China Oil Imports from Saudi Arabia Rebound

Oil and gas tanks are seen at an oil warehouse at a port in Zhuhai, China. Reuters file photo
Oil and gas tanks are seen at an oil warehouse at a port in Zhuhai, China. Reuters file photo
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China Oil Imports from Saudi Arabia Rebound

Oil and gas tanks are seen at an oil warehouse at a port in Zhuhai, China. Reuters file photo
Oil and gas tanks are seen at an oil warehouse at a port in Zhuhai, China. Reuters file photo

China’s oil imports from Saudi Arabia rebounded last month from June, to 6.56 million tons, or 1.54 million bpd, but still slightly below year-ago level, data showed Saturday.

Russia held its spot as China's top oil supplier for a third month in July, data showed, as independent refiners stepped up purchases of discounted supplies while cutting shipments from rival suppliers such as Angola and Brazil.

Imports of Russian oil, including supplies pumped via the East Siberia Pacific Ocean pipeline and seaborne shipments from Russia's European and Far Eastern ports, totaled 7.15 million tons, up 7.6% from a year ago, data from the Chinese General Administration of Customs showed.

Still, Russian supplies in July, equivalent to about 1.68 million barrels per day (bpd), were below May's record of close to 2 million bpd. China is Russia's largest oil buyer.

Year-to-date imports from Russia totaled 48.45 million tons, up 4.4% on the year, still trailing behind Saudi Arabia, which supplied 49.84 million tons, or 1% below the year-ago level.

Customs reported no imports from Venezuela or Iran last month. State oil firms have shunned purchases since late 2019 for fear of falling foul of secondary US sanctions.



Goldman Says High Freight Costs Pose Upside Risk to its Brent Forecast

A drone view shows fuel vessels docked at the Baniyas oil terminal in Baniyas, Syria, October 12, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
A drone view shows fuel vessels docked at the Baniyas oil terminal in Baniyas, Syria, October 12, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
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Goldman Says High Freight Costs Pose Upside Risk to its Brent Forecast

A drone view shows fuel vessels docked at the Baniyas oil terminal in Baniyas, Syria, October 12, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
A drone view shows fuel vessels docked at the Baniyas oil terminal in Baniyas, Syria, October 12, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri

The global average crude freight rate remains seven times higher than a year ago and is unlikely to fall sharply while the Middle East conflict persists, posing some upside risk to Goldman Sachs' Brent price forecast, the bank said in a note dated Tuesday.

The global average crude freight rate surged above $20/bbl from $3/bbl a year ago, with rates on Middle Eastern routes rising above $35/bbl, the bank said.

According to Reuters, Goldman said the war-risk premium for ⁠crossing the Strait of ⁠Hormuz and ship-to-ship transfers account for more than half of the year-over-year increase in global crude freight rates.

Higher freight rates are expanding differentials between crude grades by altering trade patterns and lending support to prices for ⁠refined products, but weighing on refiners' net margins, the bank said.

The bank said a rebound in Gulf crude exports may ease crude prices but push up freight rates if ship-to-ship transfers are driving the export increase.

Goldman said even in its baseline scenario of Brent falling to $90/bbl by year-end and averaging $80/bbl in 2027, Gulf production recovery and stable exports would still ⁠require ship-to-ship transfers ⁠in the absence of reliable navigation through the Strait of Hormuz.

The bank sees upside risk to its Brent forecast from prolonged elevated freight rates along with the potential for more intense attacks on shipping, damage to oil infrastructure and a stickier geopolitical risk premium.

A lack of progress in restoring Middle Eastern refined product exports suggests that bunker fuel supplies may remain tight for longer, it added.


Gold Dips for Fourth Session as Oil Rally Fans Inflation Concerns

Gold jewelry displayed at the Korea Gold Exchange store in Seoul (AFP)
Gold jewelry displayed at the Korea Gold Exchange store in Seoul (AFP)
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Gold Dips for Fourth Session as Oil Rally Fans Inflation Concerns

Gold jewelry displayed at the Korea Gold Exchange store in Seoul (AFP)
Gold jewelry displayed at the Korea Gold Exchange store in Seoul (AFP)

Gold prices eased for a fourth session on Wednesday as higher oil prices stoked inflationary concerns, while investors looked ahead to next week's Federal Reserve policy meeting for clues on the future path of interest rates.

