Iran Disregards Ongoing Protests, Expects Riot to Subside

A police motorcycle burns during a protest in Tehran (Reuters)
A police motorcycle burns during a protest in Tehran (Reuters)
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Iran Disregards Ongoing Protests, Expects Riot to Subside

A police motorcycle burns during a protest in Tehran (Reuters)
A police motorcycle burns during a protest in Tehran (Reuters)

On the 56th day of the Iranian riots, a senior security official expected the protests "to subside," while the Iranian judiciary threatened to establish courts to "firmly handle" those who cause "turmoil" or "commit crimes" during the anti-government protests sweeping the country.

The protests constitute one of the biggest challenges facing the country's rulers since the Islamic Revolution in 1979. Demonstrations against the regime have continued for eight weeks despite strict security measures and severe warnings issued by the security forces.

According to social media, the authorities escalated strict security measures in Tehran and deployed a group of policemen on horses to quell the protests.

The Iranian authorities used police cavalry to control the protests that erupted following the death of Mahsa Amini while the morality police were holding her.

Women led the protest movement, removing and burning their headscarves while chanting anti-regime slogans and confronting security forces in the streets despite the crackdown that killed dozens.

- Government denial

About two months after the protests, numerous videos on social media showed security forces using live ammunition, tear gas, and even paintballs.

The government imposed Internet restrictions, including blocking access to Instagram and WhatsApp, and waged a campaign of mass arrests.

Government spokesman Ali Bahadori Jahromi said, "it would have been a piece of cake for police forces to use live rounds on the protesters," and people would be afraid to leave their homes.

Jahromi argued that the government will not resort to such actions because youths on the streets are not enemies but "our wrongdoer children."

The state-run Mehr news agency quoted the Head of Passive Defense, Brigadier General Gholamreza Jalali, saying that the "sedition and riots" are subsiding, noting that the violence has overpassed terrorism.

Sit-ins were renewed in several universities in Tehran.

The Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA) published the students' chant "Death to the regime" and "there will be deaths among the IRGC ranks."

Meanwhile, the former professor at Tehran University, Zahra Rahnavard, wife of reformist leader Mir Hossein Mousavi, called for ending the crackdown on protesters, including students.

Rahnavard, who has been under house arrest with Mousavi since February 2011, called for releasing all detained students and stopping threatening, depriving, and expelling students.

Vice-president for parliamentary affairs Mohammed Hosseini was interrupted by angry students during a speech at Tarbiat Modares University in central Tehran. Hosseini was trying to restore calm and contain the situation at the universities.

The state-run ISNA news agency said the students chanted "Women, Life, Freedom" and "Release the detained students."

Hosseini addressed the students and asserted that he was there to listen to them, noting that a university is a place for dialogue, and there is no need to chant slogans if things are discussed within reason.

The lawmaker commented on requests to hold a referendum on the policies, precisely the form of the regime, similar to the referendum that took place after the 1979 revolution. He said that the Iranian regime is the only one elected based on a referendum. However, the system's origin cannot be put to a referendum.

- Overthrow and disintegration

Presidential advisor on legal affairs Mohammad Dehghan said the recent developments in Iran were "beyond protest" and that the enemy seeks to use the unrest to disintegrate Iran.

Dehghan warned that the enemy, using everything in its power, especially the media, is seeking to disintegrate Iran through regime change.

The call for a new referendum was first made by Iran's leading Sunni cleric Molavi Abdulhamid, based in the south-eastern city of Zahedan.

Abdulhamid condemned the Iranian state for making accusations of "separatism" against the protesters, asserting: "we are all Iranians, and we feel brotherhood."

He blamed the officials' performance saying that 43 after the revolution, women, sects, and minorities faced discrimination and inequality.

Iranian officials accuse the United States of inflaming tensions, and hardliner lawmakers urged the judiciary to "deal decisively" with the perpetrators.

HRANA reported that nearly 15,000 had been arrested, pointing out that 429 university students had been charged.

The organization said late Monday that the death toll had reached 321 people, including 50 children, in 136 cities and 135 universities that witnessed protests.

The organization indicated that 38 members of the police forces, Basij forces, and security services had been killed in the campaign.

The judiciary vows

Judiciary spokesman Masoud Setayeshi said the court is about to issue a verdict against the two journalists, Niloofar Hamedi and Elaheh Mohammadi, who are detained in Evin prison.

During his weekly press conference, Setayeshi said that Hamedi and Mohammadi are under pre-trial detention for propaganda against the regime and conspiracy against national security.

Last week, Iranian intelligence accused the two journalists of being "foreign agents" and considered their status as journalists nothing but a "cover."

Hamedi worked for the pro-reform Sharq daily and was the first to signal to the world that all was not well with Amini with a photo of her parents hugging each other in a Tehran hospital.

Mohammadi covered Amini's funeral in Saqez, where the protests began.

Setayeshi asserted that Iran's courts would deal firmly with anyone who causes disruption or commits crimes during a wave of anti-government protests.

More than 1,000 people have been indicted in Tehran Province alone in connection with what the government calls "riots."

"Now, the public, even protesters who are not supportive of riots, demand from the judiciary and security institutions to deal with the few people who have caused disturbances in a firm, deterrent, and legal manner," Setayeshi said.



