Lebanon Planning to Return Syrian Refugees Home without Int’l Guarantees

A view shows an informal camp for Syrian refugees in Qab Elias, in Lebanon's Bekaa Valley June 28, 2022. (Reuters)
A view shows an informal camp for Syrian refugees in Qab Elias, in Lebanon's Bekaa Valley June 28, 2022. (Reuters)
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Lebanon Planning to Return Syrian Refugees Home without Int’l Guarantees

A view shows an informal camp for Syrian refugees in Qab Elias, in Lebanon's Bekaa Valley June 28, 2022. (Reuters)
A view shows an informal camp for Syrian refugees in Qab Elias, in Lebanon's Bekaa Valley June 28, 2022. (Reuters)

Lebanon is again trying to return Syrian refugees on its territories back to their war-torn country.

Caretaker Minister of the Displaced Issam Sharafeddine revealed that intense talks are underway with Syria to ensure the “safe and dignified” return of refugees to their home.

The plan enjoys the support of Lebanese President Michel Aoun and his political team, Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi and Christian leaders, including head of the Lebanese Forces, Samir Geagea.

The plan however, lacks international guarantees that would ensure that the Syrians are protected and enjoy social support once they go back home.

Sharafeddine has discussed the return of refugees with Aoun.

The Syrian state, he revealed, has been receptive of the Lebanese efforts and is ready to provide shelter and the necessary infrastructure and make sure the refugees return to their villages and towns.

Should the plan go ahead, the minister is hoping that some 15,000 refugees would leave Lebanon each month.

The plan is in line with a legal study carried out by Dr. Paul Morcos, president of the JUSTICIA legal firm. The study is based on Lebanese laws and an understanding signed between Lebanon and the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR). It also adheres to international treaties signed by Lebanon.

Sharafeddine said international organizations were still reviewing the refugee plan.

He revealed that he had discussed it with UNHCR representative in Lebanon, Ayaki Ito.

“We agreed on some points, while others require more revision,” said the minister.

The representative expressed concern over the fate of opponents of the Syrian regime. The minister suggested that the opponents would sign a declaration that they would not discuss military affairs in Syria or the Commission could deport them to another country.

Morcos told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Lebanese people are unanimous in supporting the return of Syrian refugees to their homes.

Lebanon cannot support the burden of the 1.8 million Syrians it is harboring, he added.

He cited a UNHCR memo that says countries have the legal right to expel people it believes no longer need international protection and that their countries of origin have a duty in repatriating them.

Their return must be humane and dignified and their rights must be fully respected, he added.

Morcos said the Lebanese plan takes into account refugee concerns that they may be forcefully returned home. He added that his study legally obligates Lebanese authorities to grant any refugee enough time to object against their deportation and provide the justifications for it.

Former Minister of the Displaced Maeen al-Merehbi criticized the new deportation plan, saying it was “doomed to fail.”

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, he noted that Syrians from the Homs countryside, al-Qusayr, al-Qalamoun and other areas bordering Lebanon are barred from returning home.

Refugees from those regions are under constant pressure to sell their properties as part of the forced displacement and demographic change in those areas.

“The best way to facilitate the return of Syrians to their country starts with putting an end to oppression practiced by Bashar Assad’s gangs against the returning refugees,” he stressed.

He cited how returning refugees are often victims of abduction, terrorized, killed and those eligible, are forced to enlist in the military.

The return of refugees is constantly tied to a political solution in Syria that is beyond reach.

Merehbi recalled a past Russian initiative to return the displaced, which he said turned out to be a “media ploy to garner Arab and international support to rebuild Syria, when in fact the Russians were the real partners in the displacement of the Syrian people.”

He criticized caretaker Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati for joining the plan to return the refugees home, saying he is “handing over the victims to the butcher and will be responsible for the lives that will be lost once they go back.”



EU Chief Salutes Lebanon-Israel Deal

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen speaks at the opening session of the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2026 at the European Solidarity Center in Gdansk, Poland, 25 June 2026. (EPA)
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen speaks at the opening session of the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2026 at the European Solidarity Center in Gdansk, Poland, 25 June 2026. (EPA)
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EU Chief Salutes Lebanon-Israel Deal

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen speaks at the opening session of the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2026 at the European Solidarity Center in Gdansk, Poland, 25 June 2026. (EPA)
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen speaks at the opening session of the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2026 at the European Solidarity Center in Gdansk, Poland, 25 June 2026. (EPA)

EU chief Ursula von der Leyen on Saturday welcomed the US-Lebanon-Israel framework agreement as a "critical step" away from conflict in the Middle East.

