OPEC Head: Uncertainty Over Demand, Global Economy are the Reasons for the Cut, Not Politics

OPEC's Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais (EPA)
OPEC's Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais (EPA)
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OPEC Head: Uncertainty Over Demand, Global Economy are the Reasons for the Cut, Not Politics

OPEC's Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais (EPA)
OPEC's Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais (EPA)

The reduction in oil production targets more spare capacity in case of any global emergency, OPEC's Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais has announced.

The 13 members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and 11 of its allies led by Russia, known as OPEC+, agreed on Wednesday to lower their production by two million barrels per day.

Saudi Arabia said the reduction was necessary to respond to the West's interest rate hike and the weak global economy. The United States criticized the decision, and the White House said it indicated that the group "is aligning with Russia."

High energy prices are a significant issue in the US when President Joe Biden faces the congressional midterms next month.

Ghais told Al Arabiya TV that OPEC's latest decision "was not a decision from one country against another, and I want to be clear in saying this, and it's not a decision from two or three countries against a group of other countries."

He explained there are solid indicators for "the likelihood of recession," and the group decided "to pre-empt and to be proactive."

Western nations worry higher energy prices will hurt the fragile global economy and hinder efforts to deprive Moscow of oil revenue following its invasion of Ukraine.

European Union sanctions on Russian crude and oil products are also set to take effect in December and February, respectively.

Asked about the sanctions and a European proposal to cap the price of Russian oil, Ghais said he could not comment on the matter.

"The truth is, the shape of these proposed sanctions is not quite clear, and how they will be implemented is also unclear, so we cannot comment."

The Sec-Gen also said OPEC+ does not target prices: "We are not targeting a price. We are targeting a balance in supply and demand."

Oil prices rose on Friday, heading for gains for the second week in a row, supported by OPEC's decision for the most significant supply cut since 2020, despite concerns about recession and high-interest rates.

Brent crude rose 89 cents, or 0.94 percent, to $95.31 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 90 cents, or 1.02 percent, to $89.35 a barrel.

Stephen Brennock of oil broker PVM said that among the critical ramifications of OPEC's latest cut is a likely return of $100 oil, noting that the gains will be limited in light of the growing unfavorable economic factors.

Both contracts posted their second straight weekly gains and their most significant weekly percentage gains since March this week, with Brent close on recording an eight percent increase this week.

However, it is still significantly lower after approaching an all-time high of $147 a barrel in March after Russia invaded Ukraine.

The dollar's rise added to pressure on oil prices amid statements from Federal Reserve officials indicating that the bank will continue to tighten monetary policy sharply.

In France, the Minister of Transport Clement Beaune said on Friday that the government was prepared to make further use of strategic reserves at the weekend to ease the tensions.

Beaune told channel LCI that he would allow fuel trucks to deliver shipments on Sundays to ease market shortages.

Most urban petrol stations in France appeared to be affected by shortages leading to long queues at gas stations.

Labor strife has hit the country's two biggest refineries in Normandy, run by TotalEnergies SE and Exxon Mobil Corp, which affected two-thirds of the country's oil production.

He indicated that the companies and workers are in negotiations, adding that the government is doing everything possible to ease the situation, especially in the most affected regions.



Trump Says He’ll Place 25% Tariff on Autos from EU, Accusing Bloc of Not Complying with Trade Deal

Cargo containers line a ship at the Port of Oakland on Wednesday, Aug. 6, 2025, in Oakland, Calif. (AP)
Cargo containers line a ship at the Port of Oakland on Wednesday, Aug. 6, 2025, in Oakland, Calif. (AP)
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Trump Says He’ll Place 25% Tariff on Autos from EU, Accusing Bloc of Not Complying with Trade Deal

Cargo containers line a ship at the Port of Oakland on Wednesday, Aug. 6, 2025, in Oakland, Calif. (AP)
Cargo containers line a ship at the Port of Oakland on Wednesday, Aug. 6, 2025, in Oakland, Calif. (AP)

President Donald Trump said Friday that he will increase the tariffs charged on cars and trucks from the European Union next week to 25%, a move that could jolt the world economy at a fragile moment.

Trump said in the post that the EU “is not complying with our fully agreed to Trade Deal,” though he did not flesh out his objections in the post.

Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen had agreed to the trade deal last July. It set a 15% tariff on most goods.

Both the US and the EU had previously confirmed their commitment to preserving the trade framework, known as the Turnberry Agreement, which was named after Trump’s golf course in Scotland.

But the status of the 2025 deal was first cast into doubt after the Supreme Court this year ruled that the Republican president lacked the legal authority to declare an economic emergency and charge tariffs on EU goods.

The initial agreement had been a tariff ceiling of 15% on goods from the EU, but the Supreme Court ruling reduced that to 10% as the Trump administration launched a new set of import taxes based on other laws.

The Trump administration is in the middle of investigations on trade imbalances and national security risks to impose a new tariff regime, which could ultimately put the agreement with the EU in risk of violation.

The EU had said it expected the bilateral deal would save European automakers about 500 million to 600 million euros ($585 million to $700 million) a month.

The value of EU-US trade in goods and services amounted to 1.7 trillion euros ($2 trillion) in 2024, or an average of 4.6 billion euros a day, according to EU statistics agency Eurostat.

“A deal is a deal,” the European Commission said in February after the Supreme Court ruling. “As the United States’ largest trading partner, the EU expects the US to honor its commitments set out in the Joint Statement — just as the EU stands by its commitments. EU products must continue to benefit from the most competitive treatment, with no increases in tariffs beyond the clear and all-inclusive ceiling previously agreed.”