Spot gold was down 0.2% at $4,118.18 per ounce by 0319 GMT, while US gold futures for December delivery dropped 0.2% ‌to $4,136.20, Reuters reported.

"The metal could ‌remain under some pressure as crude ‌prices returned ⁠to the upside, ⁠keeping inflationary pressures in place and reinforcing hawkish monetary policy expectations," said Bas Kooijman, CEO and asset manager of DHF Capital S.A.

Oil prices edged higher on Wednesday on Middle East supply concerns, with traders wary of Red Sea shipping risks.

"At this point, if some ⁠of these rate hikes that the markets have ‌baked in for next year ‌fall out of the forecast or at least downgrade in their ‌likelihood, then that's likely to send gold higher," said Ilya ‌Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive.

The Fed will skip raising interest rates this month and deliver a hike in December, according to nearly all economists polled by Reuters, as policymakers signal patience ‌even as stubborn inflation argues for a tougher response.

Expectations of a rate hike at the central ⁠bank's October 27-28 ⁠policy meeting are as low as 16%, while traders still see a 90% chance of a hike in December, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.

Higher interest rates typically weigh on gold prices because they increase the opportunity cost of holding the metal, which does not pay interest.

The US dollar index stabilized after recent losses, further reducing demand for bullion.

Markets are also waiting for the US Personal Consumption Expenditures data next week, the Fed's preferred gauge to monitor its 2% inflation target.

Among other metals, spot silver slid 0.9% to $57.44 per ounce, platinum dropped 0.6% to $1,638.61 and palladium slipped 1.1% to $1,090.84.


Oil Rises on Middle East Supply Fears, US Inventory Drawdowns

A pumpjack operates after sunrise in Kern County, which has a long history of oil production, in California's 22nd Congressional District on October 16, 2026 near Bakersfield, California. (Getty Images/AFP)
A pumpjack operates after sunrise in Kern County, which has a long history of oil production, in California's 22nd Congressional District on October 16, 2026 near Bakersfield, California. (Getty Images/AFP)
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Oil Rises on Middle East Supply Fears, US Inventory Drawdowns

A pumpjack operates after sunrise in Kern County, which has a long history of oil production, in California's 22nd Congressional District on October 16, 2026 near Bakersfield, California. (Getty Images/AFP)
A pumpjack operates after sunrise in Kern County, which has a long history of oil production, in California's 22nd Congressional District on October 16, 2026 near Bakersfield, California. (Getty Images/AFP)

Oil prices gained over $1 on Wednesday as escalating Middle East tensions fueled fears of supply disruptions, while falling US crude and product inventories lent support to the market.

Brent crude futures rose $1.59, or 1.5%, to $110.38 per barrel as of 0350 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained $1.36, or 1.4%, to $99.18 per barrel.

Prices fell in the previous trading session after Iran's president discussed ‌mediation efforts in ‌a meeting with Pakistan's army chief in Tehran, though ‌Brent ⁠hit a five-month high ⁠before easing.

"Oil prices have been having a bit of wild ride in the last couple of sessions," said Suvro Sarkar, head of energy research at DBS.

"We believe this is a mix of profit taking and optimistic hopes of a Qatar- or Pakistan-brokered deal, countered by the realization that any deal is still very distant and compounded further by inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute (API), which ⁠shows drawdowns continuing in the US for both crude and ‌products."

Iran told Pakistan's army chief there would ‌be no talks with Washington until its demands were met, Iranian media outlet Nournews reported ‌on Tuesday, adding that a Qatari delegation had arrived in Tehran. There ‌was no official confirmation of the reports.

Maritime security risks are also escalating. Shiptracker Kpler said on Monday that at least 18 vessel attacks were recorded over the past two weeks, while LSEG analysts warned Iran was targeting tankers well beyond the Strait of Hormuz, reaching ‌into the Gulf of Oman and jeopardizing Gulf crude loadings and the ship-to-ship transfers supporting regional loadings.

The death toll from a Houthi attack on Yemeni government forces on Monday rose to 73 as fighting intensified.

In the US, two Energy Department officials said on Tuesday they were working with refiners around the world to boost fuel output as a diesel shortage has raised prices.

According to market sources citing API data, US crude stocks fell by 4.9 million barrels in the week ended October 16.