"I welcome the agreement between Israel and Lebanon. This is a critical step away from escalation. Because there can be no peace in the Middle East with Lebanon in flames," she said in a statement posted on X, thanking Washington for its mediation role.

"Key next steps are the disarmament of non-state groups and preserving Lebanese sovereignty and territorial integrity," she stressed.

Von der Leyen added that "the EU stands ready to support this path to lasting regional stability, also with the continued delivery of much needed humanitarian aid with EUR100 million mobilized for the displaced."


Israeli Drone Strike Kills Palestinian Siblings in a Gaza Tent Camp

Palestinians inspect their destroyed tents on Al-Jalaa Street following an Israeli airstrike in Gaza City, Gaza Strip, 27 June 2026. (EPA)
Palestinians inspect their destroyed tents on Al-Jalaa Street following an Israeli airstrike in Gaza City, Gaza Strip, 27 June 2026. (EPA)
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Israeli Drone Strike Kills Palestinian Siblings in a Gaza Tent Camp

Palestinians inspect their destroyed tents on Al-Jalaa Street following an Israeli airstrike in Gaza City, Gaza Strip, 27 June 2026. (EPA)
Palestinians inspect their destroyed tents on Al-Jalaa Street following an Israeli airstrike in Gaza City, Gaza Strip, 27 June 2026. (EPA)

An Israeli drone strike on Saturday killed two Palestinian siblings, including a 15-year-old girl, in southern Gaza and wounded at least seven others, according to Nasser hospital, where the casualties were taken.

The strike targeted tents sheltering displaced Palestinians in the sprawling camp of Muwasi, killing 15-year-old Islam Moussa and her 30-year-old brother, Abdullah Moussa.

The Israeli military acknowledged it had struck the area of Muwasi, saying it had targeted a Hamas fighter but did not immediately provide more information.

In the hospital's courtyard, relatives wept over the bodies covered in white burial shrouds.

Also on Saturday, Palestinians reported hearing a loud boom in Gaza City.

The Israeli military struck a tent sheltering displaced Palestinians in western Gaza City, wounding at least 12 people, according to Shifa hospital. The ambulance service of the Palestinian Red Crescent Society said two people were critically wounded and the majority of those hurt were women.

The Israeli military did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the strike, and it was not immediately clear what the target was.

Despite a fragile ceasefire reached in October that paused the heaviest fighting between Israel and the Hamas group, Israel continues to carry out near-daily strikes and shelling across the coastal enclave. Israel and Hamas continue to trade accusations of violating the ceasefire. Israel says it is targeting Hamas and other fighters who pose a threat and in response to ceasefire violations.

Since the ceasefire went into effect, Israel has killed more than 1,030 people in Gaza, according to Gaza’s Health Ministry, part of the Hamas-led government. The ministry maintains detailed casualty records that are seen as generally reliable by United Nations agencies and independent experts. But it does not give a breakdown of civilians and fighters.

The ministry last week said Israel has killed over 250 children in Gaza since the ceasefire took effect.

A team of independent experts commissioned by the United Nations has accused Israel of deliberately shooting children in Gaza, and repeated an accusation that Israel has committed genocide in the territory. Israel denies the claim that it committed genocide in Gaza during the two-year war.

The Israel-Hamas war broke out on Oct. 7, 2023, with a Hamas-led attack on southern Israel that killed some 1,200 people and saw 251 taken hostage. Israel’s retaliatory offensive in Gaza has killed more than 73,050 Palestinians, including those killed since the ceasefire, Gaza’s Health Ministry said.


What Challenges Lie Ahead for the US-Lebanon-Israel Agreement?

 Israeli tanks maneuver in Lebanon, after Lebanon and Israel signed a framework agreement following US-mediated talks, as seen from northern Israel, June 27, 2026. (Reuters)
Israeli tanks maneuver in Lebanon, after Lebanon and Israel signed a framework agreement following US-mediated talks, as seen from northern Israel, June 27, 2026. (Reuters)
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What Challenges Lie Ahead for the US-Lebanon-Israel Agreement?

