Geagea to Asharq Al-Awsat: We Will Thwart Quorum to Prevent Election of Hezbollah Candidate

Samir Geagea. (Reuters)
Samir Geagea. (Reuters)
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Geagea to Asharq Al-Awsat: We Will Thwart Quorum to Prevent Election of Hezbollah Candidate

Samir Geagea. (Reuters)
Samir Geagea. (Reuters)

Head of the Lebanese Forces Samir Geagea believes that there are currently so solutions that can resolve the presidential vacuum in Lebanon.

“We have grown accustomed to tactics used by Hezbollah in previous presidential elections,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

He explained that the party will allow the situation to reach its worst possible point “so that we can relent to what it wants.”

Despite all the efforts, talks and meetings, Hezbollah has “not moved an inch” in its position over the election of its candidate, head of the Marada movement Suleiman Franjieh, as president.

“Hezbollah is insistent on its candidate and we, as the opposition, are not ready to succumb to the pressure and agree to a ‘solution’ that would deepen the crisis,” Geagea stressed.

“Unfortunately, a solution is unlikely any time soon. We are facing a major crisis and we must do what we can to resolve it,” he went on to say.

Lebanon has been without a president since late October when the term of Michel Aoun ended. Numerous elections sessions have been held, but no candidate had garnered enough votes to be declared the victor. Political parties continue to bicker over Aoun’s successor.

“We cannot simply elect any president, who may deepen the crisis. Hezbollah wants Franjieh or someone with the same mindset. Even if it changes its mind on Franjieh’s alternative, the party will propose a candidate that would be incapable of tackling the crisis,” Geagea remarked.

“Effectively, the real crisis is that Hezbollah does not really want a president for Lebanon,” he explained.

Furthermore, Geagea revealed a change in his stance on providing quorum at parliament for presidential elections to be held.

He said that the LF would not provide the needed quorum so as to prevent the election of Hezbollah’s favored candidate.

He noted that throughout the past four months since Lebanon was plunged in vacuum, the LF has followed all the rules in regards to the election. “But, when Hezbollah and its allies choose to ruin the rules of the game, we will seek a solution that will prevent them from leading the country towards more vacuum,” Geagea said.

“If they can garner 65 votes for their candidate, then we will be confronted with deeper Arab isolation, the West will drop Lebanon from its list of priorities and the country will be run the same way it has been in the past six years,” which has led it to its current crisis, he continued.

“Confronted with these possibilities, will we attend the elections? No, we will not and we will definitely boycott them,” he declared.

He lamented that at the moment, a roadmap for a solution is still not available.

Moreover, Geagea revealed that the LF has been contacted by local and international parties that proposed agreeing to Franjieh’s election as part of a package deal.

“We informed them that the problem does not revolve around Franjieh’s election, but agreeing to him would deepen, rather than resolve, the crisis. So as it stands, this option is out of the question,” he added. Geagea did not disclose the parties that approached the LF.

Asked by Asharq Al-Awsat if the LF would agree to a president who is accepted by all parties, he replied that he would agree if this candidate was “moderate and flexible and enjoyed good relations with all sides. At the same time, he needs to be an actual president.”

On the option to elect a “consensual” president, he explained that such a figure usually “does not have a voice, opinion or strong personality. They are weak and are incapable of making any accomplishment. So of course, we will not accept this option.”

Admittedly, the opposition has few candidates to choose from. Geagea said that efforts are underway to garner enough votes for Michel Mouawad. “This is the only thing we can do at the moment,” he stated.

He clarified, however, that neither Mouawad nor the LF are adamant about his election, but at the moment, no other suitable or better alternative candidate has emerged.

“So, we will continue to garner enough support for him,” he added.

Moreover, Geagea dismissed the importance of communication with Hezbollah to resolve the impasse. He cited how head of the Progressive Socialist Party Walid Jumblatt had personally met with Hezbollah officials and made proposals over a settlement, but to no avail. The situation has remained unchanged.

