Gas Prices Soar as Indefinite Halt of Nord Stream 1 Kindles Winter Fears

View of pipe systems and shut-off devices at the gas receiving station of the Nord Stream 2 Baltic Sea pipeline in Lubmin, Germany, Sunday, Sept. 4, 2022. (dpa via AP)
View of pipe systems and shut-off devices at the gas receiving station of the Nord Stream 2 Baltic Sea pipeline in Lubmin, Germany, Sunday, Sept. 4, 2022. (dpa via AP)
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Gas Prices Soar as Indefinite Halt of Nord Stream 1 Kindles Winter Fears

View of pipe systems and shut-off devices at the gas receiving station of the Nord Stream 2 Baltic Sea pipeline in Lubmin, Germany, Sunday, Sept. 4, 2022. (dpa via AP)
View of pipe systems and shut-off devices at the gas receiving station of the Nord Stream 2 Baltic Sea pipeline in Lubmin, Germany, Sunday, Sept. 4, 2022. (dpa via AP)

Dutch and British wholesale gas prices soared on Monday morning, reversing most of a downward trend seen the previous week, after Russian gas deliveries to Germany via the Nord Stream 1 were suspended indefinitely over the weekend.

The British contract for day-ahead delivery sky-rocketed 200 pence, or 133% to 350 pence per therm by 0929 GMT, and the within-day contract gained 50 pence to 350 p/therm.

On the continent, the Dutch TTF day-ahead gas contract was up 54.52 euros, or 29% at 245 euros per megawatt hour (MWh).

Further out, Dutch gas for October, the European benchmark contract, gained 59 euros to 268 euros/MWh.

The British October contract was up 146 pence at 546 p/therm.

Prices reacted to a post-market close announcement on Friday from Russia's Gazprom that an oil leak in equipment of the Nord Stream 1 pipeline, which runs under the Baltic Sea to Germany, meant it would stay shut beyond last week's three-day maintenance shutdown.

"Our TTF day-ahead price view today is for prices to pare last week's losses as Europe braces itself for no Russian gas for the foreseeable future and exacerbates fears of a winter supply crunch," Refinitiv analyst Wayne Bryan said in a morning report.

Fundamental drivers were taking a backseat, with Russian rhetoric not supporting a restart of flows via Nord Stream 1 anytime soon, he added.

The Kremlin has repeatedly blamed Western sanctions for the shutdown.

"The market should rise a lot Monday, but the question is for how much and how long, and to what extent the market had already priced this in," analysts at Energi Danmark said in a note.

Europe is losing close to 1 billion cubic meters of natural gas supply per month due to the loss of Nord Stream 1, Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at ING said.

The latest move also increased nervousness about flows via Ukraine as well as the TurkStream pipeline, going forward, he added.

"What is clear is that the more Russia reduces gas flows to Europe, the less leverage they have over Europe," Patterson said.

Analysts at Sweden's SEB bank said they maintained a Russian gas flow scenario of 10-20% of normal capacity during the winter.

"This would partly maximize Russian geo- and energy security political pressure on the EU, and partly provide Moscow with valuable income," they added.

Anticipating rising market volatility, Finland and Sweden reacted immediately over the weekend by promising liquidity guarantees to energy companies.

European gas storages were 81.55% full as of Sept. 3, according to Gas Infrastructure Europe data.

In the European carbon market, the benchmark contract was down 3.49 euros at 74.40 euros a ton.



From Russia, Alkhorayef Says Saudi Aims to Lead in Future Tech

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef (Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources)
Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef (Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources)
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From Russia, Alkhorayef Says Saudi Aims to Lead in Future Tech

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef (Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources)
Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef (Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources)

Saudi Arabia is leading a sweeping industrial transformation aimed at reshaping the national economy and securing a leading position in advanced sectors, the kingdom’s Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef said.

Speaking at the main session of the INNOPROM 2025 international industry fair in Yekaterinburg, Russia, Alkhorayef highlighted Saudi Arabia’s early adoption of future technologies and its efforts to boost production capabilities within global value chains.

He outlined that the National Industrial Strategy, launched in 2022, serves as the operational framework for the kingdom’s industrial vision. The strategy focuses on three integrated pillars targeting key industrial groups. The first pillar covers industries related to national security — including food, pharmaceuticals, water, and military sectors — which Saudi Arabia aims to localize through active partnerships.

Alkhorayef said the second pillar focuses on industries that leverage Saudi Arabia’s relative advantages, including abundant natural resources such as oil, gas, and minerals, as well as its strategic geographic location that positions the kingdom as a global logistics hub. Key sectors under this pillar include advanced petrochemicals, mining, and value-added manufacturing.

The third pillar targets future-oriented and emerging technologies. Saudi Arabia aims to strengthen its position in the early adoption of cutting-edge technologies through clear incentive policies.

These include support for research and development, applications of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, artificial intelligence, and 3D printing. Complementary measures such as the local content policy prioritize domestic products and bolster reliance on national capabilities, he added.

Alkhorayef also outlined recent developments in the kingdom’s mining sector, a key focus of Vision 2030. He said efforts have followed three main tracks, starting with expanded geological exploration that boosted the estimated value of Saudi mineral reserves from $1.3 trillion to $2.5 trillion. These reserves include strategic minerals such as phosphate and copper, with ongoing attention to social and environmental considerations in mining areas.

The second track involves strengthening international partnerships through the annual Riyadh International Mining Conference, which has evolved into a global platform addressing challenges related to securing critical raw materials for the energy transition.

The conference fosters coordination among governments, private sector players, and academic and research institutions to enhance the mining sector’s efficiency and sustainability. Alkhorayef expressed gratitude for the Russian government’s contributions to the event.

Highlighting strong Saudi-Russian ties, he said there are promising opportunities to deepen cooperation, particularly given the alignment between Saudi Vision 2030 and Russia’s 2030 national development goals in economic growth, digital transformation, and technological leadership.

Alkhorayef noted that the launch of the Saudi-Russian Joint Committee in 2002 and the opening of the Saudi commercial attaché office in Moscow in 2022 marked key milestones in advancing the partnership. He pointed to significant growth in bilateral trade, which surged from $491 million in 2016 to over $3.28 billion in 2024.