 Israeli tanks maneuver in Lebanon, after Lebanon and Israel signed a framework agreement following US-mediated talks, as seen from northern Israel, June 27, 2026. (Reuters)
Israeli tanks maneuver in Lebanon, after Lebanon and Israel signed a framework agreement following US-mediated talks, as seen from northern Israel, June 27, 2026. (Reuters)

Lebanon and Israel, under US sponsorship, signed an agreement on Friday hoping to end hostilities between them, but experts say it does not guarantee Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon and its implementation depends on Hezbollah and its backer Iran.

Lebanon took the historic step of negotiating directly with Israel despite them having no diplomatic relations, as a reaction to Tehran-backed Hezbollah drawing the country into the Middle East war on March 2.

But with Israel saying it will not leave occupied Lebanese territory unless the group is disarmed, what traps and challenges lie ahead for the agreement?

- Will Israel withdraw? -

Although the framework agreement officially mentions Israeli "redeployment" from Lebanon, where its troops occupy swathes of the south, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu immediately set the tone on Friday, saying his soldiers will remain in the self-declared "security zone" stretching 10 kilometers from the border, "as long as Hezbollah has not disarmed".

Imad Salamey, head of the Political and International Studies Department at the Lebanese American University, told AFP that one of the agreement's shortcomings was that it made "no guarantee that Israel will fully withdraw from occupied areas or significantly restrict its military operations in southern Lebanon".

"Without firm Israeli commitments, many residents of the south may continue to face insecurity, delayed reconstruction."

Netanyahu said Friday that displaced Lebanese civilians will not be allowed to return home to occupied areas.

The agreement merely mentions "pilot zones", where the Lebanese military will take control after an Israeli "redeployment".

An initial two zones have been agreed to by the two sides, and future pilot zones are supposed to be determined by mutual consent.

However, the Lebanese army would only assume full security responsibility for these zones upon external "confirmation" that non-state armed groups, most notably Hezbollah, are disarmed there.

- Where does Hezbollah stand? -

From the moment Lebanese authorities announced direct talks with Israel in April, Hezbollah branded the move a "sin".

The group's leader Naim Qassem on Saturday called the framework agreement a "grave blunder" that is "legitimizing" Israeli occupation, urging the government to withdraw from it.

Hezbollah lawmaker Hassan Fadlallah said that the government will not be able to implement it "unless they go, with American support, to civil war" inside Lebanon.

Supporters of the group took to the streets of Beirut on Friday night to protest the framework.

Lebanese Parliament Speaker and Hezbollah ally Nabih Berri warned on Saturday against internal "strife".

In the capital's Hamra street, Ahmad Shamas, a 48-year-old taxi driver, told AFP the agreement was "an agreement of humiliation and shame"

"Never in the history of the Lebanese Republic has anyone made an agreement like this one."

Husam al-Beiruti, 43, was "neutral".

"What is the other solution? Is there any solution? Give us a solution we can follow."

Salamey said that while Hezbollah's rejection of the agreement was expected, "the real question is whether opposition remains political or evolves into direct confrontation with the Lebanese army, particularly if the state receives expanded military and financial support from the United States and its partners".

In the agreement, Lebanon requested international and Arab support to achieve "the complete and verified disarmament of all non-state armed groups," hinting at Hezbollah.

- What about Iran? -

According to experts, the implementation of the agreement will depend in large part on Hezbollah's backer, Iran.

Iran has used Lebanon as a key bargaining chip in its negotiations with the US, sometimes closing the Strait of Hormuz and threatening to walk away from talks over continued Israeli attacks on the country.

Heiko Wimmen, researcher at the International Crisis Group told AFP that while the government may be able to "take control of the process" after the latest agreement, "Iranian influence in Lebanon is still alive and kicking".

According to Salamey, the implementation "will depend primarily on Iran's strategic calculations".

"Tehran must decide whether the benefits of continued engagement with Washington and sanctions relief outweigh the costs of preserving its military leverage in Lebanon, which has become increasingly expensive".