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Oxford Economics Predicts Saudi Economy to Cross $1 Trln Mark in 2022

Oxford Economics has predicted that the Saudi economy will cross the trillion-dollar mark for the first time in 2022, Asharq Al-Awsat
Oxford Economics has predicted that the Saudi economy will cross the trillion-dollar mark for the first time in 2022, Asharq Al-Awsat
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Oxford Economics Predicts Saudi Economy to Cross $1 Trln Mark in 2022

Oxford Economics has predicted that the Saudi economy will cross the trillion-dollar mark for the first time in 2022, Asharq Al-Awsat
Oxford Economics has predicted that the Saudi economy will cross the trillion-dollar mark for the first time in 2022, Asharq Al-Awsat

Oxford Economics has predicted that the Saudi economy will cross the trillion-dollar mark for the first time this year.

The leader in global economic forecasting and econometric analysis pointed out that the growth rate of Saudi Arabia's national product will reach 7.5 % during 2022.

The International Monetary Fund has previously expected that Saudi Arabia's growth rate will remain in the range of 7.6% this year.

One of the main goals of Saudi Vision 2030 is for the Kingdom to become one of the fifteen largest economies in the world by 2030 and to achieve a target of $1.7 trillion in gross national product.

The Saudi Department of Statistics has projected that Saudi Arabia's real GDP growth rate will be 11.8% in the second quarter of 2022.

In other news, the Ministry of Investment of Saudi Arabia reported the signing of a range of new investment deals in diverse sectors such as advanced manufacturing, construction and real estate, ICT, tourism, entertainment and sports, highlighting the success of the National Investment Strategy in attracting investment inflows to Saudi Arabia.

Buoyed by the ambitious objectives of the National Investment Strategy, the quarter saw the signing of 49 major investment deals worth at least $925 million and set to create about 2,000 new jobs.

Some of the major deals include a $133.3 million agreement between the Saudi Ports Authority and DP World to build a logistics park at Jeddah Islamic Port and a $37 million funding round led by global finance giant Mastercard into Saudi e-commerce firm HyperPay to expand the Kingdom’s digital payment ecosystem.

Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih responded to the latest investment deals and figures by highlighting the impact of governmental plans.

“The National Investment Strategy is a catalyst to deliver on our Vision 2030 national objectives of seeing the private sector contribute 65% to GDP and growing foreign direct investment to 5.7% of GDP,” said Al-Falih.

“Despite global headwinds, we are seeing strong interest from global investors in diverse industries to partner with Saudi Arabia,” he added.

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Oil Prices Ease but Remain Near 2-week Highs on Russia, Iran Tensions

FILE PHOTO: Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oil field in Midland, Texas US August 22, 2018. Picture taken August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oil field in Midland, Texas US August 22, 2018. Picture taken August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford//File Photo
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Oil Prices Ease but Remain Near 2-week Highs on Russia, Iran Tensions

FILE PHOTO: Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oil field in Midland, Texas US August 22, 2018. Picture taken August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oil field in Midland, Texas US August 22, 2018. Picture taken August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford//File Photo

Oil prices retreated on Monday following 6% gains last week, but remained near two-week highs as geopolitical tensions grew between Western powers and major oil producers Russia and Iran, raising risks of supply disruption.
Brent crude futures slipped 26 cents, or 0.35%, to $74.91 a barrel by 0440 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $70.97 a barrel, down 27 cents, or 0.38%.
Both contracts last week notched their biggest weekly gains since late September to reach their highest settlement levels since Nov. 7 after Russia fired a hypersonic missile at Ukraine in a warning to the United States and UK following strikes by Kyiv on Russia using US and British weapons.
"Oil prices are starting the new week with some slight cool-off as market participants await more cues from geopolitical developments and the Fed’s policy outlook to set the tone," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.
"Tensions between Ukraine and Russia have edged up a notch lately, leading to some pricing for the risks of a wider escalation potentially impacting oil supplies."
As both Ukraine and Russia vie to gain some leverage ahead of any upcoming negotiations under a Trump administration, the tensions may likely persist into the year-end, keeping Brent prices supported around $70-$80, Yeap added.
In addition, Iran reacted to a resolution passed by the UN nuclear watchdog on Thursday by ordering measures such as activating various new and advanced centrifuges used in enriching uranium.
"The IAEA censure and Iran’s response heightens the likelihood that Trump will look to enforce sanctions against Iran’s oil exports when he comes into power," Vivek Dhar, a commodities strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia said in a note.
Enforced sanctions could sideline about 1 million barrels per day of Iran’s oil exports, about 1% of global oil supply, he said.
The Iranian foreign ministry said on Sunday that it will hold talks about its disputed nuclear program with three European powers on Nov. 29.
"Markets are concerned not only about damage to oil ports and infrastructure, but also the possibility of war contagion and involvement of more countries," said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.
Investors were also focused on rising crude oil demand at China and India, the world's top and third-largest importers, respectively.
China's crude imports rebounded in November as lower prices drew stockpiling demand while Indian refiners increased crude throughput by 3% on year to 5.04 million bpd in October, buoyed by fuel exports.
For the week, traders will be eyeing US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data, due on Wednesday, as that will likely inform the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting scheduled for Dec. 17-18, Sachdeva said.