Egypt's December Inflation Accelerates to Annual 21.3%

The cleaning tools that are made from feathers are displayed at a shop in the Toulon Quarter of Cairo, Egypt, November 30, 2021. REUTERS/Hayam Adel
The cleaning tools that are made from feathers are displayed at a shop in the Toulon Quarter of Cairo, Egypt, November 30, 2021. REUTERS/Hayam Adel
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Egypt's December Inflation Accelerates to Annual 21.3%

The cleaning tools that are made from feathers are displayed at a shop in the Toulon Quarter of Cairo, Egypt, November 30, 2021. REUTERS/Hayam Adel
The cleaning tools that are made from feathers are displayed at a shop in the Toulon Quarter of Cairo, Egypt, November 30, 2021. REUTERS/Hayam Adel

Egyptian annual urban consumer inflation in December rose to 21.3% from 18.7% in November, exceeding analyst expectations, data from the statistics agency CAPMAS showed on Tuesday.

The inflation figure was the highest since December 2017, when it hit 21.9%. The price rises followed a currency devaluation in October and restrictions on imports.

The median forecast in a Reuters poll of 15 economists had projected inflation of 20.50%. Five economists also forecast that core inflation would come in at a median 23.6%, up from 21.5% in November.

The central bank allowed the Egyptian pound to depreciate by about 14.5% on Oct. 27 and let its value continue to weaken slowly and incrementally in November and December.

"Food and beverages were up 4.6% month-on-month (adding to the 4.5% in November), impacted mainly by bread and cereals, dairy, vegetables and meat," said Allen Sandeep of Naeem Brokerage.

This goes somewhat towards absorbing a 25% devaluation in late October but portends more inflation to come, Sandeep said.

"Now combined monthly inflation has risen by around 7% over three months. This is close to a 30% pass through to the urban CPI index. With the new round of devaluation ongoing, which we expect to be roughly 15%, we can expect annual CPI to touch 25% by February."

Egypt's surging prices will add to pressure on the central bank's Monetary Policy Committee to raise interest rates when it next meets on Feb. 2.



Gold Gains on Weaker Dollar; Traders Brace for Fed Rate Decision

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelry shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma/File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelry shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma/File Photo/File Photo
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Gold Gains on Weaker Dollar; Traders Brace for Fed Rate Decision

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelry shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma/File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelry shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma/File Photo/File Photo

Gold prices firmed on Monday, supported by a softer dollar, as investors awaited further details on the US-China trade relations, along with the Federal Reserve's policy meeting due later this week.

Spot gold gained 0.5% to $3,256.85 an ounce, as of 0416 GMT. US gold futures rose 0.7% to $3,265.10.

The dollar was down 0.3% against its rivals, making gold more attractive for other currency holders.

"The US dollar is looking subdued ahead of the Fed meeting this week which is enabling gold to take a mild run higher," KCM Trade's Chief Market Analyst Tim Waterer said.

"We may see gold continue to operate in the $3,200-$3,350 range ahead of the Fed meeting. However, any new headlines on the trade deal could cause volatility to tick up once again."

The market's focus will be on the US central bank policy decision and speeches by several Fed officials due this week, for insights into future monetary policy trajectory.

Traders are now expecting 80 basis points of rate cuts this year starting in July, following the US Labor Department's report on Friday showing larger-than-expected job additions in April.

Non-yielding gold acts as a hedge against global uncertainty and inflation and tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment. US President Donald Trump said he will not remove Jerome Powell as Fed Board Chairman before his term ends in May 2026, while reiterating his call for the Fed to cut interest rates.

Trump on Sunday said the US was meeting with many countries, including China, on trade deals, and his main priority with China was to secure a fair trade deal.

Chinese markets are closed for the Labor Day holiday from May 1-5 and will resume trade on Tuesday, May 6.

Spot silver rose 0.5% to $32.14 an ounce, platinum fell 0.2% to $957.77 and palladium gained 0.2% to $955.28.