Oil Dispute Sharpens Baghdad-Kurd Tensions amid Deadlock

Iraq, the second largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, sits on enormous oil reserves, and revenues from the sector feed 90 percent of the federal government budget Safin HAMED AFP/File
Iraq, the second largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, sits on enormous oil reserves, and revenues from the sector feed 90 percent of the federal government budget Safin HAMED AFP/File
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Oil Dispute Sharpens Baghdad-Kurd Tensions amid Deadlock

Iraq, the second largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, sits on enormous oil reserves, and revenues from the sector feed 90 percent of the federal government budget Safin HAMED AFP/File
Iraq, the second largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, sits on enormous oil reserves, and revenues from the sector feed 90 percent of the federal government budget Safin HAMED AFP/File

Iraq's oil wealth is rekindling tensions between federal authorities and the autonomous Kurdish region, in a row that could compromise the lifeline industry and keep investors away, analysts say.

The long-simmering dispute came to a head in February -- at a time of political deadlock in Baghdad -- when the federal supreme court ordered Kurdistan to hand over oil extracted from its territories to the federal authorities.

Then earlier this month, a commercial court in the Iraqi capital annulled contracts between the Kurds and foreign firms, after the oil ministry in Baghdad filed a judicial complaint, AFP said.

Authorities in the Kurdistan capital Arbil have cried foul, accusing Baghdad of heaping "unjust pressure" on them and announcing their own legal action.

Iraq, the second largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, sits on enormous oil reserves, and revenues from the sector feed 90 percent of the federal government budget.

It exports an average of 3.3 million barrels of crude oil per day (bpd), while production in Kurdistan amounts to just over 450,000 bpd.

The February ruling stated that a 2007 law adopted by Arbil to regulate oil and gas was unconstitutional.

But analysts say politics play a major role in the dispute in Iraq, whose political barons have failed to reach agreement on choosing a president and a prime minister since October legislative elections.

"When it comes to oil, each side uses their respective powers as carrots and sticks depending on the political atmosphere of the day," said Bilal Wahab of The Washington Institute for Near East Policy.

"At times when there was political accord, the courts were rather quiet. When there was political discord, however, the reverse was true," he told AFP.

- 'Reputation being damaged' -
The nullification of oil contracts between the Kurds and four international oil companies (IOCs) from Canada, Britain, Norway and the United States at the start of July has inflamed the row.

"For Baghdad to be chasing IOCs out of Iraqi Kurdistan does not serve to show Iraq as a major producer welcoming of foreign investment," cautioned Yesar al-Maleki, an analyst at the Middle East Economic Survey.

In a fightback, the Kurdish regional authorities in June initiated judicial proceedings against the federal government.

One lawsuit targets Oil Minister Ihsan Ismail, accused by the Kurds of trying to "intimidate" foreign firms operating in the Kurdistan region of northern Iraq.

The Kurdish autonomous government has accused Baghdad of taking "illegal" and "politically motivated" actions.

For Wahab, Kurdish and federal government officials fail to appreciate "how much they are damaging the overall reputation of Iraq's energy industry".

"Questioning the sanctity of contracts ... adds legal risk to a slew of other regulatory and governance risks that ail the Iraqi energy industry," he added.

The dispute, he said, "repels much-needed foreign investment".

Oil revenues are critical for Iraq, a country faced with widespread corruption but also mired in a financial crisis and in need of funds to rebuild infrastructure after decades of conflict.

- 'Compromise'? -
Despite the legal actions, Kurdistan says it is open to a negotiated solution.

It is working on setting up two companies specialized in oil exploration and marketing that would coordinate with Baghdad, a spokesperson for the Arbil government said.

Baghdad's oil ministry, meanwhile, marked a small victory after oil giants Baker Hughes, Halliburton and Schlumberger committed not to initiate new projects in Kurdistan.

The ministry says the companies are also working to "liquidate and close" existing contracts.

Baghdad has fought to regain control of output from lucrative oil fields in Kurdistan since the autonomous region began marketing oil independently more than a decade ago.

But under a current deal, the Kurdish region delivers 250,000 barrels per day to Baghdad, in return for a share of federal funds to pay the salaries of Kurdish civil servants.

In recent weeks, tensions have risen further after a series of unclaimed rocket attacks targeting oil and gas installations in Kurdistan.

Experts say the assaults aim to put pressure on the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP), the largest in Kurdistan.

The KDP is allied to Shiite leader Moqtada Sadr, whose bloc won 73 seats in the October polls, making it the largest faction in the 329-seat parliament.

