Two New Brotherhood Administrations, Leaderships Provoke Egypt’s Political Circles

Mohammed Badie, former Muslim Brotherhood leader, in prison (File photo: Reuters)
Mohammed Badie, former Muslim Brotherhood leader, in prison (File photo: Reuters)
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Two New Brotherhood Administrations, Leaderships Provoke Egypt’s Political Circles

Mohammed Badie, former Muslim Brotherhood leader, in prison (File photo: Reuters)
Mohammed Badie, former Muslim Brotherhood leader, in prison (File photo: Reuters)

The recent developments within the Muslim Brotherhood, which Egypt classifies as a terrorist organization, have preoccupied the political circles, especially with the battle over leadership.

The competition became apparent after the recent decisions that led to establishment of two administrations and two acting guides in London and Istanbul.

Islamist specialists discussed the conflict between "London Front" and the "Istanbul Group" and the expected scenario.

The Istanbul Front appointed Mahmoud Hussein as acting guide, and hours later, the London Front responded by naming Moheddine al-Zait as their chief.

Earlier, London Front acting leader Ibrahim Munir dissolved the Administrative Office for Organization Affairs in Turkey and formed a supreme body as an alternative to the Brotherhood’s Guidance Office.

The crisis heightened after the London Front formed a new Shura Council, dismissing six members of the Istanbul Shura, including Hussein himself. The Istanbul Shura Council formed the "Acting Committee of the General Shura" led by Mustafa Tolba and dismissed Munir from his position.

In response, the London Front dismissed Tolba, declaring in a statement that it “did not recognize the decisions of the Istanbul Front or the so-called General Shura Council.”

Egyptian Islamist researcher Ahmed Sultan was not surprised by the recent development and said it was an extension of the dispute that began in 2020 within the organization, explaining that it was a structural division that reached the international organization.

Sultan told Asharq Al-Awsat that each front is seeking to lead the organization, adding that the division intensified between the two sides, and the differences deepened.

Last June, the Guidance Office met in London without Hussein. It issued a statement stressing the need to pledge allegiance to Munir in his capacity as an acting guide.

Sultan reported that Hussein was asked to solve his issues with the London group and acknowledge Munir as the acting guide, who refused and established a global organization and appointed Hammam Ali Yusef as its secretary general.

The expert confirmed that Hussein’s appointment was rightful regarding regulation, but the dispute involved managing the organization’s assets and funds.

The London Front viewed Hussein’s group as a dissident. Munir chose three deputies before his death, but they have not made a selection, which created a regulatory problem because Muni was not the organization’s guide.

The issue was whether the Chargé d’Affairs had the right to choose his deputy or deputies so that one could assume his duties in his absence or death.

Munir formed a committee to justify the procedure legally, and his measure was settled. The next step was for the General Shura Council in London to agree on one of the three deputies, but the council did not meet.

Sultan also explained that Hussein, after Munir's death, presented an initiative to regroup the organization and reached out to some leaders in London, but they refused.

Hussein activated Article 5 of the regulation by assuming the position while the London Front was still preparing to choose an official representative of the guide, according to the expert.

Sultan said that it was likely that the London front will likely choose Buhairi, and if that happened, there would be two guides for the Brotherhood for the first time in the history of the organization.

Meanwhile, Islamist researcher Ahmed Zaghloul told Asharq Al-Awsat that the conflict within the organization is intensifying, and it may deepen further if the London Front fails to choose an acting leader formally.

Zaghloul stressed that having two leaders as the acting guide would increase and deepen the conflict, which could lead to escalatory measures.

Asked about the form of leadership within the organization, the researcher explained there were three: London, Istanbul, and the Movement for Change, and two groups: the first, whose memberships are frozen, and the Egyptian domestic group.

He also noted that the position of the prison leaders regarding the developments remains unknown.

London front announced earlier that imprisoned leaders support Munir. Still, it did not resolve the dispute within the Brotherhood, said Zaghloul, noting that they might side with Hussein or that the London front might delay naming its leader to obtain their support and approval.