Chevron's Upstream Strength Lifts First-quarter Earnings Past Estimate

3D-printed oil pump jacks and the Chevron logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
3D-printed oil pump jacks and the Chevron logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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Chevron's Upstream Strength Lifts First-quarter Earnings Past Estimate

3D-printed oil pump jacks and the Chevron logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
3D-printed oil pump jacks and the Chevron logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Chevron exceeded Wall Street estimates for its first-quarter earnings on Friday, as elevated oil prices linked to the US-Israeli war on Iran helped boost results from its upstream business.

The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.41 per share, well above the consensus estimate of 95 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. Despite the strong beat, overall profit marked its lowest level in five years, partly due to unfavorable timing effects tied to financial derivatives.

Chevron's upstream segment, its largest business unit, generated $3.9 billion in earnings, up 4% year-on-year as higher oil prices led to increased revenue.

"Despite heightened geopolitical volatility and related supply disruptions, Chevron delivered solid first-quarter performance, underscoring the resilience of our portfolio and the value of disciplined execution," CEO Mike Wirth said in a statement.

The conflict with Iran, which began on February 28, significantly disrupted global energy markets. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz was nearly halted, tightening supply and pushing oil prices up as much as 50% during the reported quarter.

Net income for the January-March period totaled $2.2 billion, down from $3.5 billion a year earlier. However, Chevron's exposure to the Middle East turmoil remains limited, accounting for less than 5% of its total production.

DOWNSTREAM RESULTS IN THE RED

In contrast, downstream operations swung to a loss of $817 million, from a profit of $325 million last year. This decline was largely due to accounting mismatches from derivative-related timing effects, which are expected to start reversing in the next quarter.

Larger rival Exxon also disclosed a similar hit from timing effects.

Chevron anticipates that paper positions worth about $1 billion will close and result in profit in the second quarter, Chief Financial Officer Eimear Bonner said in an interview.

Excluding timing effects that are typical in a volatile environment, she said Chevron's underlying business was strong.

"We can see cash flow growing, we can see earnings growing, and all our plans are on track."

The company said it could see additional timing effects if oil prices continue to rise and further "unwinds" when prices fall.

LIMITED MIDDLE EAST EXPOSURE

Chevron has lower production exposure to the Middle East compared with its peers. Production in the US remained robust, exceeding 2 million barrels per day for the third consecutive quarter, the company said.

First-quarter volumes declined slightly to 3.86 million barrels of oil equivalent per day compared with the previous three months due to downtime at the Tengiz field in Kazakhstan after a fire.

Free cash flow also swung to a negative $1.5 billion due to lower operating cash flow. On an adjusted basis excluding impacts to working capital, the metric was still down from the year-ago quarter.

Bonner reaffirmed the company's target of achieving at least 10% annual growth in adjusted free cash flow through 2030. During the quarter, Chevron paid $3.5 billion in dividends and repurchased $2.5 billion worth of shares. The buyback figure was lower than the previous quarter, though Bonner said the company continues to target full-year buybacks between $10 billion and $20 billion.

Chevron's results were strong, though some investors may be disappointed by the lack of buyback increases, said Biraj Borkhataria, an analyst with RBC Capital Markets, in a research note. He added that stronger cash generation this year could help lift repurchases in the second quarter.

The company said that capital expenditure in the first three months of 2026 was higher than last year, partly due to investments tied to its Hess acquisition, although this was offset by reduced spending in the Permian Basin.

Chevron shares were up less than 1% in pre-market trading.


Gold Heads for Weekly Loss as High Oil Prices Feed inflation worries

A jeweller holds gold bars in Cairo, Egypt, March 9, 2026. (Reuters)
A jeweller holds gold bars in Cairo, Egypt, March 9, 2026. (Reuters)
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Gold Heads for Weekly Loss as High Oil Prices Feed inflation worries

A jeweller holds gold bars in Cairo, Egypt, March 9, 2026. (Reuters)
A jeweller holds gold bars in Cairo, Egypt, March 9, 2026. (Reuters)

Gold prices fell more than 1% on Friday and were headed for a weekly loss of a similar magnitude, as elevated oil prices continued to fan inflation concerns that would discourage central banks from cutting interest rates.

Spot gold was down 1.1% at $4,573.33 per ounce at 1149 GMT, and on track for a weekly loss of 2.8%. US gold futures for June delivery fell 1% to $4,585.20.

"Gold remains negatively correlated to oil in the short term, as it impacts interest rate expectations," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Iran said on Thursday it would respond with "long and painful strikes" on US positions if Washington renewed attacks, reiterating its claim to the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reported.

Brent crude prices have touched double the levels seen at the start of the year, raising concerns about a global economic slowdown and higher inflation as fuel prices surge.

US inflation accelerated in March as the war raised gasoline prices, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve could keep interest rates on hold well into next year.

The European Central Bank and the Bank of England left interest rates unchanged on Thursday, following similar decisions this week by the Fed and the Bank of Japan.

Gold, traditionally seen as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainty and inflation, can come under pressure in a high interest rate environment as it loses its appeal to yield-bearing assets like US Treasuries.

However, Staunovo said UBS retained a constructive outlook over the next six to 12 months.

"Uncertainty surrounding upcoming (US) midterm elections, expectations of a weaker US dollar over time, and declining real interest rates (as the Fed cuts) will likely support investment demand alongside continued central bank demand," he said.

He added that these factors could drive prices towards $5,900/oz by late 2026.

Spot silver prices fell 0.3% to $73.53 per ounce, platinum was down 0.5% at $1,975.65, and palladium lost 0.1% to $1,522.18.