UAE’s Production Near Maximum Capacity Based on OPEC+ Baseline

The logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is pictured at its headquarters in Vienna, Austria, August 21, 2015. Picture taken August 21. (Reuters)
The logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is pictured at its headquarters in Vienna, Austria, August 21, 2015. Picture taken August 21. (Reuters)
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UAE’s Production Near Maximum Capacity Based on OPEC+ Baseline

The logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is pictured at its headquarters in Vienna, Austria, August 21, 2015. Picture taken August 21. (Reuters)
The logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is pictured at its headquarters in Vienna, Austria, August 21, 2015. Picture taken August 21. (Reuters)

The United Arab Emirates' oil production is near to maximum capacity based on its current OPEC+ production baseline, which is 3.168 million barrels per day, Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei told state news agency WAM on Monday.

“In light of recent media reports, I would like to clarify that the UAE is producing near to our maximum production capacity based on its current OPEC+ production baseline, which the UAE is committed by until the end of the agreement,” he said.

His remarks were made in response to reports that said the UAE has the capacity to produce 3.4 million and has been working on raising it to four million bpd.

In March, Mazrouei said the UAE is committed to the OPEC+ agreement on monthly oil production and has not agreed to individually increase production outside that framework.

“The UAE believes in the value OPEC+ brings to the oil market,” he added.

Producers were not happy with higher energy prices, al-Mazrouei remarked, but the group, comprised of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other producers including Russia, cannot oversupply the market.

“The criterion is the balance of supply and demand. Is there a need, and do we have the capacity?” he asked.

He stressed that thanks to the leadership's vision, the UAE has a strategy to maintain the security of supplies and prices of electric energy produced by gas.

The UAE’s top priority is to become self-sufficient in gas and create a preeminent oil storage and supply hub in the Middle East, boosting crude oil production to at least five million bpd as soon as possible.

In December 2021, the UAE said its national reserves had risen by 4 billion stock tank barrels (stb) of oil and 16 trillion standard cubic feet (scf) of natural gas, taking the totals to 111 billion stb and 289 trillion scf, respectively.

This reinforced the UAE's position as number six in the world for oil reserves and number seven for gas reserves.



Aramco Maintains $31 Billion in Dividends Despite Profit Decline

Aramco’s pavilion at the Global Future Investment Initiative conference held in Riyadh (FII webiste)
Aramco’s pavilion at the Global Future Investment Initiative conference held in Riyadh (FII webiste)
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Aramco Maintains $31 Billion in Dividends Despite Profit Decline

Aramco’s pavilion at the Global Future Investment Initiative conference held in Riyadh (FII webiste)
Aramco’s pavilion at the Global Future Investment Initiative conference held in Riyadh (FII webiste)

Saudi Aramco retained its position as the world’s top dividend distributor, maintaining its quarterly payouts at $31.05 billion, despite a 15.4% year-over-year drop in third-quarter net profit to $27.6 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $26.3 billion. The profit decline was mainly attributed to lower crude oil prices and weaker margins in its chemicals segment, though partly offset by reduced production royalties, income tax, and zakat.

According to Aramco’s data, the average oil price during Q3 2023 was $79.3 per barrel, down 11.2% from $89.3 per barrel in Q3 2022. The company’s dividend distributions include $20.3 billion in base dividends and $10.8 billion in performance-linked payouts scheduled for Q4.

Aramco’s CEO, Amin Nasser, highlighted the company’s strong net income and free cash flow despite the lower oil prices. He affirmed Aramco’s commitment to maintaining positive momentum and strengthening its position as a global leader in energy and petrochemicals.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Mohammed Al-Farraj, Senior Asset Management Officer at Arbah Financial, explained the 15.4% profit decline was driven by several factors, primarily lower crude oil prices, which directly affect Aramco’s revenue and profits. Additionally, the chemicals and refining businesses faced weak profit margins due to challenges like rising operational costs and a global demand slowdown. Economic factors such as inflation and higher interest rates also impacted energy demand, pressuring Aramco’s earnings.

Al-Farraj further noted that while oil price drops reduce Aramco’s revenue and impact refining margins, the chemicals sector faces additional challenges from higher raw material and energy costs, as well as intense competition. Despite these challenges, Aramco remains committed to its generous dividend policy, reflected in its substantial quarterly payout of $31.05 billion.

Aramco’s stock remained stable, trading at SAR27.55, up by about 0.2%. According to Al-Farraj, investor confidence in Aramco is bolstered by its financial strength and regular dividends, with strong growth prospects in renewable energy and petrochemical investments.

Energy researcher and OPEC Research Fellow Dr. Youssef Al-Shammari added that Aramco has become more resilient and less dependent on oil prices for profitability. He noted that Aramco’s financial and investment strategies make it less vulnerable to oil price fluctuations. Additionally, he pointed out a general decline in global refining margins due to weaker global demand.