Tunisia’s Economy Grows 2.8% Despite Difficulties

A general view of Tunis, Tunisia. (Reuters)
A general view of Tunis, Tunisia. (Reuters)
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Tunisia’s Economy Grows 2.8% Despite Difficulties

A general view of Tunis, Tunisia. (Reuters)
A general view of Tunis, Tunisia. (Reuters)

The Tunisian economy grew 2.8 percent during the second quarter of 2022 annually, according to the National Institute of Statistics.

The Institute said the growth is due to the high value-added growth rate in the services sector, which amounted to 5.2 percent annually.

However, compared to the growth rate in the first quarter, the gross domestic product (GDP) fell by 1.0 percent due to the decline in the construction and the industrial sector.

Tunisia has been facing a political crisis after President Kais Saied suspended most of the constitutional institutions and put a new constitution to a referendum on July 25.

The country seeks to establish a margin of stability to implement reforms demanded by international financial institutions.

After months of technical consultations, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced its willingness to start formal negotiations with Tunisia for a lending program.

Meanwhile, the Tunisian trade balance recorded a deficit of $4.3 billion during the first seven months, compared to $2.7 billion during the same period in 2021, according to the National Institute.

Tunisian exports saw a 23.1 percent increase, and imports rose 31.6 percent.

The Institute revealed a decline in the unemployment rate in the country during the second quarter of this year to 15.3 percent.

The unemployment rate was 16.1 percent in the first quarter of this year and 16.2 percent in the last quarter of 2021.

Thousands of Tunisians leave the country each year due to the difficult economic situation, the faltering political transition since 2011, and the lack of job opportunities.

During the second quarter of 2022, over 626,000 Tunisians were unemployed, a third of whom are graduates, according to the National Institute of Statistics.

The Tunisian National Observatory of Migration estimates that 36,000 individuals leave the country each year due to a lack of job opportunities and low wages.



Oil Slumps More than 4% after Iran Downplays Israeli Strikes

Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo
Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo
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Oil Slumps More than 4% after Iran Downplays Israeli Strikes

Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo
Oil pump jacks work at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/File Photo

Oil prices tumbled more than $3 a barrel on Monday after Israel's retaliatory strike on Iran over the weekend bypassed Tehran's oil and nuclear facilities and did not disrupt energy supplies, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Both Brent and US West Texas Intermediate crude futures hit their lowest levels since Oct. 1 at the open. By 0750 GMT, Brent was at $72.92 a barrel, down $3.13, or 4.1%, while WTI slipped $3.15, or 4.4%, to $68.63 a barrel, Reuters said.
The benchmarks gained 4% last week in volatile trade as markets priced in uncertainty around the extent of Israel's response to the Iranian missile attack on Oct. 1 and the US election next month.
Scores of Israeli jets completed three waves of strikes before dawn on Saturday against missile factories and other sites near Tehran and in western Iran, in the latest exchange in the escalating conflict between the Middle Eastern rivals.
The geopolitical risk premium that had built in oil prices in anticipation of Israel's retaliatory attack came off, analysts said.
"The more limited nature of the strikes, including avoiding oil infrastructure, have raised hopes for a de-escalatory pathway, which has seen the risk premium come off a few dollars a barrel," Saul Kavonic, a Sydney-based energy analyst at MST Marquee, said.
"The market will be watching closely for confirmation Iran won't counter attack in the coming weeks, which could see the risk premium rise again."
Commonwealth Bank of Australia analyst Vivek Dhar expects market attention to turn to ceasefire talks between Israel and Iran-backed militant group Hamas that resumed over the weekend.
"Despite Israel’s choice of a low aggression response to Iran, we have doubts that Israel and Iran’s proxies (i.e. Hamas and Hezbollah) are on track for an enduring ceasefire," he said in a note.
Citi lowered its Brent price target in the next three months to $70 a barrel from $74, factoring in a lower risk premium in the near term, its analysts led by Max Layton said in a note.
Analyst Tim Evans at US-based Evans Energy said in a note: "We think this leaves the market at least somewhat undervalued, with some risk OPEC+ producers may push back the planned increase in output targets beyond December."
In October, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, a group known as OPEC+, kept their oil output policy unchanged including a plan to start raising output from December. The group will meet on Dec. 1 ahead of a full meeting of OPEC+.