Trump to Nominate One of US 'Trade Hawks' to Head World Bank

David Malpass, Trump’s potential candidate to Head the World Bank (AP)
David Malpass, Trump’s potential candidate to Head the World Bank (AP)
TT

Trump to Nominate One of US 'Trade Hawks' to Head World Bank

David Malpass, Trump’s potential candidate to Head the World Bank (AP)
David Malpass, Trump’s potential candidate to Head the World Bank (AP)

US President Donald Trump is expected to nominate Treasury Department official David Malpass to head the World Bank, according to senior administration officials.

Malpass, 62, Treasury Department’s undersecretary for international affairs, supports Trump and is one of the trade hawks of the current US administration.

Before joining the administration, Malpass was an economic adviser to Trump during the 2016 presidential campaign, and he has enthusiastically supported the President’s agenda of tax cuts and deregulation to bolster economic growth.

Paradoxically, Malpass is skeptical of multilateralism and of the World Bank itself. He has earlier said that global organizations like the World Bank “have grown larger and more intrusive” and “the challenge of refocusing them has become urgent and more difficult.”

He also said it is too inefficient and too reluctant to wean developing countries that have become engines of growth.

The US administration plans to announce its selection on Wednesday, reported Politico Newspaper, after Trump delivers his State of the Union address.

Washington has historically been allowed to choose the head of the World Bank although that dynamic has more recently faced pushback from other nations. The US is the World Bank’s largest shareholder. Under an informal trans-Atlantic pact, an American has always run the institution while the managing director of its sister institution, the International Monetary Fund, has always been European.

The nomination risks provoking opposition from countries that have defended the existing global order against Trump’s criticisms. It could reignite calls for the bank to break with tradition and appoint a non-American in a recognition of the growing clout of emerging markets such as China and India.

Malpass has pushed the World Bank to lend less to China, arguing the Asian nation has the financial resources to support itself and has criticized Beijing for not moving fast enough to open up its economy, the world’s second largest.

He struggled at Treasury to retain personnel in his unit, with about 20 career staff members quitting in less than a year. Some of the departing officials decided they couldn’t support the administration’s trade policies, while others chafed at Malpass’s leadership style.



OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters
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OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters

OPEC cut its forecast for global oil demand growth this year and next on Tuesday, highlighting weakness in China, India and other regions, marking the producer group's fourth consecutive downward revision in the 2024 outlook.

The weaker outlook highlights the challenge facing OPEC+, which comprises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, which earlier this month postponed a plan to start raising output in December against a backdrop of falling prices.

In a monthly report on Tuesday, OPEC said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million bpd forecast last month. Until August, OPEC had kept the outlook unchanged since its first forecast in July 2023.

In the report, OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million bpd from 1.64 million bpd, Reuters.

China accounted for the bulk of the 2024 downgrade. OPEC trimmed its Chinese growth forecast to 450,000 bpd from 580,000 bpd and said diesel use in September fell year-on-year for a seventh consecutive month.

"Diesel has been under pressure from a slowdown in construction amid weak manufacturing activity, combined with the ongoing deployment of LNG-fuelled trucks," OPEC said with reference to China.

Oil pared gains after the report was issued, with Brent crude trading below $73 a barrel.

Forecasts on the strength of demand growth in 2024 vary widely, partly due to differences over demand from China and the pace of the world's switch to cleaner fuels.

OPEC is still at the top of industry estimates and has a long way to go to match the International Energy Agency's far lower view.

The IEA, which represents industrialised countries, sees demand growth of 860,000 bpd in 2024. The agency is scheduled to update its figures on Thursday.

- OUTPUT RISES

OPEC+ has implemented a series of output cuts since late 2022 to support prices, most of which are in place until the end of 2025.

The group was to start unwinding the most recent layer of cuts of 2.2 million bpd from December but said on Nov. 3 it will delay the plan for a month, as weak demand and rising supply outside the group maintain downward pressure on the market.

OPEC's output is also rising, the report showed, with Libyan production rebounding after being cut by unrest. OPEC+ pumped 40.34 million bpd in October, up 215,000 bpd from September. Iraq cut output to 4.07 million bpd, closer to its 4 million bpd quota.

As well as Iraq, OPEC has named Russia and Kazakhstan as among the OPEC+ countries which pumped above quotas.

Russia's output edged up in October by 9,000 bpd to about 9.01 million bpd, OPEC said, slightly above its quota.