If communication is held on such a high level without a breakthrough being reached, then what hopes can be pinned on lower level contacts? he wondered.

“We are running around in the same empty circle,” he remarked. “Hezbollah may be calling for dialogue, but it really means dialogue over Franjieh’s elections, nothing more.”

On whether dialogue was possible between the LF and Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) given the strained relations between its leader Gebran Bassil and his ally, Hezbollah, Geagea was quick to reply: “I very much doubt that because the past six years have demonstrated how this group [FPM] acts.”

However, he acknowledged that some form of exchange of views has taken place with the FPM through the Maronite Patriarchate in Bkirki.

“So far, the FPM has not made any proposals. It has only called for agreement, but on what? Nothing,” added Geagea. “This is the sum of it.”

“The FPM is actually using Bkirki’s support to strengthen its negotiating position with Hezbollah. It is expanding its contacts to also strengthen its position with the party,” he noted.

Turning to regional developments, Geagea reiterated his rejection of Arab openness towards the Syrian regime.

He said this was a “moral stand given that no country on earth is as miserable as Syria given the actions of Bashar al-Assad.”

The Syrian people have been displaced all over the world and are enduring endless suffering in refugee camps, he added.

“Assad must be capable of returning to the Arab fold for Syria to return to the fold,” he stressed. “As it stands, Syria is not a sovereign state. Damascus’ fate lies in the hands of Russia and Iran.”

“Assad does not have a say in affairs, rather Russia or Iran speak on his country’s behalf,” he remarked, while also noting Türkiye and the United States’ involvement in Syria.

“It is very unfortunate that some officials would disregard the tragedies of the Syrian people and instead seek dialogue with Assad to return Syria to the Arab fold,” he added. “Assad, meanwhile, is indefinitely seated in the Iranian and Russian lap. He does not have the choice to leave this position. Nothing is in his hands now.”



Hamas to Conceal Identity of Sinwar’s Successor, Five Candidates Considered

Yahya Sinwar in a file photo taken in Gaza on October 21, 2011 (AP)
Yahya Sinwar in a file photo taken in Gaza on October 21, 2011 (AP)
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Hamas to Conceal Identity of Sinwar’s Successor, Five Candidates Considered

Yahya Sinwar in a file photo taken in Gaza on October 21, 2011 (AP)
Yahya Sinwar in a file photo taken in Gaza on October 21, 2011 (AP)

Hamas is set to keep the identity of its new political bureau chief secret after Israel assassinated Yehya Sinwar, the group’s Gaza leader, on Wednesday.

This follows the killing of former political chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran less than three months ago.

Sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that Hamas leaders are discussing the decision to hide the new leader’s name due to growing security risks.

“The leadership is likely to keep the identity confidential for safety reasons,” one source said.

The move is aimed at giving the new chief more freedom to operate and avoiding Israeli assassination attempts, which have targeted many of Hamas’ leaders.

The secrecy is also expected to help maintain internal order and protect the group’s structure.

Hamas wants to keep Israel uncertain about who will make decisions if talks resume on a ceasefire and a prisoner exchange in Gaza.

Since Friday, after officially announcing Sinwar’s death, Hamas leaders have been discussing who will replace him and whether to reveal their identity.

Sinwar was appointed about three months ago to send a defiant message to Israel and to show Hamas’ commitment to its “Al-Aqsa Flood” campaign.

His selection also aimed to reduce pressure on the group’s external leadership, which faces Israeli threats, political pressure from mediators, and calls for host countries to expel Hamas leaders.

Potential Successors:

Darwish, the ‘Shadow Man’

Several candidates are being considered to replace Sinwar, who faced no competition for Hamas’ political leadership after Haniyeh’s assassination in Tehran on July 31.

The focus is now on Mohammad Darwish (Abu Omar Hassan), head of Hamas’ Shura Council. He was relatively unknown until gaining attention after Haniyeh’s death.

