Pound Rockets as UK Rips Up Budget, US Stocks Gain

This file photo taken on April 22, 2022 shows pounds and US dollar banknotes displayed on a table in London. (Tolga Akmen/AFP)
This file photo taken on April 22, 2022 shows pounds and US dollar banknotes displayed on a table in London. (Tolga Akmen/AFP)
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Pound Rockets as UK Rips Up Budget, US Stocks Gain

This file photo taken on April 22, 2022 shows pounds and US dollar banknotes displayed on a table in London. (Tolga Akmen/AFP)
This file photo taken on April 22, 2022 shows pounds and US dollar banknotes displayed on a table in London. (Tolga Akmen/AFP)

The pound surged against the dollar Monday as Britain's fourth finance minister in as many months sensationally ripped up a tax-cutting budget that had spooked markets.

Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt axed almost all of the debt-fueled tax cuts unveiled last month by the new government of Prime Minister Liz Truss, reassuring markets that had tanked and pushing the pound to an all-time low against the dollar.

The pound rose on Monday more than two percent against the greenback at its peak, while US and European equities advanced and oil prices inched lower.

"No government can control markets but every government can give certainty about the sustainability of public finances," Hunt said in a televised address that demolished the maligned budget.

Yields on UK government bonds, or gilts, slid on Monday's fiscal policy U-turns as London's benchmark FTSE 100 shares index pushed higher, along with Frankfurt and Paris.

"The markets are responding positively to the new chancellor's plans to reverse almost all of the tax cuts announced by his predecessor," noted Victoria Scholar, head of investment at Interactive Investor.

- Wall Street rallies -
All three main indices on Wall Street rebounded Monday, with the S&P 500 winning 2.7 percent.

Bank of America became the latest US financial heavyweight to top estimates following on the heels of JPMorgan Chase and other banks that reported solid results on Friday.

Analysts have been hopeful that a successful third-quarter earnings season could reset a market that has tumbled in 2022 due to worries over inflation and Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.

"I think people after the last couple of bank earnings are relatively optimistic about earnings reports," said Maris Ogg of Tower Bridge Advisors, who thinks those hopes may be premature.

"But I think that we will know in the next couple of weeks if the market has bottomed or not," said Ogg, who notes that the market's pullback in 2022 means "there are some pretty attractive valuations out there."

Elsewhere, Asian equities started the week in mixed fashion.

There was a little disappointment among investors after Chinese President Xi Jinping at the weekend reasserted his commitment to the zero-Covid strategy of lockdowns that has hammered the economy this year.

Beijing has also delayed the release of anticipated economic growth figures -- which analysts had expected to be some of its weakest quarterly growth figures since 2020, as the economy is hobbled by the Covid-19 restrictions and a real estate crisis.

Eyes are also on Tokyo as the yen sits around a three-decade low against the dollar owing to US rate hike expectations and the Bank of Japan's refusal to tighten monetary policy, citing a need to support the economy.

The yen is approaching 150 to the dollar for the first time since 1990, but while officials have said they are keeping tabs on developments, they have yet to intervene in markets for a second time, having done so last month.

- Key figures around 2030 GMT -
New York - Dow: UP 1.9 percent at 30,185.82 (close)

New York - S&P 500: UP 2.7 percent at 3,677.95 (close)

New York - Nasdaq: UP 3.4 percent at 10.675.80 (close)

London - FTSE 100: UP 0.9 percent at 6,920.24 (close)

Frankfurt - DAX: UP 1.7 percent at 12,649.03 (close)

Paris - CAC 40: UP 1.8 percent at 6,040.66 (close)

EURO STOXX 50: UP 1.8 percent at 3,441.64 (close)

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.2 percent at 26,775.79 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: UP 0.2 percent at 16,612.90 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.4 percent at 3,084.94 (close)

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.1351 from $1.1172 Friday

Dollar/yen: UP at 149.03 yen from 148.67 yen

Euro/dollar: UP at $0.9840 from $0.9722

Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.66 pence from 87.02 pence

Brent North Sea crude: DOWN less than 0.1 percent at $91.62 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.2 percent at $85.46 per barrel



Iraq Oil Output Exceeds 5 million bpd

Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
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Iraq Oil Output Exceeds 5 million bpd

Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)

Iraq produces more than 5 million barrels of oil per day (bpd), Oil Minister Basim Mohammed told state news agency INA on Saturday.