The party is eyeing the Iraqi presidency for one of its members, although traditionally the job has been held by a member of the rival Patriotic Union of Kurdistan.

"The timeline of events evidently shows that this whole crisis started because the KDP took the side of the Sadrist movement... opposing the Iran-backed Shiite Coordination Framework," Maleki said.

He expects a "compromise" will be reached to resolve the oil dispute because "Iraq is a country of compromise".

"Until then, the supreme court ruling will hang like the sword of Damocles over the Kurdish regional government," he said.



Israeli Raid in the West Bank Leaves 1 Palestinian Dead and 4 Wounded

Israeli soldiers take positions during clashes with Palestinians in the West Bank city of Nablus, Sunday, May 3, 2026. (AP Photo/Majdi Mohammed)
Israeli soldiers take positions during clashes with Palestinians in the West Bank city of Nablus, Sunday, May 3, 2026. (AP Photo/Majdi Mohammed)
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Israeli Raid in the West Bank Leaves 1 Palestinian Dead and 4 Wounded

Israeli soldiers take positions during clashes with Palestinians in the West Bank city of Nablus, Sunday, May 3, 2026. (AP Photo/Majdi Mohammed)
Israeli soldiers take positions during clashes with Palestinians in the West Bank city of Nablus, Sunday, May 3, 2026. (AP Photo/Majdi Mohammed)

One Palestinian man was killed and four others seriously wounded during an Israeli military raid in the Israeli-occupied West Bank city of Nablus on Sunday, the Palestinian Red Crescent said.

The Palestinian Health Ministry said the man’s wife was in labor at a local hospital when she was informed of his death.

The Red Crescent said five people were hit by gunfire during an Israeli military operation. Nayef Firas Ziad Samaro, 26, was killed, according to the Health Ministry, and his body was brought to the hospital where his wife was giving birth. Additionally, a 12-year-old was shot in the shoulder, according to the Red Crescent, The AP news reported.

The raid took place as schools were letting out for the day, in an area crowded with civilians, witnesses said.

Israel's military in a statement said it responded to a confrontation in the Nablus area in which several “terrorists” threw rocks toward soldiers. Soldiers fired and “several hits were identified.”

Palestinians, rights groups and international observers are warning about the worsening violence, where young Palestinian men are being killed with increasing regularity amid a broader climate of arson, vandalism and the displacement of farming communities near Jewish settlements and outposts in the West Bank.

At least 42 Palestinians have been killed since the start of the year, according to the United Nations humanitarian office. Armed settlers were responsible for at least 11 of those fatalities.


Yemen’s Workers Face Harsh Unemployment and Unrelenting Hardship

A person (L) buys snacks from a mobile cart in Sanaa, Yemen, 27 April 2026.  EPA/YAHYA ARHAB
A person (L) buys snacks from a mobile cart in Sanaa, Yemen, 27 April 2026. EPA/YAHYA ARHAB
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Yemen’s Workers Face Harsh Unemployment and Unrelenting Hardship

A person (L) buys snacks from a mobile cart in Sanaa, Yemen, 27 April 2026.  EPA/YAHYA ARHAB
A person (L) buys snacks from a mobile cart in Sanaa, Yemen, 27 April 2026. EPA/YAHYA ARHAB

As the world marks International Workers’ Day on May 1 each year, workers in Yemen have, for years following the Houthi coup and ensuing war, faced a starkly different reality marked by daily hardship and a struggle for survival amid economic and humanitarian conditions among the worst globally.

Workers in Sanaa and other cities told Asharq Al-Awsat that the day is no longer an occasion to celebrate professional achievements or press for improved rights. Instead, it has become a moment to reflect on the scale of the challenges they face, from widespread unemployment to declining wages and the absence of social protection.

Some said their conditions, and those of their families, have continued to deteriorate for a twelfth consecutive year, as they struggle daily to secure basic needs amid rising prices, scarce job opportunities, and a lack of even minimal services. They noted that wages in remaining sectors such as construction, transport, and other freelance work no longer match the effort required or the cost of basic living.

As workers called on relevant authorities and international organizations to intervene to ease their suffering, sources within the labor union federation under Houthi control in Sanaa said the occasion comes this year as more than one million Yemeni public sector employees, supporting hundreds of thousands of families, continue to endure harsh conditions, alongside 8 million daily wage workers now living below the poverty line as a result of the coup and ongoing conflict.

The sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Houthi group continues to deepen the suffering of millions of daily wage workers in areas under its control through policies of systematic corruption targeting what remains of the economic sector.