Many believe he has a strong chance, having appeared in recent official meetings ahead of some long-standing leaders.

A Hamas source said Darwish, once seen as the “shadow man,” is now taking on a more prominent role, receiving visitors and leading key activities.

Darwish spent much of his life abroad and was closely tied to the Muslim Brotherhood, from which Hamas originally emerged. Hamas later revised its charter and distanced itself from the Brotherhood.

Khalil al-Hayya: Sinwar’s Deputy

Alongside Darwish, Khalil al-Hayya is seen as a key contender, believed to be Sinwar’s deputy. Al-Hayya became a leading figure in Gaza after Sinwar’s disappearance and assassination.

A veteran political leader in Gaza, al-Hayya became Sinwar’s deputy and a close ally. He now leads Hamas in Gaza and is in charge of ceasefire negotiations and a potential prisoner exchange.

Al-Hayya has represented the group on key occasions, including speeches marking the October 7 attack and mourning Sinwar, calling him “the leader of the Al-Aqsa Flood battle.”

He promised that Hamas would continue its fight for full Palestinian liberation and a state with Jerusalem as its capital.

Al-Hayya also stated that Israeli prisoners held by Hamas would not be released unless Israel halts its offensive on Gaza, withdraws, and frees Palestinian prisoners.

Known as a political hardliner, al-Hayya, like Sinwar, supports strong ties with Iran.

Khaled Meshaal: Closer to the Muslim Brotherhood than Iran

In addition to al-Hayya and Darwish, Khaled Meshaal, Mousa Abu Marzouk, and Mohammad Nazzal are also possible candidates to lead Hamas.

Meshaal led Hamas’ political bureau for about 21 years and now heads the group’s external branch.

After Haniyeh’s assassination, Meshaal reportedly declined the leadership role due to health reasons and the current situation. It is unclear if he will now step in after Sinwar's death.

Meshaal is widely known politically and is seen as more connected to the Muslim Brotherhood than to Iran.

Mohammad Nazzal: A Hardliner in Hamas

Mohammad Nazzal’s influence was evident in the recent elections.

Born and raised in Amman, Jordan, Nazzal is originally from the West Bank and studied in Kuwait. He joined Hamas at its founding and has been a member of the political bureau since 1996. Nazzal is regarded as one of the hardliners within the group.

Mousa Abu Marzouk: First Head of the Political Bureau

Mousa Abu Marzouk is another candidate for leadership. He co-founded Hamas in 1987 and was its first head of the political bureau.

He currently serves as the deputy head of Hamas’ external branch. Born in 1951 in the Rafah refugee camp, his family was displaced from a village near Ramla.

It is expected that the next Hamas leader will be chosen from among these candidates rather than from Gaza, especially given the communication breakdown with some leaders in the territory.

Hamas has a system for selecting successors for vacant positions.

Hiding the Identity of Hamas' Leader

Hamas began concealing the identity of its leader in 2004 after Israel assassinated founder Ahmed Yassin on March 22, followed by his successor, Abdel Aziz al-Rantisi, on April 17.

For a long time, Hamas did not disclose the name of its leader in Palestine to avoid Israeli targeting.

Sinwar was killed on October 17, a major setback for Hamas that came just three months after former political chief Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in Tehran.

Sinwar’s death has prompted Hamas to start extensive consultations to shape its future approach to the ongoing conflict and ceasefire negotiations.

This shift returned decision-making power to the external leadership after Gaza had been the focus.

Future decisions are likely to involve broader discussions, especially with the absence of influential historical leaders. While not indicating a collective leadership model like Hezbollah's in Lebanon, it suggests a move towards more inclusive consultation.

Since its founding in 1987, Hamas has had four leaders of the political bureau: Abu Marzouk (1992-1996), Meshaal (1996-2017), Haniyeh (2017 until his assassination), and Sinwar. A fifth leader is expected to be chosen soon.