Data Puts Turkey’s Annual Inflation at 73.5%, a 24-Year High

An angler man feeds a seagull on the Galata bridge backdropped by the Suleymaniye mosque in Istanbul, Turkey, 25 May 2022. (EPA)
An angler man feeds a seagull on the Galata bridge backdropped by the Suleymaniye mosque in Istanbul, Turkey, 25 May 2022. (EPA)
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Data Puts Turkey’s Annual Inflation at 73.5%, a 24-Year High

An angler man feeds a seagull on the Galata bridge backdropped by the Suleymaniye mosque in Istanbul, Turkey, 25 May 2022. (EPA)
An angler man feeds a seagull on the Galata bridge backdropped by the Suleymaniye mosque in Istanbul, Turkey, 25 May 2022. (EPA)

Annual inflation in Turkey hit 73.5% in May, the highest rate since 1998, according to official data released Friday as a cost-of-living crisis in the country deepens.

The Turkish Statistical Institute said the rate represented an increase of almost 70% from the month before. Consumer prices were up nearly 3% from April, the institute reported.

While many countries are seeing rising consumer prices, critics blame Turkey’s problems on President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s economic policies.

The Turkish leader insists that high borrowing costs cause inflation - a position that contradicts established economic thinking - and advocates lowering interest rates to boost growth and exports.

Turkey’s central bank has cut rates by 5 percentage points since September, to 14% before pausing them in January. The Turkish lira lost 44% of its value against the US dollar last year.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which led to a surge in gas, oil and grain prices, has compounded the situation in import-reliant Turkey.

The sharpest increases in annual prices were in the transportation sector, at 107.6%, followed by food and non-alcoholic drinks prices at 91.6%, according to the statistical institute's data.



4 Factors Behind the Decline of Saudi Stock Market in H1 2025

Two investors monitor the trading screen in the Saudi financial market in Riyadh (AFP) 
Two investors monitor the trading screen in the Saudi financial market in Riyadh (AFP) 
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4 Factors Behind the Decline of Saudi Stock Market in H1 2025

Two investors monitor the trading screen in the Saudi financial market in Riyadh (AFP) 
Two investors monitor the trading screen in the Saudi financial market in Riyadh (AFP) 

Financial analysts and market specialists have identified four main factors driving the decline of the Saudi stock market during the first half of 2025. Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, they pointed to heightened geopolitical tensions in the region, ongoing trade disputes and tariffs between the United States, China, and Europe, oil price volatility, and persistently high interest rates. Collectively, these pressures have squeezed liquidity and weighed heavily on market performance.

Despite the downturn, analysts expect the market to gradually recover over the second half of the year, supported by potential global interest rate cuts, stabilizing oil prices, easing economic uncertainty, and forecasts of robust growth in Saudi Arabia’s GDP and the non-oil sector, alongside continued government spending on major projects.

The Saudi stock market recorded notable losses in the first six months of 2025, with the benchmark index retreating 7.25%, shedding 872 points to close at 11,163, compared to 12,036 at the end of 2024. Market capitalization plunged by around $266 billion (SAR 1.07 trillion), bringing the total value of listed shares to SAR 9.1 trillion.

Seventeen sectors posted declines during this period, led by utilities, which plummeted nearly 32%. The energy sector fell 13%, and basic materials dropped 8%. In contrast, telecom stocks advanced around 7%, while the banking sector eked out a marginal 0.05% gain.

Dr. Suleiman Al-Humaid Al-Khalidi, a financial analyst and member of the Saudi Economic Association, described the first-half performance as marked by significant swings. “The index rose to 12,500 points, only to lose nearly 2,000 points before recovering to about 11,260,” he said.

He attributed the volatility to several factors: regional geopolitical strains, oil prices dipping to $56 a barrel, and high interest rates, which constrained liquidity. He noted that financing costs for traders now range between 7.5% and 9%, historically elevated levels.

“The Saudi market posted the steepest decline among regional exchanges despite record banking sector profits, which failed to translate into stronger overall index performance,” he observed.

Looking ahead, Al-Khalidi anticipates three interest rate cuts totaling 0.75 percentage points by next year, which would bring rates down to about 3.75%. “That should encourage a recovery in trading activity, improve liquidity, and support an upward trend in the index toward 12,000 points, potentially reaching 13,500 if momentum builds,” he added.

Meanwhile, Mohamed Hamdy Omar, economic analyst and CEO of G-World, described the downturn as largely expected, citing external pressures and prolonged trade tensions between the US, China, and Europe. “Retaliatory tariffs dampened investor confidence globally, and Saudi Arabia was no exception,” he said.

Lower oil revenues also strained state finances, leading to a budget deficit of SAR 58.7 billion in the first quarter, further tightening liquidity. Trading volumes fell over 30% year-on-year.

Omar pointed out that changes to land tax regulations and heightened regional security risks also weighed on sentiment. Nonetheless, he expects gradual improvement in the second half of 2025, driven by anticipated rate cuts, rebounding oil prices, and continued large-scale public investments.

He stressed the need for vigilance: “Saudi Arabia remains among the most stable markets, thanks to proactive regulation and policies designed to attract foreign capital and bolster investor confidence.”