Worsening Living Crisis Stirs Fears of Security Chaos in Lebanon

Lebanese gathered in front of a bank branch in Beirut in support of a depositor who stormed the institution to demand his money (EPA)
Lebanese gathered in front of a bank branch in Beirut in support of a depositor who stormed the institution to demand his money (EPA)
TT

Worsening Living Crisis Stirs Fears of Security Chaos in Lebanon

Lebanese gathered in front of a bank branch in Beirut in support of a depositor who stormed the institution to demand his money (EPA)
Lebanese gathered in front of a bank branch in Beirut in support of a depositor who stormed the institution to demand his money (EPA)

Security fears in Lebanon are escalating amid a crippling economic crisis that has seen the salaries of army soldiers drop to $33 a month. The local currency, the Lebanese pound, has depreciated by more than 90% against the US dollar on the black market.

Perhaps what exacerbated security fears is that bank heists in Lebanon have become a growing trend – but armed “robbers” storming into banks are not stealing anyone else’s money. They are just demanding access to their own savings.

The incidents have become increasingly common as Lebanon’s economic crisis persists. Many believe that the phenomenon is set to rise amid popular frustration among depositors about their inability to get back their money soon. Three years into the crisis, the Lebanese government has failed in finding a clear economic and financial plan to determine the fate of depositors’ money.

A source at the Forces of Change parliamentary group, who requested anonymity, predicted that more “robberies” will take place as the currency continues to depreciate and hit unprecedented levels.

“The World Bank asked a number of experts a while ago to study the worst scenario that Lebanon might witness if the collapse continues, and three scenarios have been developed,” the source told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Noting that Lebanon has already entered the second phase, the source explained that the third scenario, which is feared most by observers, entails total security chaos spilling from Lebanon’s northern city of Tripoli to Palestinian refugee camps and eventually spreading nationwide.

According to the source, Forces of Change deputies had warned Lebanese political leaders of potential security chaos sweeping the Mediterranean nation.

“The only way to prevent reaching this stage of collapse is to hurry to elect a president, form a government, approve the recovery plan and sign an agreement with the IMF,” explained the source.

“Otherwise, we will be heading towards chaos,” they warned.



Ankara: Assad Does Not Want Peace in Syria

Fidan addresses the Planning and Budget Committee of the Turkish Parliament (Turkish Foreign Ministry)
Fidan addresses the Planning and Budget Committee of the Turkish Parliament (Turkish Foreign Ministry)
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Ankara: Assad Does Not Want Peace in Syria

Fidan addresses the Planning and Budget Committee of the Turkish Parliament (Turkish Foreign Ministry)
Fidan addresses the Planning and Budget Committee of the Turkish Parliament (Turkish Foreign Ministry)

Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has stated that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad is unwilling to pursue peace in Syria and warned that Israel’s efforts to spread war across the Middle East are undermining the environment fostered by the Astana Process.

Fidan emphasized the importance of Russian and Iranian efforts within the framework of the Astana Process to maintain calm on the ground, pointing to ongoing consultations with the US regarding the Syrian crisis.

Speaking during a parliamentary session discussing the 2025 budget of the Foreign Ministry, Fidan reiterated Türkiye’s expectation that the dialogue proposed by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan will be approached strategically by the Syrian government, with priority given to the interests of the Syrian people.

Regarding Erdogan’s invitation to Assad for a meeting to discuss the normalization of ties between Ankara and Damascus, Fidan remarked that the matter depends on political will, stressing that the Turkish president has demonstrated his readiness at the highest level.

Last week, Erdogan reiterated the possibility of a meeting with Assad, but Russia, which mediates the normalization talks between Ankara and Damascus, ruled out such a meeting or high-level engagements in the near future.

Russian Presidential Envoy to Syria Alexander Lavrentiev attributed the impasse to Türkiye’s refusal to meet Damascus’ demand for a withdrawal from northern Syria, accusing Ankara of acting as an “occupying state”.

Although Türkiye has not officially responded to Lavrentiev’s comments, which reflect a shift in Russia’s stance, Fidan stated in a televised interview last week that Russia remains “somewhat neutral” regarding the normalization process. He also urged the Syrian government to create conditions for the return of 10 million Syrian refugees.

Türkiye maintains that its military presence in northern Syria prevents the country’s division, blocks the establishment of a “terror corridor” along its southern border, and deters new waves of refugees from entering its territory.

Fidan outlined his country’s key objectives in Syria, which include eradicating terrorist groups (such as the Kurdistan Workers’ Party and the Syrian Democratic Forces), preserving Syria’s territorial unity, advancing the political process, and ensuring the safe and voluntary return of Syrian refugees.

Meanwhile, Turkish artillery targeted villages and positions controlled by the Manbij Military Council, affiliated with the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), whose main component is the People’s Protection Units (YPG).

On Friday, fierce clashes erupted between the Syrian National Army factions and the SDF in western Tel Abyad, northern Raqqa. Simultaneously, Turkish artillery strikes reportedly killed two SDF members and injured others, with reports of captives and missing personnel.

In retaliation, the SDF shelled Turkish bases in the Ain Issa countryside. Turkish forces responded by deploying military reinforcements amid heightened alert at their bases in Raqqa’s countryside, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR).