Oil Markets Steady as Investors Weigh Banking Crisis, Russia

A general view shows an oil rig used in drilling at the Zubair oilfield in Basra, Iraq, July 5, 2022. (Reuters)
A general view shows an oil rig used in drilling at the Zubair oilfield in Basra, Iraq, July 5, 2022. (Reuters)
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Oil Markets Steady as Investors Weigh Banking Crisis, Russia

A general view shows an oil rig used in drilling at the Zubair oilfield in Basra, Iraq, July 5, 2022. (Reuters)
A general view shows an oil rig used in drilling at the Zubair oilfield in Basra, Iraq, July 5, 2022. (Reuters)

Oil prices stabilized in Asian trade on Monday as investors sought cues from broader financial markets, while comments by Russian President Vladimir Putin over the weekend ratcheted up geopolitical tensions in Europe.

Brent crude futures held unchanged at $74.99 a barrel at 0357 GMT after hitting a session high of $75.64. US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $69.29 a barrel, up 3 cents, after rising to $69.92 earlier in the session.

Brent rose 2.8% last week, while WTI rebounded 3.8% as jitters in the banking sector eased.

Oil markets are closely watching the sentiment in financial market, while oil fundamentals remain sidelined, said Vandana Hari, founder of oil market analysis provider Vanda Insights.

"Expect most price action in Brent and WTI futures to occur during the Europe and US trading hours, marked by plenty of intraday volatility," Hari said.

"A strong rebound is not on the cards until the (banking) crisis dissipates fully, which could take days, if not weeks," she added.

Keeping a lid on oil's gains, the dollar was firm on Monday as investors assessed regulators' moves to rein in jitters in the global banking system.

A stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for holders of other currencies and tends to weigh on demand for oil.

Prices drew some support from President Vladimir Putin comments that he will station tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus, escalating geopolitical tensions in Europe over Ukraine.

NATO criticized Putin on Sunday for what it called his "dangerous and irresponsible" nuclear rhetoric.

Russia's Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Friday that Moscow was very close to achieving its target of cutting crude output by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) to around 9.5 million bpd.

Despite lowering output, Russia is expected to maintain crude oil exports by cutting refinery output in April, data from industry sources and Reuters calculations showed on Friday.

Exports of Russian oil products have to date been more affected than crude exports by a recent European Union embargo, with tons of diesel stuck on ships awaiting buyers.

Analysts said Russian crude inventories have been rising since September last year, and the country would likely want to avoid further stockbuilds during refinery maintenance season from March to June.

"If Russia wants to draw down the inventories that it has built, output cuts may need to be extended beyond June," analysts at FGE said in a note.

Meanwhile, in France, industrial action is disrupting refineries, reducing crude demand and fuel production.

Investors are also watching out for China's manufacturing and services purchasing managers' indexes (PMIs) to be releases later this week.

In the US, oil rigs rose four to 593 last week, up for the first time in six weeks, while gas rigs held steady at 162, energy services firm Baker Hughes Co said in a report on Friday.



Mawani Signs Agreement to Construct Offshore Structures at Ras Al-Khair Port

Mawani Signs Agreement to Construct Offshore Structures at Ras Al-Khair Port
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Mawani Signs Agreement to Construct Offshore Structures at Ras Al-Khair Port

Mawani Signs Agreement to Construct Offshore Structures at Ras Al-Khair Port

The Saudi Ports Authority (Mawani) has signed a contract with Singatac Arabia to establish a fabrication center for offshore structures and platforms at Ras Al-Khair Port.

The contract supports the oil and gas industry and includes warehouses for prefabricated parts, specialized welding equipment, systems, and cranes to serve offshore platform and marine structure projects with an investment of SAR139 million across 100,000 square meters, according to SPA.

The project aims to create over 500 direct and indirect jobs, strengthen Ras Al-Khair Port’s operational capabilities and value-added services, expand port capacity, and increase the contribution of exports to the national economy.

Ras Al-Khair Port is distinguished by its strategic location and its ability to efficiently handle a wide range of goods. It features 14 berths with a total capacity of 35 million tons and spans an area of 23 kilometers.


Asian Shares Rise, Tracking Wall Street Gains as Trump Backs Down on Greenland

Traders work in front of screens at Hana Bank in Seoul (EPA)
Traders work in front of screens at Hana Bank in Seoul (EPA)
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Asian Shares Rise, Tracking Wall Street Gains as Trump Backs Down on Greenland

Traders work in front of screens at Hana Bank in Seoul (EPA)
Traders work in front of screens at Hana Bank in Seoul (EPA)

Asian shares mostly advanced on Thursday, tracking Wall Street, after US President Donald Trump walked back from imposing tariffs on eight European countries over Greenland and ruled out using military force to take control of the territory.

The future for the S&P 500 gained less than 0.1% and that for the Dow Jones Industrial Average was virtually flat on Thursday, The Associated Press reported.

Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 climbed 1.7% to 53,688.89, with technology stocks leading gains. SoftBank Group jumped 11.6% and equipment maker Disco Corp. soared 17.1%. Advantest, which makes testing equipment for computer chips, surged 5%.

South Korea’s Kospi closed 0.9% higher at 4,952.44 after crossing the 5,000 mark for the first time, as traders cheered. Technology-related stocks drove the rally. Shares of chipmaker SK Hynix picked up 2%, while Samsung Electronics rose 1.9%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng edged less than 0.1% higher to 26,600.68. The Shanghai Composite index edged 0.1% higher to 4,122.58.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 gained nearly 0.8% to 8,848.70.

Taiwan’s Taiex rose 1.6%, while India’s Sensex added 0.2%.

US markets logged their biggest losses since October on Tuesday as investors reacted to Trump’s threat over the weekend to slap tariffs of 10% on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Finland for opposing US control of Greenland, sparking concerns over worsening relationships between the US and its European allies.

But Trump, attending the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, backed down on Wednesday and said he would not use force to acquire Greenland. The US president also said in a post on his social media site that he had agreed with the head of NATO on a “framework of a future deal” on Greenland and on Arctic security.

The easing tensions drove Wall Street optimism. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 climbed 1.2% to 6,875. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.2% to 49,077.23, while the Nasdaq composite also rose 1.2%, to 23,224.82.

Halliburton, the oil field services company, jumped 4.1% following stronger-than-expected profits for the latest quarter. United Airlines rose 2.2% also after better-than-expected quarterly profits. Netflix fell 2.2% even as it reported a stronger profit than expected, as investors focused on factors including a slowing growth of subscribers.

The price of gold fell 0.2% to $4,828.70 per ounce, reflecting investors’ reduced worries, after passing the $4,800 mark ahead of Trump’s reversal of stance on Greenland as many flocked to safe-haven assets.

In the bond market, US Treasury yields also eased following lessened fear among investors as well as a calming of Japan’s bond market turmoil. The yield on the 10-year Treasury eased to 4.25% from 4.30% late Tuesday.

Japan’s long-term bond yields surged to records earlier this week after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s decision to call a snap election in February. That sparked concerns over her pledges to cut taxes and increase spending, which could hinder efforts to rein in government debt.

The US dollar rose to 158.75 Japanese yen from 158.27 yen, prompting analysts to speculate that authorities might intervene if the yen falls any further.

The euro rose to $1.1692 from $1.1687.

US benchmark crude oil shed 16 cents to $60.46 per barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, fell 24 cents to $65.00 per barrel.


Goldman Sachs Raises 2026-end Gold Price Forecast to $5,400/oz

A customer waits his turn to trade gold behind a glass window displaying gold prices at a gold shop in Bangkok (EPA)
A customer waits his turn to trade gold behind a glass window displaying gold prices at a gold shop in Bangkok (EPA)
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Goldman Sachs Raises 2026-end Gold Price Forecast to $5,400/oz

A customer waits his turn to trade gold behind a glass window displaying gold prices at a gold shop in Bangkok (EPA)
A customer waits his turn to trade gold behind a glass window displaying gold prices at a gold shop in Bangkok (EPA)

Goldman Sachs has raised its end-2026 gold price forecast to $5,400 per ounce from $4,900/oz earlier, noting private-sector and emerging market central banks' diversification ​into gold.

Spot gold climbed to a peak of $4,887.82 per ounce on Wednesday. The safe-haven metal has climbed more than 11% so far in 2026, extending a blistering rally that saw it jump 64% last year.

"We assume private sector diversification buyers, whose purchases hedge ‌global policy ‌risks and have driven the ‌upside ⁠surprise ​to our ‌price forecast, don't liquidate their gold holdings in 2026, effectively lifting the starting point of our price forecast," the brokerage said in a note dated Wednesday.

The brokerage also expects central bank buying to average 60 tons in 2026 as ⁠emerging market central banks are likely to continue diversification of ‌their reserves into gold.

Commerzbank, last ‍week, raised its ‍gold price forecast to $4,900 by the end ‍of this year, citing increased safe-haven demand.