Oil Price Dips as Dollar Strengthens, Demand Weakens

Storage tanks are seen at Marathon Petroleum's Los Angeles Refinery, which processes domestic & imported crude oil into California Air Resources Board (CARB) gasoline, CARB diesel fuel, and other petroleum products, in Carson, California, US, March 11, 2022. Picture taken with a drone. REUTERS/Bing Guan/File Photo
Storage tanks are seen at Marathon Petroleum's Los Angeles Refinery, which processes domestic & imported crude oil into California Air Resources Board (CARB) gasoline, CARB diesel fuel, and other petroleum products, in Carson, California, US, March 11, 2022. Picture taken with a drone. REUTERS/Bing Guan/File Photo
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Oil Price Dips as Dollar Strengthens, Demand Weakens

Storage tanks are seen at Marathon Petroleum's Los Angeles Refinery, which processes domestic & imported crude oil into California Air Resources Board (CARB) gasoline, CARB diesel fuel, and other petroleum products, in Carson, California, US, March 11, 2022. Picture taken with a drone. REUTERS/Bing Guan/File Photo
Storage tanks are seen at Marathon Petroleum's Los Angeles Refinery, which processes domestic & imported crude oil into California Air Resources Board (CARB) gasoline, CARB diesel fuel, and other petroleum products, in Carson, California, US, March 11, 2022. Picture taken with a drone. REUTERS/Bing Guan/File Photo

Oil prices retreated slightly on Thursday after gaining more than $3 in the prior session, with a strong dollar capping oil demand from buyers using other currencies and concerns over the faltering economic outlook clouding market sentiment.

Brent crude futures fell 41 cents, or 0.5%, to $88.91 per barrel by 0337 GMT while US crude futures dropped by 35 cents, or 0.4%, to $81.80.

Both benchmarks had rebounded in the prior two sessions after reaching nine-month lows this week after a temporary dive in the dollar index and a larger-than-expected drawdown of US fuel inventory raised hopes of a consumer demand recovery.

However, the dollar index trended upward again on Thursday, dampening investor risk appetite and stoking fears of a global recession.

The Bank of England said it is committed to buying as many long-dated government bonds, know as gilts, as needed between Wednesday and Oct. 14 to stabilize its currency after the British government's budgetary plans announced last week caused the sterling to tumble.

Goldman Sachs cut its 2023 oil price forecast on Tuesday, citing expectations of weaker demand and a stronger US dollar, but said global supply disappointments reinforced its long-term bullish outlook.

In China, the world's biggest crude oil importer, travel during the week-long national holiday is set to hit the lowest level in years as Beijing's persistent zero-COVID rules prompt people to stay at home and economic woes dampen spending.

Citi economists have lowered their China GDP forecast from 5% year-on-year growth to 4.6% for the fourth quarter of 2022, Reuters reported.

"Stringent zero-COVID measures and a weak property sector continue to cloud growth prospects," Citi analysts wrote in a note on Wednesday.

On the other side of the world, the European Union proposed a new round of sanctions against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine, including tighter trade restrictions, more individual blacklistings and an oil price cap for third countries.

But the bloc's 27 member countries will need to overcome their own differences to implement them.



Saudi-Indian Business Council: Modi’s Visit to Launch Strategic Private Sector Partnership

A photo of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in 2019 (SPA)
A photo of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in 2019 (SPA)
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Saudi-Indian Business Council: Modi’s Visit to Launch Strategic Private Sector Partnership

A photo of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in 2019 (SPA)
A photo of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in 2019 (SPA)

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is expected to arrive in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday for an official visit during which he will meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to discuss trade, investment, and energy cooperation.

In anticipation of the visit, the Saudi-Indian business community has expressed optimism about strengthening bilateral ties and advancing toward deeper economic integration through the launch of new joint projects that aim to establish a strategic partnership between the two countries’ private sectors.

Abdulaziz Al-Qahtani, Chairman of the Saudi-Indian Business Council, told Asharq Al-Awsat that India is Saudi Arabia’s third-largest trading partner in terms of exports and fourth in terms of imports, underscoring the importance of their economic relationship.

Al-Qahtani noted that trade between the two countries has grown significantly in recent years, with total bilateral trade reaching approximately $157 billion in 2023—a 20% year-on-year increase.

India’s major exports to the Kingdom include chemical products, organic and inorganic materials, pearls, precious stones, metals, copper, and aluminum. In return, Saudi imports from India consist of plant-based and mineral products, pharmaceuticals, apparel, iron goods, machinery, electrical equipment, and vehicles.

Regarding new initiatives and agreements, Al-Qahtani highlighted two private sector agreements signed in February, signaling both nations’ serious commitment to expanding cooperation in trade, investment, and economic development.

He added that the council is currently working on several initiatives, including activating the bilateral investment promotion and protection agreement, implementing the double taxation avoidance treaty, and proposing frameworks for preferential treatment. These steps aim to enable unconventional projects to benefit from advantages available in both countries.

Al-Qahtani also noted the rising presence of Indian companies in the Saudi market, with more than 50 firms currently operating in the Kingdom. Several of these companies have recently opened regional headquarters in Saudi Arabia.

The sectors with the highest Indian activity include construction—with 20 companies in this field—along with health, training, and technology. “We are now set to begin cooperation in the manufacturing sector as well,” Al-Qahtani said.