Saudi Arabia Set to Become World’s Fastest-Growing Major Economy in 2023

The Saudi economy is witnessing rapid growth, according to reports issued by international agencies (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi economy is witnessing rapid growth, according to reports issued by international agencies (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Set to Become World’s Fastest-Growing Major Economy in 2023

The Saudi economy is witnessing rapid growth, according to reports issued by international agencies (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi economy is witnessing rapid growth, according to reports issued by international agencies (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia is set to overtake India as the fastest-growing major economy in 2023 after the latter lost growth due to weak demand at home and abroad.

The Kingdom’s real gross domestic product grew by 8.8 % in the third quarter of 2022 compared to the same period in 2021, driven by an increase in oil activities, according to a report released by the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT).

According to Bloomberg, Saudi Arabia is expected to outpace India with 7.6% gross domestic product growth in 2023.

This follows a 6.8% expansion forecast by the Reserve Bank of India, made by the end of March 2022.

Last December, the Saudi Cabinet approved the state’s general budget for the fiscal year 2023.

The budget covers total spending at SAR 1.114 trillion ($297 billion) and expects revenues estimated at SAR 1.130 trillion ($301 billion), producing a surplus of 16 billion riyals ($4.2 billion).

According to a report by the GASTAT, oil activities in the third quarter increased 14.2 percent year-on-year, and 4.5 percent quarter-on-quarter.

The report further pointed out that non-oil activities in the Kingdom also grew 6 % year-on-year.

Government activities also rose by 2.5 % in the third quarter compared to the same period a year ago.

GASTAT's report further noted that crude petroleum and natural gas grew by 14.8 % year-on-year, thus contributing 35.2 % to the national GDP.

“The non-oil economic activities outside the government contributed with a share of 50.7 % to GDP, with the manufacturing (excluding petroleum refining) with a share of 7.8 % being the most important sub-category within the non-oil economy,” the report said.

According to GASTAT, Saudi GDP at current prices amounted to SAR 1.036 trillion in the third quarter of 2022.

By generating 35.2% of Saudi GDP, crude oil and natural gas activities achieved the highest contribution among all other economic activities. This was followed by government services at 14.1%.



Oil Falls as Iran Affirms Commitment to Nuclear Treaty

A view of the Chevron oil refinery in Richmond, California, USA, 27 June 2025. EPA/JOHN G. MABANGLO
A view of the Chevron oil refinery in Richmond, California, USA, 27 June 2025. EPA/JOHN G. MABANGLO
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Oil Falls as Iran Affirms Commitment to Nuclear Treaty

A view of the Chevron oil refinery in Richmond, California, USA, 27 June 2025. EPA/JOHN G. MABANGLO
A view of the Chevron oil refinery in Richmond, California, USA, 27 June 2025. EPA/JOHN G. MABANGLO

Oil futures fell on Friday after Iran reaffirmed its commitment to nuclear non-proliferation and amid expectations that major producers are set to agree to raise their output this weekend.

Brent crude futures were down 22 cents, or 0.32%, to $68.58 a barrel by 0445 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude fell 12 cents, or 0.18%, to $66.88.

Trade was thinned by the US Independence Day holiday.

US news website Axios reported on Thursday that the US was planning to meet with Iran next week to restart nuclear talk, while Iran Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran remains committed to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.

"Thursday's news that the US is preparing to resume nuclear talks with Iran, and Araghchi’s clarification that cooperation with the UN atomic agency has not been halted considerably eases the threat of a fresh outbreak of hostilities," said Vandana Hari, founder of oil market analysis provider Vanda Insights.

Araghchi's comments came a day after Tehran enacted a law suspending cooperation with the UN nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency.

"But the price correction may have to wait till Monday, when the US reopens from a long weekend and takes in Sunday's OPEC+ decision, which is likely to be another 411,000 barrels per day target hike in August," Hari said.

OPEC+, the world's largest group of oil producers, is set to announce an increase of 411,000 bpd in production for August as it looks to regain market share, four delegates from the group told Reuters.

Meanwhile, uncertainty over US tariff policies was renewed as the end of a 90-day pause on higher levy rates approaches.

Washington will start sending letters to countries on Friday specifying what tariff rates they will face on goods sent to the United States, a clear shift from earlier pledges to strike scores of individual trade deals.

President Donald Trump told reporters before departing for Iowa on Thursday that the letters would be sent to 10 countries at a time, laying out tariff rates of 20% to 30%.

Trump's 90-day pause on higher US tariffs ends on July 9, and several large trading partners have yet to clinch trade deals, including the European Union and Japan.

The US imposed sanctions on Thursday against a network that smuggles Iranian oil disguised as Iraqi oil and on a Hezbollah-controlled financial institution, the Treasury Department said.

Trump also said on Thursday that he would meet with representatives of Iran "if necessary".

Separately, Barclays said it raised its Brent oil price forecast by $6 to $72 per barrel for 2025 and by $10 to $70 a barrel for 2026 on an improved outlook for demand.