According to Reuters, Iraq is pushing for a higher OPEC production quota as the economic fallout from the Iran war and new investment by oil majors increase pressure on Baghdad to boost output, potentially putting it at odds with the producer group.

The conflict has hit Iraq particularly hard, forcing major export cuts and depriving the state of oil revenue, which accounted for 88% of government income last year.


IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
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IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)

Central bankers around the world would need to consider any slowdown in AI-driven growth as they assess steps in their fight against inflation, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Friday.

Georgieva said concerns about dependence on the AI investment boom and high valuations were impacting markets around the world.

"Things are going up and down, and this is likely to continue," she told an audience at IMF headquarters in Washington, adding that the volatility would complicate the job of central banks at a time when risks to price stability had been growing.

A steep rout in technology stocks on Thursday rippled through markets on fears that ⁠the Democrats' victory ⁠in the US midterm elections would increase regulatory scrutiny of AI and slow the data center build-out, sending investors to the safety of bonds.

The political jitters are hitting an AI trade already on shaky footing due to worry about return on massive spending on AI-related infrastructure, with the meltdown spurring margin calls and spooking retail investors and hedge ⁠funds alike.

Georgieva said the AI investment boom was lifting growth in some countries, helping to offset a negative oil-supply shock triggered by the war in the Middle East, but it was also adding to inflationary pressures and financial stability concerns.

The IMF last month flagged significant growth and financial stability risks from a potential ending of the AI investment boom, among other factors, including a prolonged Middle East war. At the time, it warned that a steep drop in AI investment could lead to a sharp fall in asset prices, ultimately cutting global GDP ⁠by 1.1% ⁠by 2028, including a 1.8% drop in US output.

Georgieva did not repeat the downside forecast on Friday, but acknowledged the recent market volatility.

"Should there be a slowdown in the AI-driven growth impulse, it would need to be factored in as central banks assess the necessary steps in the fight against stubborn inflation," she said.

Democrats are planning to unleash a flood of new legislation targeting artificial intelligence systems and data-center development when they take control of the US Congress in January, Reuters reported on Friday, citing congressional aides and advocates.

That would mark a sharp shift from the Republican-led Congress, where lawmakers largely focused on promoting AI development and declined to pass legislation restricting the technology.


World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
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World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)

World food prices edged lower in October as weaker import demand contributed to monthly declines in cereal, dairy and meat prices, but were still nearly 6% higher than a year earlier, the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization said on Friday.

The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks monthly changes in international prices for a basket of food commodities, ‌averaged 133.9 points ‌in October, down from a revised ‌135.6 ⁠in September.

The index ⁠was 5.9% higher than a year earlier, but remained 16.4% below its March 2022 peak.

FAO's cereal price index fell 4.5% from September and was 12.6% lower than a year ago, as wheat and maize quotations declined. Wheat prices eased on weak import demand ⁠and improved production prospects, especially in Argentina.

"Expectations of ‌easing constraints on Black ‌Sea export flows added to the downward pressure on prices, ‌although continued disruptions to Black Sea logistics limited the decline," ‌FAO said in a statement.

Maize prices also eased after reaching a three-year high in September, pressured by the US harvest, expectations of ample supplies in South America and renewed ‌prospects of easing tensions in the Black Sea region.

Vegetable oil prices edged up 0.3%, ⁠as ⁠higher soybean and sunflower oil prices more than offset a fall in rapeseed oil prices.

Sugar prices rose 6.6%, their fourth straight monthly increase, to the highest level since December 2024, after rainfall disrupted harvesting in Brazil. They were now 28.8% above a year ago.

The dairy index fell 1.1%, as lower butter and cheese prices linked to ample supplies and subdued demand outweighed gains in milk powder.

The meat index declined 1.2%, while still slightly above its year-earlier level, as ovine and bovine meat prices fell.