear vision of the talks with the rest of the political blocs without any preconditions.



Lancet Study Estimates Gaza Death Toll 40% Higher Than Recorded

Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
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Lancet Study Estimates Gaza Death Toll 40% Higher Than Recorded

Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)

Research published in The Lancet medical journal on Friday estimates that the death toll in Gaza during the first nine months of the Israel-Hamas war was around 40 percent higher than recorded by the Palestinian territory's health ministry.

The number of dead in Gaza has become a matter of bitter debate since Israel launched its military campaign against Hamas in response to the Palestinian militant group's unprecedented October 7, 2023 attack.

Up to June 30 last year, the health ministry in Hamas-run Gaza reported a death toll of 37,877 in the war.

However, the new peer-reviewed study used data from the ministry, an online survey and social media obituaries to estimate that there were between 55,298 and 78,525 deaths from traumatic injuries in Gaza by that time, AFP reported.

The study's best death toll estimate was 64,260, which would mean the health ministry had under-reported the number of deaths to that point by 41 percent.

That toll represented 2.9 percent of Gaza's pre-war population, "or approximately one in 35 inhabitants," the study said.

The UK-led group of researchers estimated that 59 percent of the deaths were women, children and the elderly.

The toll was only for deaths from traumatic injuries, so did not include deaths from a lack of health care or food, or the thousands of missing believed to be buried under rubble.

AFP is unable to independently verify the death toll.

On Thursday, Gaza's health ministry said that 46,006 people had died over the full 15 months of war.

In Israel, the 2023 attack by Hamas resulted in the deaths of 1,208 people, mostly civilians, according to an AFP tally based on official Israeli figures.

Israel has repeatedly questioned the credibility of the Gaza health ministry's figures, but the United Nations have said they are reliable.

- 'A good estimate' -

The researchers used a statistical method called "capture-recapture" that has previously been used to estimate the death toll in conflicts around the world.

The analysis used data from three different lists, the first provided by the Gaza health ministry of the bodies identified in hospitals or morgues.

The second list was from an online survey launched by the health ministry in which Palestinians reported the deaths of relatives.

The third was sourced from obituaries posted on social media platforms such as X, Instagram, Facebook and Whatsapp, when the identity of the deceased could be verified.

"We only kept in the analysis those who were confirmed dead by their relatives or confirmed dead by the morgues and the hospital," lead study author Zeina Jamaluddine, an epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, told AFP.

The researchers scoured the lists, searching for duplicates.

"Then we looked at the overlaps between the three lists, and based on the overlaps, you can come up with a total estimation of the population that was killed," Jamaluddine said.

Patrick Ball, a statistician at the US-based Human Rights Data Analysis Group not involved in the research, has used capture-recapture methods to estimate death tolls for conflicts in Guatemala, Kosovo, Peru and Colombia.

Ball told AFP the well-tested technique has been used for centuries and that the researchers had reached "a good estimate" for Gaza.

Kevin McConway, a professor of applied statistics at Britain's Open University, told AFP there was "inevitably a lot of uncertainty" when making estimates from incomplete data.

But he said it was "admirable" that the researchers had used three other statistical analysis approaches to check their estimates.

"Overall, I find these estimates reasonably compelling, he added.

- 'Criticism' expected from both sides -

The researchers cautioned that the hospital lists do not always provide the cause of death, so it was possible that people with non-traumatic health problems -- such as a heart attack -- could have been included, potentially leading to an overestimate.

However, there were other ways that the war's toll could still be underestimated.

The study did not include missing people. The UN humanitarian agency OCHA has said that around 10,000 missing Gazans are thought to be buried under rubble.

There are also indirect ways that war can claim lives, such as a lack of healthcare, food, water, sanitation or the spread of disease. All have stricken Gaza since October 2023.

In a contentious, non-peer-reviewed letter published in The Lancet in July, another group of researchers used the rate of indirect deaths seen in other conflicts to suggest that 186,000 deaths could eventually be attributed to the Gaza war.

The new study suggested that this projection "might be inappropriate due to obvious differences in the pre-war burden of disease" in Gaza compared to conflicts in countries such as Burundi and East Timor.

Jamaluddine said she expected that "criticism is going to come from different sides" about the new research.

She spoke out against the "obsession" of arguing about death tolls, emphasizing that "we already know that there is a lot of high mortality.”