Hal Brands
Hal Brands is the Henry A. Kissinger Distinguished Professor at the Henry A. Kissinger Center for Global Affairs at Johns Hopkins University's School of Advanced International Studies and a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. His latest book is "American Grand Strategy in the Age of Trump."

As Putin Gets Desperate, US Should Remember Pearl Harbor

The Western powers are tightening the screws on Russian President Vladimir Putin: The next move appears to be a phased-in European ban on purchases of Russian oil. It’s the right policy, given that oil money is financing Putin’s war in Ukraine and keeping the Russian economy alive. But the risks…

Putin’s Struggles in Ukraine May Embolden Xi on Taiwan

One of the biggest questions of the Ukraine war concerns tensions half a world away: What lessons will China draw from the Russian invasion? Western observers hope that Russian President Vladimir Putin’s faltering invasion of Ukraine will convince China to go slow — that it will discourage…

Ukraine War Is Depleting America’s Arsenal of Democracy

America is following an “arsenal of democracy” strategy in Ukraine: It has avoided direct intervention against the Russian invaders, while working with allies and partners to provide the Kyiv government with money and guns. That strategy, reminiscent of US support for Britain in 1940-41, has…

Putin’s Ukraine Invasion Showed Biden’s Failure at Deterrence

Foreign policy suddenly has a very retro feel. A US president visits Europe to give a soaring speech on the fate of human freedom. An adversary is threatening nuclear war to intimidate the West. The dream of a fully integrated global system is crashing as geopolitical tensions break the world into…

Putin Has Fallen Victim to the Dictator’s Disease

Last weekend saw the re-election of the man often thought of as Europe’s proto-Putin: Viktor Orban, the Hungarian prime minister who has attacked his country’s democracy while seeking to weaken the European Union and North Atlantic Treaty Organization from within. Yet Orban should be careful…

Ukrainian Peace Deal? Not While Each Side Thinks It’s Winning

All wars end with political settlements. As the war in Ukraine drags on, some analysts argue that the country agreeing to political neutrality would serve as the basis for a peace pact with Russia. Yet the devil of any settlement is in the details, and in this case, those details are devilish…

What Happens in Russia If Putin Can’t Win in Ukraine?

The world has been transfixed by Ukraine’s fight for survival. As the war drags on, we’d better start considering what will become of Russia, as well. President Vladimir Putin’s nation has now been subjected to an isolation more sudden and total than that experienced by any major power in recent…

A Losing and Desperate Putin Could Be Terrifying

The war in Ukraine is getting more dangerous, in part because it is going better than Ukraine’s supporters could have imagined. President Joe Biden has sought to reconcile two conflicting objectives: avoiding US military intervention while also helping Ukraine and making Moscow pay a high price for…

Putin’s Biggest Lie: Blaming NATO for His War

The great NATO enlargement debate never ends. In the 1990s, US officials and academics argued about whether pushing the North Atlantic Treaty Organization into Eastern Europe was likely to sustain the post-Cold War peace or prematurely end it. More recently, critics have charged that Russia’s war…

China Placed a Losing Bet on Vladimir Putin

So far, there aren’t many winners in Russia’s brutal conflict in Ukraine. But among the biggest losers is China. European Union officials have plaintively called on Beijing to broker a settlement between Kiev and Moscow. That’s probably wishful thinking. China isn’t neutral enough to serve as a…