Half of Yemen’s Population Face Mounting Risks from Climate Change

Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
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Half of Yemen’s Population Face Mounting Risks from Climate Change

Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)

Already suffering from a prolonged conflict as a result of the Houthi coup against the legitimate authority, Yemen is facing mounting risks brought on by climate change, the World Bank warned on Thursday.
Many populations are facing threats from climate change, such as extreme heat, drought, and floods, the WB said in its newly released Yemen Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR).
Stephane Guimbert, World Bank Country Director for Egypt, Yemen and Djibouti said that Yemen is facing an unprecedented convergence of crises — conflict, climate change, and poverty.
He called for immediate and decisive action on climate resilience, a matter of survival for millions of Yemenis.
“By investing in water security, climate-smart agriculture, and renewable energy, Yemen can safeguard human capital, build resilience and lay the foundations for a path to sustainable recovery,” he said.
The WB report said half of Yemenis are already exposed to at least one climate hazard — extreme heat, drought, or flooding — with compounding effects on food insecurity and poverty.
These risks, it showed, are expected to intensify without immediate action and Yemen’s annual GDP could decline by an average of 3.9% by 2040 under pessimistic climate scenarios, largely due to decreased agricultural productivity and infrastructure damage.
Navigating Challenges
Despite these challenges, the CCDR identifies strategic opportunities to strengthen resilience, improve food and water security, and unlock sustainable growth, the WB report noted.
For example, it said, targeted investments in water storage and groundwater management, coupled with adaptive agriculture techniques could lead to productivity gains of up to 13.5% in crop production under optimistic climate scenarios for the period of 2041 to 2050.
The report also spoke about risks to the fisheries sector, considered as a critical source of livelihood for many Yemenis.
Its projections indicate a potential decline of up to 23% in fish stocks due to rising sea temperatures and altered marine ecosystems.

The WB report also said that climate change exacerbates existing health challenges in Yemen, leading to increased healthcare costs and strain on already fragile health systems.
“It is projected that climate-related health issues could cost the country over $5 billion in excess health costs by 2050,” it noted.
“Addressing these challenges requires integrating climate resilience into public health planning, with a focus on vulnerable groups such as women and children.”
Concerning infrastructure, the report said urban areas and critical infrastructure are especially vulnerable, and without adaptation measures, economic shocks will disproportionately affect already fragile communities.
As for the private sector, it has a critical role to play in addressing Yemen’s pressing development challenges, said Khawaja Aftab Ahmed, IFC’s Regional Director for the Middle East.
“Harnessing its potential through innovative financing mechanisms and guarantee instruments and creating a conducive investment climate can help mobilize the climate-focused funding the country urgently needs to build a greener and more resilient future,” he said.
The WB report also said that Yemen also has immense potential for renewable energy, which could serve as a key component of its climate response and recovery.
It showed that harnessing renewable energy resources not only offers a pathway to reduce reliance on fossil fuels but also enables the creation of a more resilient power infrastructure.
“This will be essential in supporting vital services such as healthcare, water supply, and food distribution, particularly in conflict-affected areas,” it said.
Global Coordination
The World Bank highlighted the significant commitments and coordination from the international community to support Yemen in coping with climate shocks and building broader resilience.
It said securing sustainable peace will be required to unlock the financing and take the action needed to build long-term resilience to climate change.
The CCDR then underscored the importance of flexible, risk-informed decision-making to adapt climate actions to Yemen's uncertain political landscape.
Under a “Peace and Prosperity” scenario, it said, a higher level of adaptation can be implemented, yielding greater economic and social benefits.
Yemeni Minister of Water and Environment, Tawfiq Al-Sharjabi, stressed the importance of integrating climate action into development strategies and adapting to climate fluctuations.
The minister was speaking at a special session to discuss the WB report on the sidelines of the 29th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP29) held in Baku, Azerbaijan.
He said the report represents a significant contribution for Yemen in addressing climate change and will facilitate access to various climate financing options amid the structural and technical fragility faced by institutions due to the war.
The report, Al-Sharjabi added, aligns closely with Yemen's urgent priorities, particularly in the areas of water and food security, enhancing livelihoods, and promoting area-based climate adaptation approaches.