New Recruits to Extremist Groups Expected to Surge in Africa

Armed individuals including children from terrorist al-Shabab group in northern Somalia. (AP)
Armed individuals including children from terrorist al-Shabab group in northern Somalia. (AP)
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New Recruits to Extremist Groups Expected to Surge in Africa

Armed individuals including children from terrorist al-Shabab group in northern Somalia. (AP)
Armed individuals including children from terrorist al-Shabab group in northern Somalia. (AP)

More people are joining terrorist groups in Africa, which draws questions on its reasons, said a new report by the UN's international development agency.

The report underscored the importance of economic factors as drivers of recruitment.

Meanwhile, experts expected recruitment to increase as the African governments and international powers fail to find successful approaches to reduce poverty, unemployment, and ethnic marginalization in the continent.

The report monitored a 57 percent decrease from the 2017 findings in the number of people who join extremist groups for religious reasons.

A significant increase of 92 percent of new recruits to extremist groups are joining for better livelihoods compared to the motivations of those interviewed in a previous report released in 2017, according to the UNDP report released on Tuesday. 

“A striking 71 percent” of those who joined the extremist groups were affected by “human rights abuse, often conducted by state security forces”.

The report draws from interviews with nearly 2,200 different people in eight countries: Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Chad, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Somalia, and Sudan.

More than 1,000 of those interviewees are former members of violent extremist groups.

At least 4,155 attacks across Africa were documented since 2017, said the report. In these attacks, 18,417 deaths were recorded in the continent with Somalia accounting for the largest number of fatalities.

The surge of extremism in Africa “threatens to reverse hard-won development gains for generations to come”, UNDP Administrator Achim Steiner said.

“Security-driven counter-terrorism responses are often costly and minimally effective, yet investments in preventive approaches to violent extremism are woefully inadequate,” he added.

“The social contract between states and citizens must be reinvigorated to tackle root causes of violent extremism,” Steiner continued.

Terrorist groups massively exploit poverty, unemployment, and ethnic marginalization, and they have recruited thousands in Africa, according to Ahmed Sultan, an Egyptian expert specialized in extremist groups' affairs.

Sultan told Asharq Al-Awsat that the fragility of most African economies makes the continent a hotbed for terrorist groups especially as the economic conditions worsen as a result of the Russian-Ukrainian war. He expected more recruitments.

Mohamed El Amine Ould Dah, an expert on African Sahel affairs, stated that the major powers are preoccupied with their geopolitical conflicts and have no interest in radically fighting terrorism in the continent because “this requires billions of dollars”.

Ould Dah told Asharq Al-Awsat that unemployment in the Sahel pushes thousands of youths to join terrorist groups. Other factors are oppression and ethnic marginalization practiced by the authorities.



Russia Condemns ‘Irresponsible’ Talk of Nuclear Weapons for Ukraine

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov attends a press conference of Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks at the BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia October 24, 2024. (Reuters)
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov attends a press conference of Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks at the BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia October 24, 2024. (Reuters)
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Russia Condemns ‘Irresponsible’ Talk of Nuclear Weapons for Ukraine

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov attends a press conference of Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks at the BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia October 24, 2024. (Reuters)
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov attends a press conference of Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks at the BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia October 24, 2024. (Reuters)

Discussion in the West about arming Ukraine with nuclear weapons is "absolutely irresponsible", Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Tuesday, in response to a report in the New York Times citing unidentified officials who suggested such a possibility.

The New York Times reported last week that some unidentified Western officials had suggested US President Joe Biden could give Ukraine nuclear weapons before he leaves office.

"Several officials even suggested that Mr. Biden could return nuclear weapons to Ukraine that were taken from it after the fall of the Soviet Union. That would be an instant and enormous deterrent. But such a step would be complicated and have serious implications," the newspaper wrote.

Asked about the report, Peskov told reporters: "These are absolutely irresponsible arguments of people who have a poor understanding of reality and who do not feel a shred of responsibility when making such statements. We also note that all of these statements are anonymous."

Earlier, senior Russian security official Dmitry Medvedev said that if the West supplied nuclear weapons to Ukraine then Moscow could consider such a transfer to be tantamount to an attack on Russia, providing grounds for a nuclear response.

Ukraine inherited nuclear weapons from the Soviet Union after its 1991 collapse, but gave them up under a 1994 agreement, the Budapest Memorandum, in return for security assurances from Russia, the United States and Britain.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said last month that as Ukraine had handed over the nuclear weapons, joining NATO was the only way it could deter Russia.

The 33-month Russia-Ukraine war saw escalations on both sides last week, after Ukraine fired US and British missiles into Russia for the first time, with permission from the West, and Moscow responded by launching a new hypersonic intermediate-range missile into Ukraine.

Asked about the risk of a nuclear escalation, Peskov said the West should "listen carefully" to Putin and read Russia's newly updated nuclear doctrine, which lowered the threshold for using nuclear weapons.

Separately, Russian foreign intelligence chief Sergei Naryshkin said Moscow opposes simply freezing the conflict in Ukraine because it needs a "solid and long-term peace" that resolves the core reasons for the crisis.