Türkiye’s Trade Deficit Rises, Confidence Index Declines


A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
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Türkiye’s Trade Deficit Rises, Confidence Index Declines


A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)

Türkiye’s trade deficit continued to rise in January while the economic confidence index witnessed a sharp decline.

Türkiye’s foreign trade deficit widened 38.4 percent year-on-year to $14.237 billion in January, official data showed on Monday, with imports surging 20.7 percent and exports up 10.3 percent.

The Turkish Statistical Institute said imports climbed to $33.606 billion in January, while exports rose to $19.369 billion.

The overall foreign trade deficit surged 137 percent year-on-year to $109.54 billion in 2022 in Türkiye, the data showed.

The Institute said that Türkiye's exports rose 12.9 percent to $254.1 billion last year, while imports rose 34 percent to $363.7 billion.

Under an economic program unveiled in 2021, Türkiye aims to shift to a current account surplus through stronger exports and low-interest rates, despite soaring inflation and a currency that has tumbled in recent years.

Türkiye's economic confidence index fell 0.3 percent month-on-month in February to 99.1 points, following massive earthquakes that devastated the country's southern region, data from the Turkish Statistical Institute showed on Monday.

The index, which points to an optimistic outlook when above 100 and pessimistic when below, hit a record low in 2020 before recovering as coronavirus measures were eased.

The government introduced a series of measures to ease quake fallout that is expected to cost at least $50 billion. But economists have predicted it will shave some 1-2.5 percentage points off economic growth this year.

Türkiye’s sovereign wealth fund plans to channel cash into the nation’s main stock exchange via exchange-traded funds, in an open-ended attempt to keep the equities market from falling, according to Bloomberg.

The fund will allocate at least $1 billion initially to ETFs run by a state bank, according to people familiar with the matter.

The move differs from previous attempts to support equities since the Borsa Istanbul resumed trading following a halt caused by two devastating earthquakes on February 6. The government initially channeled pension funds’ money into the stock market to reverse the rout after the natural disaster.

The plan is to use ETFs currently run by Ziraat Portfoy, the asset-management arm of state lender T.C. Ziraat Bankasi A.S., the people said. The funds track the performance of various indexes related to Borsa Istanbul.

Domestic investors have become the dominant force in Borsa Istanbul in the past several years as they sought protection against rampant inflation.

The exact size of the fund at its inauguration will be determined once all the TVF companies, such as Turkish Airlines, report 2022 earnings, one of the people said.

Ziraat has several ETFs tracking Türkiye’s main stock exchange, with some focusing on large companies only, such as those listed in the Borsa Istanbul 30 index. Ziraat Portfoy’s BIST 30 Index Fund, the biggest local ETF for Turkish stocks, has already seen 8.1 billion liras ($430 million) in inflows since February 15, according to Bloomberg data.

The Istanbul exchange’s main index, the BIST 100, has a market cap of about $220 billion.

The average trading volume in the past month was about $160 million a day, according to data collected by Bloomberg.

Indexes tracking larger companies will likely be the priority target for the sovereign wealth fund and the buying program has no expiration date, the people said.



Saudi Arabia Jumps to 23rd in Global Mining Investment Ranking

A mining site in Saudi Arabia (Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources)
A mining site in Saudi Arabia (Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources)
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Saudi Arabia Jumps to 23rd in Global Mining Investment Ranking

A mining site in Saudi Arabia (Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources)
A mining site in Saudi Arabia (Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources)

Saudi Arabia’s mining sector has vaulted from 104th to 23rd place worldwide in the Fraser Institute’s 2024 Investment Attractiveness Index, marking its biggest leap in the past decade and overtaking leading mining destinations in Asia and Latin America.

The milestone cements the kingdom’s position as one of the world’s fastest-rising mining powers.

The Canada-based institute’s annual survey of mining companies showed Saudi Arabia also climbed sharply in its Policy Perception Index — a measure of the stability and transparency of a country’s regulatory environment — moving from 82nd in 2013 to 20th in 2024.

The rise reflects growing global confidence in the kingdom’s stable legislative and regulatory framework.

Saudi Arabia’s geological potential index recorded a similar leap, jumping from 58th in 2013 to 24th in 2024, underlining the scale of its largely untapped mineral wealth.

The surge has been driven by ongoing geological surveys, recent discoveries and competitive licensing rounds that have drawn interest from major international firms.

Deputy Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources for Mining Affairs Khalid Al-Mudaifer said the performance reflected “a structural transformation” of the sector under the Vision 2030 economic diversification plan.

“In recent years, we have built a globally competitive investment environment for mining, backed by clear regulations, accessible geological data — including one of the most comprehensive geological mapping programs of the Arabian Shield — as well as competitive incentives and world-class infrastructure,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Al-Mudaifer said the government’s focus remained on maximizing the economic value of mineral resources, creating high-quality jobs and localizing industrial supply chains. “Mining has become a key driver of industrial and economic growth, and we will build on this momentum to ensure the sector’s sustainable success,” he added.

He said the Fraser Institute’s 2024 findings underscored the impact of sweeping reforms, from security of tenure to tax rules, environmental legislation, infrastructure and community engagement, which helped place Saudi Arabia in the top quartile of the index for the first time.

Investors surveyed by the institute expressed no concerns about political stability — a factor it cited as one of the kingdom’s strengths — and praised its Mining Exploration Enablement Program as an effective tool for reducing investment risks and boosting early-stage confidence.

Between 2013 and 2024, Saudi Arabia saw dramatic improvements in several key measures, including a 305.8% rise in the clarity and effectiveness of its mining regime — from 17% to 69% — placing it 11th globally.

The clarity of land access for mining improved by 82.2% ranking seventh worldwide, while the rating of labor regulations jumped 102.2% to 91%. The quality of its geological database rose 81.8% to 60%.

The report credited Saudi Arabia’s stable regulations and ambitious reforms with reinforcing its position as a world-class mining investment destination, saying these policies reduced risk, boosted transparency, improved efficiency and expanded access to data — in line with Vision 2030 goals to diversify the economy and develop strategic sectors.

The Fraser Institute’s survey is considered one of the most authoritative global assessments of mining investment climates, used by investors, governments and financial institutions worldwide.