Satellite Images Suggest North Korea Expanding Missile Plant, Researchers Say

A satellite image shows a suspected missile assembly building under construction (lower center of photo) at the "February 11 Plant" near Hamhung, North Korea in this handout image obtained by Reuters on November 20, 2024. (Planet Labs PBC/Handout via Reuters)
A satellite image shows a suspected missile assembly building under construction (lower center of photo) at the "February 11 Plant" near Hamhung, North Korea in this handout image obtained by Reuters on November 20, 2024. (Planet Labs PBC/Handout via Reuters)
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Satellite Images Suggest North Korea Expanding Missile Plant, Researchers Say

A satellite image shows a suspected missile assembly building under construction (lower center of photo) at the "February 11 Plant" near Hamhung, North Korea in this handout image obtained by Reuters on November 20, 2024. (Planet Labs PBC/Handout via Reuters)
A satellite image shows a suspected missile assembly building under construction (lower center of photo) at the "February 11 Plant" near Hamhung, North Korea in this handout image obtained by Reuters on November 20, 2024. (Planet Labs PBC/Handout via Reuters)

North Korea is expanding a key weapons manufacturing complex that assembles a type of short-range missile used by Russia in Ukraine, researchers at a US-based think tank have concluded, based on satellite images.

The facility, known as the February 11 plant, is part of the Ryongsong Machine Complex in Hamhung, North Korea's second-largest city, on the country's east coast.

Sam Lair, a research associate at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS), located at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey, said the plant was the only one known to produce the Hwasong-11 class of solid-fuel ballistic missiles. Ukrainian officials say these munitions - known as the KN-23 in the West - have been used by Russian forces in their assault on Ukraine.

The expansion of the complex has not been previously reported.

Both Moscow and Pyongyang have denied that North Korea has transferred weapons for Russia to use against Ukraine, which it invaded in February 2022. Russia and North Korea signed a mutual defense treaty at a summit in June and have pledged to boost their military ties.

North Korea's mission to the United Nations did not respond to a request for comment for this story.

The satellite images, taken in early October by the commercial satellite firm Planet Labs, show what appears to be an additional assembly building under construction as well as a new housing facility, likely intended for workers, according to the analysis by researchers at CNS.

It also appears that Pyongyang is improving the entrances for some of the underground facilities at the complex.

A disused bridge crane that was in front of a tunnel entrance, blocking easy access, was removed, suggesting they might be placing an emphasis on that part of the facility, Lair said.

"We see this as a suggestion that they're massively increasing, or they're trying to significantly increase, the throughput of this factory," Lair said.

The new assembly building is about 60 to 70 percent the size of the previous building used to assemble missiles.

In 2023, state media published images, which Reuters has reviewed, showing North Korean leader Kim Jong Un walking through new buildings at the complex in Hamhung, where workers were assembling tail kits and nose cones for what appeared to be the KN-23, according to analysts.

In the past, publicly released videos from North Korean state media show that the complex has produced everything from tank wheels to the casings for rocket motors, Lair said.

LOW-FLYING MISSILES

The KN-23 was first tested in May 2019, and is designed to evade missile defenses by flying on a lower, "depressed" trajectory, experts have told Reuters, making them potentially useful for Russia as it seeks ways to penetrate Ukraine's air defenses.

Russia has fired thousands of missiles since the invasion. Leaning on North Korea for additional supplies could ease the strain on its own production facilities, Lair said.

North Korea's state news agency KCNA has reported that construction is underway at the Ryongsong Machine Complex.

This month, KCNA said the facility "is pushing ahead with the projects for attaining the goal for modernization planned for this year." The work includes rebuilding production facilities as well as assembling and installing equipment at machine workshops and a steel casting workshop, it said.

Researchers at SI Analytics, a South Korean satellite imagery firm that uses AI technology to scour images, also confirmed the new construction at the February 11 plant, saying in a report on Monday that some of the construction near the loading area would likely be used to conceal the future operations of the factory from satellites.

"Considering the presence of numerous construction materials, vehicles, and open-top freight cars loaded with materials around the site, the construction appears to be progressing rapidly," the firm said. The report said the facility was used to produce ballistic missiles, without naming the KN-23.

Michael Duitsman, also a research associate at CNS, said it was possible that the new construction revealed in the satellite images could be a storage facility, but he believed it was more likely a new assembly building.

North Korean missiles account for a fraction of Russia's strikes during its war on Ukraine, but their alleged use has caused alarm in Seoul and Washington because it suggests an end of nearly two-decade consensus among UN Security Council permanent members on preventing Pyongyang from expanding its ballistic missile programs.

SI Analytics said on Monday it had also identified new construction at the nearby February 8 Vinalon Complex, which is believed to produce fuel for ballistic missiles. The construction may be aimed at boosting production of solid propellants or UDMH, an important liquid rocket engine fuel, the report said.

Joseph Dempsey, a military analyst with London's International Institute for Strategic Studies, said that North Korea's expansion of short-range ballistic missile facilities would likely be motivated mainly by a desire to boost the country's own arsenal.

He said it was unclear to what extent Pyongyang may have expanded production capacity to meet the demands of its new cooperation with Moscow.

More than 10,000 North Korean troops have been deployed to the Russian region of Kursk, where Ukraine launched a major cross-border incursion in August, according to Washington, Kyiv and Seoul.

The troops will fight as part of Russia's airborne unit and marines, with some already participating in battles in the Ukraine war, a South Korean lawmaker who sits on the parliamentary intelligence committee said on Wednesday.

Russia has not denied the involvement of North Korean troops in the war, which it has been waging in Ukraine since launching a full-scale invasion in February 2022.