Israel Reinforces Army Presence on Lebanon’s Borders in Anticipation of 'Gas War'

US Special Envoy Amos Hochstein is leading efforts to reach an agreement between Lebanon and Israel to demarcate the maritime borders (EPA)
US Special Envoy Amos Hochstein is leading efforts to reach an agreement between Lebanon and Israel to demarcate the maritime borders (EPA)
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Israel Reinforces Army Presence on Lebanon’s Borders in Anticipation of 'Gas War'

US Special Envoy Amos Hochstein is leading efforts to reach an agreement between Lebanon and Israel to demarcate the maritime borders (EPA)
US Special Envoy Amos Hochstein is leading efforts to reach an agreement between Lebanon and Israel to demarcate the maritime borders (EPA)

Israel warned of the possibility of a war with Lebanon if Hezbollah carried out its threats to prevent work on a gas extraction platform in a disputed area in the Mediterranean.

Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz said in an interview with Radio 103 FM in Tel Aviv on Monday: “I believe that in the future, there will be two gas platforms. One on our side, one on theirs. And I hope that we do not have to go through another round of confrontations before then.”

He continued: “I believe that [Hezbollah] is not interested in an agreement to demarcate the borders between the two sides. However, if [the party] tries to carry out the threat of [its leader Hassan] Nasrallah that he will not let Israel extract gas in the event of not reaching an agreement on the demarcation of the maritime borders, then attacking an Israeli platform may lead to a day of fighting that could develop into several combat days, and this may lead to war. There will be a tragedy for the state of Lebanon and its citizens.”

Sources in Tel Aviv had pointed to tangible progress in the ongoing US-brokered negotiations on the border demarcation. The sources talked about the possibility of Israel ceding a section inside the sea, in exchange for a Lebanese abandoning an area closer to the shore.

On Sunday evening, Israeli Channel 12 said that Israeli security officials feared that Nasrallah would seek to provoke Israel again, “in the hope of obtaining Israeli concessions,” noting that the two sides were about to sign an agreement.

Sources in Beirut, however, denied the news and said that they were not aware of such mutual concessions.

For his part, the former head of the Military Intelligence Division in the Israeli army, Amos Yadlin, warned Sunday that Hezbollah was becoming “overconfident in its provocations… and was at risk of overplaying its hand and sparking a conflict with Israel, similar to the buildup ahead of the last war between Israel and Hezbollah in 2006.”

On Monday, reinforcements and masses of Israeli forces were seen on high alert on the northern border with Lebanon.

In Beirut, the media office of the Deputy Speaker of Parliament, Elias Bou Saab, issued a statement, saying that he had a lengthy conversation on Monday afternoon with US mediator Amos Hochstein, over the course of the maritime negotiations.



Erdogan Warns Israel Over Repercussions of Attacks on Syria

A handout photo made available by the Turkish Presidential Press Office shows Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (L) shaking hands with Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shibani (R) during their meeting in Ankara, Turkey, 15 January 2025. EPA/TURKISH PRESIDENTIAL OFFICE HANDOUT HANDOUT EDITORIAL USE ONLY/NO SALES
A handout photo made available by the Turkish Presidential Press Office shows Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (L) shaking hands with Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shibani (R) during their meeting in Ankara, Turkey, 15 January 2025. EPA/TURKISH PRESIDENTIAL OFFICE HANDOUT HANDOUT EDITORIAL USE ONLY/NO SALES
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Erdogan Warns Israel Over Repercussions of Attacks on Syria

A handout photo made available by the Turkish Presidential Press Office shows Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (L) shaking hands with Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shibani (R) during their meeting in Ankara, Turkey, 15 January 2025. EPA/TURKISH PRESIDENTIAL OFFICE HANDOUT HANDOUT EDITORIAL USE ONLY/NO SALES
A handout photo made available by the Turkish Presidential Press Office shows Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (L) shaking hands with Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shibani (R) during their meeting in Ankara, Turkey, 15 January 2025. EPA/TURKISH PRESIDENTIAL OFFICE HANDOUT HANDOUT EDITORIAL USE ONLY/NO SALES

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan preempted discussions with a Syrian government delegation in Ankara by announcing that the talks would focus on supporting Syria and reconstruction efforts.

Addressing parliament on Wednesday, Erdogan stated: “Israel must immediately cease its hostilities on Syrian territory; otherwise, the consequences will negatively affect everyone.”

The Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs hosted Turkish-Syrian talks on Wednesday under the 3+3 format, involving Foreign Ministers Hakan Fidan and Asaad Al-Shibani, Defense Ministers Yasar Guler and Marhaf Abu Qasra, and intelligence chiefs Ibrahim Kalin and Anas Khattab.

According to sources in Türkiye, the discussions addressed developments in Syria, particularly the status of the Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG), the largest faction within the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). The talks also covered the ongoing clashes between the SDF and the Türkiye-backed Syrian National Army factions in eastern Aleppo. Ankara aims to resolve the issue by disarming the YPG, expelling foreign fighters from Syria, and integrating Syrian fighters into a unified Syrian army.

Sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that the talks also explored cooperation in security, counterterrorism, energy, reconstruction, and development.

Additionally, the agenda included the “voluntary and safe return” of Syrian refugees and efforts to lift sanctions imposed on Damascus.

The sources noted that Türkiye would reiterate its support for the Syrian administration in various areas to ensure a successful transitional phase and achieve security and stability in Syria.

In a speech to the parliamentary group of the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) on Wednesday, Erdogan declared: “We will not allow any form of chaos in Syria, nor will we permit seeds of discord to be sown between us and the Syrian people.” He also warned Israel against continuing its hostilities on Syrian territory.

“Everyone must withdraw their hands from the region. Together with our Syrian brothers, we are capable of crushing ISIS, the YPG, and all terrorist organizations in a short time,” Erdogan stated.

He described the YPG as the “biggest problem in Syria now, after the removal of former President Bashar al-Assad,” and warned that if the YPG fighters do not disarm, they “will not escape their inevitable fate.”

He also emphasized that Türkiye is committed to addressing the concerns of Syrian Kurds and guarantees their security.

Meanwhile, five SDF fighters were killed in drone strikes and artillery shelling by Türkiye on the Seri Tel axis near the Tishrin Dam in eastern Aleppo. The number of casualties among Turkish-backed factions rose to 13 over two days amid ongoing clashes between the two sides.

The fighting, now in its second month, has yet to alter territorial control. Türkiye-backed factions have taken over Tell Rifaat and Manbij but are facing stiff resistance from the SDF and its affiliated Manbij Military Council forces in attempts to breach the strategic Tishrin Dam axis.

Simultaneously, the US-led international coalition against ISIS conducted night drills with the SDF on Tuesday-Wednesday in the Qasrak base in western Al-Hasakah countryside. The exercises involved live ammunition and artillery shells to enhance coordination and combat readiness against potential threats in the region.