High Interest Rates to Boost Profitability of Saudi Banks

Saudi Arabia is working to create the appropriate environment to ensure the durability of financial banks and the diversity of their products (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Arabia is working to create the appropriate environment to ensure the durability of financial banks and the diversity of their products (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT

High Interest Rates to Boost Profitability of Saudi Banks

Saudi Arabia is working to create the appropriate environment to ensure the durability of financial banks and the diversity of their products (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi Arabia is working to create the appropriate environment to ensure the durability of financial banks and the diversity of their products (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Fitch Ratings predicted that higher oil prices and interest rates will enhance the profitability of Saudi banks during 2022-2023.

This comes at a time when the loan-to-deposit ratio of Saudi banks is at its highest level in 15 years.

Fitch said that a 200bp increase in interest rates would boost Fitch-rated Saudi banks’ operating profit by 14%.

Fitch also expected that the costs of financing Saudi banks will decline after SAMA pumped 50 billion riyals into the banking system last June.

In other news, Saudi Arabia’s finance companies have demonstrated outstanding performance as their total assets reached SR67 billion ($17.85 billion) in 2021, a 26 % increase from 2020, according to a report by the Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA.

Aggregate capital surged 37% to SR19.6 billion in 2021 from SR14.3 billion in 2020.

Net profits also skyrocketed by 114% in 2021, achieving SR1.9 billion, the report stated.

The credit portfolio stood at SR68.1 billion at the end of 2021, a 26 % rise from its value in 2020.

New financing provided during 2021 amounted to SR25.4 billion, a 47 % increase from 2020.

Shareholder’s equity increased 30% to SR25.5 billion in 2021 compared to SR19.6 billion in 2020, the report added.

Looking at net profits breakdown by type of finance company, the non-real-estate ones have recorded SR1.4 billion while real estate finance companies received a net profit of SR0.4 billion in 2021.

Moreover, the share of non-real-estate finance companies in the total credit portfolio was 62% versus 38% for real estate finance ones.

The breakdown of credit portfolio by customer segment is 75% for retail customers, 22% for micro, small and medium enterprises, and 3% for corporates.

In the case of credit portfolios as per primary sectors, residential real estate made up 32%, followed by auto-finance loans at 27% and personal credit at 21%.

Evaluating the credit portfolio breakdown by economic activity, the top three sectors with the highest shares were trade at 21%, construction at 20%, services at 14%, and transportation and telecommunications at 9%.



Gold Hits Four-week Peak on Safe-haven Demand

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
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Gold Hits Four-week Peak on Safe-haven Demand

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk

Gold prices rose to a near four-week high on Thursday, supported by safe-haven demand, while investors weighed how US President-elect Donald Trump's policies would impact the economy and inflation.

Spot gold inched up 0.4% to $2,672.18 per ounce, as of 0918 a.m. ET (1418 GMT). US gold futures rose 0.7% to $2,691.80.

"Safe-haven demand is modestly supporting gold, offsetting downside pressure coming from a stronger dollar and higher rates," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

The dollar index hovered near a one-week high, making gold less appealing for holders of other currencies, while the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield stayed near eight-month peaks, Reuters reported.

"Market uncertainty is likely to persist with the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump as the next US president," Staunovo said.

Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to provide legal justification for a series of universal tariffs on allies and adversaries, CNN reported on Wednesday, citing sources familiar with the matter.

Trump will take office on Jan. 20 and his proposed tariffs could potentially ignite trade wars and inflation. In such a scenario, gold, considered a hedge against inflation, is likely to perform well.

Investors' focus now shifts to Friday's US nonfarm payrolls due at 08:30 a.m. ET for further clarity on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.

Non-farm payrolls likely rose by 160,000 jobs in December after surging by 227,000 in November, a Reuters survey showed.

Gold hit a near four-week high on Wednesday after a weaker-than-expected US private employment report hinted that the Fed may be less cautious about easing rates this year.

However, minutes of the Fed's December policy meeting showed officials' concern that Trump's proposed tariffs and immigration policies may prolong the fight against rising prices.

High rates reduce the non-yielding asset's appeal.

The World Gold Council on Wednesday said physically-backed gold exchange-traded funds registered their first inflow in four years.

Spot silver rose 0.7% to $30.32 per ounce, platinum fell 0.8% to $948.55 and palladium shed 1.4% to $915.75.