Struggle for Survival

“Mahmoud,” a construction worker in Sanaa, said: “We do not celebrate Workers’ Day like people in other countries. We live it as just another day of struggling to earn a living.” Mahmoud, a father of three, works long hours for meager pay that does not cover even his children’s basic needs. “We go out every day looking for work and may return with nothing. Life has become very harsh,” he said.

“Essam N.,” a pseudonym for a taxi driver, described his situation: “Fuel prices keep rising while our income is declining. I work long hours and still cannot cover expenses. Sometimes I think about leaving the job, but there is no alternative.”

He said he has worked in the profession for more than 10 years but has never experienced conditions as severe as those today.

Abdullah, 39, a street vendor in the Bab al-Yemen area of Sanaa, said: “We used to sell and earn reasonably well years ago, but now people can barely buy anything. Everyone is suffering, not just us.”

These accounts reflect a grim reality facing thousands of workers in Yemen, where daily hardship intersects with a lack of prospects amid a deepening crisis that has exhausted all, alongside ongoing calls to improve workers’ conditions and guarantee their basic rights.

Deep Crisis

Economic specialists say the crisis facing workers in Yemen is no longer a temporary reflection of war, but has become a deep structural crisis. They say the continued decline in economic activity, weak investment, and the division of financial institutions are all factors exacerbating unemployment and limiting the market’s ability to recover.

According to data from ESCWA, Yemen is classified among low-income countries with a fragile economy, directly affecting job creation and widening poverty.

Economists say the continuation of the war and the decline in economic activity have worsened workers’ suffering, with many projects halted, job opportunities shrinking, and unemployment rising, particularly among youth. They warn that the persistence of this situation could expand poverty and deepen reliance on the informal economy.

In parallel, unofficial estimates indicate unemployment rates have risen to unprecedented levels, especially among young people, with thousands finding themselves outside the labor market without real opportunities. With many productive and service sectors halted due to years of conflict, employment opportunities have sharply contracted, pushing many toward temporary or unstable work.

The World Bank said in its reports on Yemen that about one in six working-age individuals is unemployed. The outlook is bleaker for youth unemployment, which the International Labour Organization estimates exceeds 25 percent across the Arab region, and is expected to be higher in Yemen given the ongoing conflict and the contraction in economic activity.


Israel Attacks Southern Lebanon after New Evacuation Warning

This photograph taken from the southern Lebanese area of Marjayoun shows smoke rising from the site of Israeli airstrikes that targeted the village of Zawtar al-Sharqiyah, on May 3, 2026. I(Photo by AFP)
This photograph taken from the southern Lebanese area of Marjayoun shows smoke rising from the site of Israeli airstrikes that targeted the village of Zawtar al-Sharqiyah, on May 3, 2026. I(Photo by AFP)
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Israel Attacks Southern Lebanon after New Evacuation Warning

This photograph taken from the southern Lebanese area of Marjayoun shows smoke rising from the site of Israeli airstrikes that targeted the village of Zawtar al-Sharqiyah, on May 3, 2026. I(Photo by AFP)
This photograph taken from the southern Lebanese area of Marjayoun shows smoke rising from the site of Israeli airstrikes that targeted the village of Zawtar al-Sharqiyah, on May 3, 2026. I(Photo by AFP)

Israel carried out heavy airstrikes in south Lebanon on Sunday after issuing new evacuation warnings for villages beyond the area it occupies, despite a truce with Lebanon intended to halt fighting with Hezbollah.

"For your safety, you must evacuate your homes immediately and move away from the villages and towns by at least 1,000 meters into open areas," the military's Arabic-language spokesman Avichay Adraee posted on X.

The warning covers more than 10 villages and towns including several in the district of Nabatieh, which lies north of the Litani River, south of which Israel has stationed troops.

Israeli military chief of staff Eyal Zamir has threatened to strike Hezbollah "beyond the yellow line.”

"Any threat, anywhere, against our communities or our forces -- including beyond the yellow line and north of the Litani -- will be eliminated," he said during a visit to Israeli troops this week.

The Israeli military said Sunday it was conducting operations against Hezbollah following what it described ⁠as a violation of their April 17 ceasefire agreement, warning that anyone near Hezbollah fighters or facilities could be at risk.

Lebanon's state-run National News Agency later reported a series of Israeli strikes across southern Lebanon, including on towns not mentioned in the evacuation warning.

Hezbollah, has kept up its drone and rocket attacks against Israeli troops in Lebanon and on northern Israel.

It has recently begun using cheap drones controlled by fiber-optic cable, making them largely immune to electronic jamming, to conduct daily attacks.

These drones have a range of several dozen kilometers, which puts Israeli troops in Lebanon and communities in northern Israel under threat.