Abu-Ghazaleh Warns of Global Economic Crisis in 2020

Talal Abu Ghazaleh, Chairman of Talal Abu-Ghazaleh Organization (TAG Organization)
Talal Abu Ghazaleh, Chairman of Talal Abu-Ghazaleh Organization (TAG Organization)
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Abu-Ghazaleh Warns of Global Economic Crisis in 2020

Talal Abu Ghazaleh, Chairman of Talal Abu-Ghazaleh Organization (TAG Organization)
Talal Abu Ghazaleh, Chairman of Talal Abu-Ghazaleh Organization (TAG Organization)

The next economic crisis in 2020 may begin in the United States and is expected to be worse than the 2008 global financial crisis and will result in increased unemployment, inflation and cost of living, predicts chairman of Talal Abu-Ghazaleh Organization (TAG-Org).

Talal Abu-Ghazaleh believes that Arab countries should be fully prepared for a potential economic crisis and should not entirely rely on the US as a global economic crisis is expected to hit in 2020.

He explained the impact of the next expected crisis on the Arab states, saying it will depend on three factors: their reliance on the US economy, the availability of natural resources such as oil, and the level of productivity in the budget and its percentage to the GDP.

Abu-Ghazaleh advised Arab states to form teams of experts to overcome the crisis.

Signs of the upcoming crisis can be seen in several European countries, such as demonstrations and the difficult conditions Europeans are going through, he explained.

“The international public debt has reached 244 trillion US dollars, which is more than three times the size of the world economy.”

Abu-Ghazaleh explained that the only way for the US administration to overcome the crisis is by meeting with China to discuss trade sanctions and agree on managing the world’s economic matters.

He also called on the Arab states to increase communication with China at the economic, commercial and financial levels as a way to tackle the upcoming economic crises.

TAG-Org is one of the largest groups of professional services firms in the fields of accounting, audit, taxation, education, and training in Arab countries.

It operates out of more than 100 offices worldwide.



Saudi EXIM Hosts Global Risk Experts Meeting in Riyadh

The event gathered specialists from 47 organizations from 33 countries; it served as a platform for discussing strategies, partnerships, and innovative solutions. - SPA
The event gathered specialists from 47 organizations from 33 countries; it served as a platform for discussing strategies, partnerships, and innovative solutions. - SPA
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Saudi EXIM Hosts Global Risk Experts Meeting in Riyadh

The event gathered specialists from 47 organizations from 33 countries; it served as a platform for discussing strategies, partnerships, and innovative solutions. - SPA
The event gathered specialists from 47 organizations from 33 countries; it served as a platform for discussing strategies, partnerships, and innovative solutions. - SPA

The Saudi Export-Import Bank (Saudi EXIM) hosted the Berne Union's Country Risk Specialist Meeting, providing a platform for experts and thought leaders in risk management from the export credit community.
At the meeting, which took place from November 19 to 21 in Riyadh, the attendees exchanged best practices to better protect the industry amid shifting global dynamics.
According to a statement issued by the Saudi EXIM on Saturday, the event gathered specialists from 47 organizations from 33 countries; it served as a platform for discussing strategies, partnerships, and innovative solutions.
By strengthening institutional resilience, the industry is ready to turn global economic challenges into opportunities for economic prosperity, said the statement, adding that it played a crucial role in advancing global trade, strengthening international cooperation, and developing credit solutions that empower export activities while controlling risk, SPA reported.
According to the statement, discussions centered on critical risks impacting international trade and the global economy, such as debt sustainability and geopolitical tensions, along with innovative approaches to risk modelling. Participants also explored the global shifts in infrastructure, energy and critical minerals sectors, and were given an overview of Saudi Arabia's National Industrial Strategy, which focuses on economic diversification through investments, developing new sectors, and promoting local industries.
In his opening remarks, Saudi EXIM CEO Eng. Saad bin Abdulaziz Al-Khalb said the meeting is an ideal platform to address risks impacting global economic decision making.
He stated: "Through such meetings, we can turn challenges into strategic opportunities and enhance our resilience in an ever-changing world. At Saudi EXIM, we remain committed to enabling companies by offering expert financial and non-financial solutions to navigate risks effectively."
He also said that "at Saudi EXIM, we place great emphasis on risk management. In alignment with the main objective of this meeting, I am pleased to announce the completion of our independent country risk model, which is supported by advanced modelling tools and machine learning. This model will provide country ratings and predictions of default risks. We look forward to collaborating with our partners in other export credit agencies to exchange knowledge and expertise, and to strengthening our risk management functions with greater responsibility and effectiveness."
Associate Director at Berne Union Eve Hall said: "The global risk landscape today is highly volatile and highly interconnected. As we navigate our way around the ongoing transformations connected to energy transition and shifting industrial strategies, the traditional concept of 'country risk' is becoming increasingly complex. Our industry excels at understanding, quantifying and pricing these risks, and by bringing together this community of experts for technical exchange the Berne Union is able to help support the development of the industry as a whole. The initiatives announced by our colleagues at Saudi EXIM, making use of new technology in risk analysis, provide a fantastic example of where collaboration in this field can be effectively applied."
The statement disclosed that Saudi EXIM's membership in Berne represents a significant strategic step, and is consistent with the Kingdom's commitment to expanding collaboration and integration in the global economy.
This is achieved by building partnerships with leading institutions to address the challenges facing the export credit sector. It also aligns with the bank's goal of developing the export of national products and services through partnerships with national and international financial and funding organizations.
Berne Union works with global trade organizations to encourage the adoption of best practices in export credit insurance, and to cooperate in maintaining the stability of global trade.
Saudi EXIM, a development bank under the National Development Fund, contributes to diversifying the Kingdom's economic base by improving the efficiency of non-oil export ecosystems, bridging financial gaps, and minimizing export risks. This plays a role in helping the non-oil national economy grow, in line with Vision 2030.