Sudanese Parties Close to Reaching Agreement on Civilian Government

Al-Burhan delivers a speech in a northern region of the country on Friday. (SUNA)
Al-Burhan delivers a speech in a northern region of the country on Friday. (SUNA)
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Sudanese Parties Close to Reaching Agreement on Civilian Government

Al-Burhan delivers a speech in a northern region of the country on Friday. (SUNA)
Al-Burhan delivers a speech in a northern region of the country on Friday. (SUNA)

The Sudanese are expecting an imminent agreement to form a civilian government, with a civilian president and prime minister.

The current head of the Sovereignty Council, Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, is likely to be named commander-in-chief of the army, and his deputy, Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, commander of the Rapid Support Forces, as hinted by UN Representative Volker Perthes and confirmed by a source in the Coalition of the Declaration of Freedom of Change.

In a speech on Friday, Al-Burhan spoke about “good news” for the people, without giving further details. He said the political forces would make concessions for the sake of Sudan’s security and stability. He also announced his readiness to adopt any initiative that would save the country from the current crisis.

The military establishment and an appreciable part of the political forces made concessions, Al-Burhan said during a public speech, in Al-Basabir area in the north of the country.

His comments came in parallel with information on an agreement between the army and the opposition to form a transitional government, which would be headed by a civilian prime minister, in addition to the establishment of a security and defense council to include members from the military institution.

According to the said agreement, Al-Burhan would assume the position of commander-in-chief, and his deputy, Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, commander of the Rapid Support Forces.

A leading source in the Coalition of the Declaration of Freedom and Change, which is conducting negotiations with the military, confirmed that a full agreement was reached between the two parties on a document according to which the military would leave power to open the way for a civilian democratic transition.

Based on the agreement, civilians, military personnel, and leaders of armed struggle movements would participate in the Security and Defense Council under the presidency of the civilian prime minister. All police and security services would be entrusted to the prime minister, in addition to the formation of a transitional legislative council that would include all revolutionary forces.

The source, who spoke on condition of anonymity, expected that the agreement would be signed within the next few days with the unanimity of all parties.

In an interview with Al-Arabiya channel, Perthes pointed to an understanding to form a Security and Defense Council headed by the prime minister.

He also stressed the importance of the military being part of the institutions, as long as they are outside politics.

“The legitimacy of the armed movements was determined by the Juba Peace Agreement; but if we want a stable future for Sudan, there cannot be 5 or 6 different armies... We are talking about elections within 24 months, so how can we imagine that a movement or a party with an army will engage in the elections, against the rest of the civil parties?!” Perthes said in his interview.

On issues of justice, Perthes said that the Sudanese were asking for answers about the status of those responsible for the crimes committed in their country, stressing that they have the right to obtain these answers.



Mediators on Standby for Obstacles as Gaza Ceasefire Starts

 Palestinians transport belongings amidst building rubble in a ruined neighborhood of Gaza's southern city of Rafah on January 20, 2025, as residents return following a ceasefire deal a day earlier between Israel and the Palestinian Hamas group. (AFP)
Palestinians transport belongings amidst building rubble in a ruined neighborhood of Gaza's southern city of Rafah on January 20, 2025, as residents return following a ceasefire deal a day earlier between Israel and the Palestinian Hamas group. (AFP)
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Mediators on Standby for Obstacles as Gaza Ceasefire Starts

 Palestinians transport belongings amidst building rubble in a ruined neighborhood of Gaza's southern city of Rafah on January 20, 2025, as residents return following a ceasefire deal a day earlier between Israel and the Palestinian Hamas group. (AFP)
Palestinians transport belongings amidst building rubble in a ruined neighborhood of Gaza's southern city of Rafah on January 20, 2025, as residents return following a ceasefire deal a day earlier between Israel and the Palestinian Hamas group. (AFP)

Sunday's delayed start to the Gaza ceasefire and incidents on Monday in which Israeli troops shot at Palestinians approaching them underline some of the hiccups likely to face a deal that will play out in the shadow of mutual mistrust and bitterness.

Qatar and Egypt, which brokered the deal alongside the US, have set up a communications hub to tackle any problems, where officials who worked on the deal for months hope to head off new clashes between foes locked in a years-long cycle of Gaza wars.

"These kinds of deals are never easy to maintain," said Majed Al-Ansari, spokesperson for Qatar's foreign ministry.

Particularly in a war zone the situation can shift very quickly, either by accident or through political posturing on one side or another, he said.

"Any party could consider a threat a reason to violate the parameters of the agreement, and therefore we would end up with having to go in and to find a way to resume the ceasefire."

With just over an hour to go before the ceasefire was due to take effect on Sunday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that Israel would not observe the halt to fighting until Hamas handed over the names of the three hostages to be released later in the day.

Fighting continued almost three hours past the deadline, while a Hamas official in the coordination room set up in Cairo discussed the delay, which Hamas put down to unspecified "technical issues" with officials.

The issue was eventually dealt with and the three hostages were released on schedule in the afternoon in exchange for 90 Palestinian prisoners freed from Israeli jails late that night, setting off emotional scenes as they returned to their families.

"We don't expect things to go according to plan," said one official briefed on the negotiations, adding that issues of this kind were not expected to derail a process that diplomats and officials have been working on for months.

"It's hard to believe that after all the work the mediators have put in and the assurances they received, both from the US and the mediators, that this deal would derail on day one," the official said.

The multi-phase deal will see an initial six-week ceasefire, during which 33 hostages will be gradually exchanged for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners, people displaced from northern Gaza will be allowed to return to their homes and Israeli troops will pull back from some positions.

During the first phase, negotiations will begin for the release of the remaining 64 hostages, consisting of men of military age and for the full withdrawal of Israeli troops. But few expect the process to go without problems.

OBSTACLES AHEAD

With an extremely low level of trust between both sides who have fought each other for generations, potential pitfalls run from accidental or deliberate confrontations during the period of withdrawal to disputes over the identity and state of hostages to be released or returned.

So far, Hamas has not said how many of the hostages are still alive. A list of the remaining 30 hostages due for release in the first phase and whether they are alive or dead is expected to be handed over on Saturday.

The Israeli military says it is seeking to avoid situations in which Gaza residents come too close to Israeli troops that are pulling back. Already on Monday, troops fired on at least eight Palestinians who approached them, medics in Gaza said.

To prevent this, it will publish maps and guidelines as the agreement progresses, making clear which areas should not be approached as the withdrawal proceeds, an Israeli military official said.

"The areas will change as the troops gradually withdraw from the Gaza Strip," the military official said.

In Israel, the deal is viewed with deep suspicion by some, who say it leaves Hamas in control of Gaza and others who worry that it effectively abandons the hostages not included in the first phase.

Already, hardliner Itamar Ben-Gvir resigned as National security Minister on the morning of the ceasefire and pulled his party from Netanyahu's coalition and others may follow.

Israeli public radio reported that Israeli officials were shocked to see the three hostages released in the center of Gaza on Sunday getting out of a car in the middle of a large crowd of people held back by Hamas fighters in uniform, and will inform the mediators that they regard such scenes as unacceptable.

But mediators are counting on positive momentum as the release of hostages and prisoners continues over the coming weeks to ease opposition.

"The pictures we have seen yesterday of the three Israeli hostages meeting with their families, embraced by their families. These are the pictures that would change public opinion in Israeli politics," Ansari said. "The same goes also for the Palestinian populace, when they see 90 of their women and children coming back to their families."

"These are the kind of pictures that change public opinion. They apply real pressure on the leadership to maintain the deal."