Türkiye’s Trade Deficit Rises, Confidence Index Declines


A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
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Türkiye’s Trade Deficit Rises, Confidence Index Declines


A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)

Türkiye’s trade deficit continued to rise in January while the economic confidence index witnessed a sharp decline.

Türkiye’s foreign trade deficit widened 38.4 percent year-on-year to $14.237 billion in January, official data showed on Monday, with imports surging 20.7 percent and exports up 10.3 percent.

The Turkish Statistical Institute said imports climbed to $33.606 billion in January, while exports rose to $19.369 billion.

The overall foreign trade deficit surged 137 percent year-on-year to $109.54 billion in 2022 in Türkiye, the data showed.

The Institute said that Türkiye's exports rose 12.9 percent to $254.1 billion last year, while imports rose 34 percent to $363.7 billion.

Under an economic program unveiled in 2021, Türkiye aims to shift to a current account surplus through stronger exports and low-interest rates, despite soaring inflation and a currency that has tumbled in recent years.

Türkiye's economic confidence index fell 0.3 percent month-on-month in February to 99.1 points, following massive earthquakes that devastated the country's southern region, data from the Turkish Statistical Institute showed on Monday.

The index, which points to an optimistic outlook when above 100 and pessimistic when below, hit a record low in 2020 before recovering as coronavirus measures were eased.

The government introduced a series of measures to ease quake fallout that is expected to cost at least $50 billion. But economists have predicted it will shave some 1-2.5 percentage points off economic growth this year.

Türkiye’s sovereign wealth fund plans to channel cash into the nation’s main stock exchange via exchange-traded funds, in an open-ended attempt to keep the equities market from falling, according to Bloomberg.

The fund will allocate at least $1 billion initially to ETFs run by a state bank, according to people familiar with the matter.

The move differs from previous attempts to support equities since the Borsa Istanbul resumed trading following a halt caused by two devastating earthquakes on February 6. The government initially channeled pension funds’ money into the stock market to reverse the rout after the natural disaster.

The plan is to use ETFs currently run by Ziraat Portfoy, the asset-management arm of state lender T.C. Ziraat Bankasi A.S., the people said. The funds track the performance of various indexes related to Borsa Istanbul.

Domestic investors have become the dominant force in Borsa Istanbul in the past several years as they sought protection against rampant inflation.

The exact size of the fund at its inauguration will be determined once all the TVF companies, such as Turkish Airlines, report 2022 earnings, one of the people said.

Ziraat has several ETFs tracking Türkiye’s main stock exchange, with some focusing on large companies only, such as those listed in the Borsa Istanbul 30 index. Ziraat Portfoy’s BIST 30 Index Fund, the biggest local ETF for Turkish stocks, has already seen 8.1 billion liras ($430 million) in inflows since February 15, according to Bloomberg data.

The Istanbul exchange’s main index, the BIST 100, has a market cap of about $220 billion.

The average trading volume in the past month was about $160 million a day, according to data collected by Bloomberg.

Indexes tracking larger companies will likely be the priority target for the sovereign wealth fund and the buying program has no expiration date, the people said.



Saudi Economic and Development Affairs Council Discusses Report on Performance of State Budget

File photo: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz chairs a meeting of the Economic and Development Affairs Council. Asharq Al-Awsat
File photo: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz chairs a meeting of the Economic and Development Affairs Council. Asharq Al-Awsat
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Saudi Economic and Development Affairs Council Discusses Report on Performance of State Budget

File photo: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz chairs a meeting of the Economic and Development Affairs Council. Asharq Al-Awsat
File photo: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz chairs a meeting of the Economic and Development Affairs Council. Asharq Al-Awsat

Saudi Arabia’s Economic and Development Affairs Council has held a meeting via videoconference, discussing several issues, including the performance of the state budget, the Saudi Press Agency reported Saturday.
At the beginning, the council reviewed the quarterly economic report of the Ministry of Economy and Planning, which includes an analysis of key global economic developments, and the national economic progress. The Kingdom saw positive economic growth of 2.8% in the third quarter, SPA said.
The report addresses future national economic forecasts issued by relevant government entities, international funds, and agencies, as well as proposed insights and recommendations to address global economic challenges.
The council also reviewed the third-quarter report submitted by the Ministry of Finance, on the performance of the state budget for fiscal year 2024. The report includes a detailed overview of financial performance up to the end of the third quarter, covering revenue, expenditure, and public debt indicators.
It highlighted results reaffirming the Kingdom's continued support for development projects, strengthening social care and protection systems, and advancing the implementation of major projects and programs under Saudi Vision 2030.
This underscores the effectiveness of structural economic reforms, efforts in economic diversification, and the systematic approach aligned with the Saudi Vision 2030.
The council also reviewed the report of Ministry of Commerce presentation, regarding the report of Standing Committee for Price Monitoring for the third quarter of 2024.
The report addresses the roles of the entities participating in the committee, key insights during the specified period, global price trends, an overview of consumption patterns, price and inflation indicators in the Kingdom, and details regarding consumer goods prices in the third quarter. Moreover, it outlines the measures taken to ensure the availability of goods and strengthen stockpiles to maintain price stability.
The council made the necessary decisions and recommendations.