In Iraq's Fields of Black Gold, Thousands Lose Livelihoods

Local worker Muhammad Subeih Haider, who was laid off amid the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), by private British security firm operating in West Qurna 1 oilfield, developed by Exxon Mobil, stands as he protests with others in front of the Basra Oil Company in Basra, Iraq, May 20, 2020. Picture taken May 20, 2020. REUTERS/Mohammed Aty
Local worker Muhammad Subeih Haider, who was laid off amid the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), by private British security firm operating in West Qurna 1 oilfield, developed by Exxon Mobil, stands as he protests with others in front of the Basra Oil Company in Basra, Iraq, May 20, 2020. Picture taken May 20, 2020. REUTERS/Mohammed Aty
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In Iraq's Fields of Black Gold, Thousands Lose Livelihoods

Local worker Muhammad Subeih Haider, who was laid off amid the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), by private British security firm operating in West Qurna 1 oilfield, developed by Exxon Mobil, stands as he protests with others in front of the Basra Oil Company in Basra, Iraq, May 20, 2020. Picture taken May 20, 2020. REUTERS/Mohammed Aty
Local worker Muhammad Subeih Haider, who was laid off amid the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), by private British security firm operating in West Qurna 1 oilfield, developed by Exxon Mobil, stands as he protests with others in front of the Basra Oil Company in Basra, Iraq, May 20, 2020. Picture taken May 20, 2020. REUTERS/Mohammed Aty

Mohammed Haider, a security worker in Iraq's southern oilfields, thought he was safe after signing a new one-year contract to guard oil facilities. Three days later, he was out of a job.

"I got laid off. They threw us out on the pavement," the 38-year-old said, speaking as he protested outside the Basra Oil Company headquarters, the national partner for foreign companies.

Haider had been hired to drive vehicles for a British security firm around the giant West Qurna 1 oilfield that produces hundreds of thousands of barrels of crude each day - part of OPEC member Iraq's principal source of wealth.

He now spends his days at home or searching in vain online for jobs that are hard to come by in a crisis-hit economy.

"I can't even fall back on taxi-driving work. The curfew because of coronavirus means I'd get arrested for driving around illegally," he said later at his home.

Haider is one of thousands of workers in Iraq's oil sector who were laid off this year after a fall in oil prices caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, and who struggle to find any other source of income.

Iraq in March asked international oil companies to cut their budgets by 30% because of plummeting oil prices. Energy companies in the south responded by cutting costs.

Subcontractors, including security, construction and transport firms, let thousands of workers go, according to local authorities.

"Of about 80,000 Iraqis working in the oilfields, some 10,000 to 15,000 are now out of work," said Mohammed Ibadi, a local government official in Basra province, where most of the southern fields are located.

Iraqi workers had been forced to take unpaid leave or had been laid off completely, mostly by subcontractors, he said.

'I'D TAKE HALF MY WAGES'

Ibadi's office received dozens of complaints from workers who asked Iraqi authorities to sanction companies that do not comply with contractual termination terms. The local authorities negotiated 50% and 25% salaries for four months for some 2,000 workers who had been laid off, he said.

Khalid Hamza, associate director of the Basra Oil Company, said the government body would not accept the arbitrary termination of local staff.

"We particularly need to protect the jobs of the local population," he said.

Iraq has pledged to cut nearly a million barrels of oil production per day (bpd) in line with OPEC cuts. Its exports stood at 3.2 million bpd in May. The cuts have slashed state revenue, of which it makes up more than 90%.

The government faces making cuts to public sector pay - a move that would further anger impatient Iraqis who staged protests last year against alleged government corruption and lack of jobs.

Ibadi fears the economic and social crisis will worsen as the COVID-19 pandemic hits Iraq harder.

With most jobs in Basra linked to the energy industry, it is near impossible for workers like Haider to find an alternative source of income.

The father of three, who worked for five years as a driver for the British company, subcontracted by an American oil corporation, is ready to take on any job to provide for his family.

Haider fears he might no longer be able to cover school or medical costs.

"I wish the company would take me back, even for half my wages," He said.



Türkiye's Central Bank Raises Inflation Forecasts, Vows Tight Policy

FILED - 24 May 2018, Türkiye, Istanbul: Turkish lira are kept fanned out. Photo: Can Merey/dpa
FILED - 24 May 2018, Türkiye, Istanbul: Turkish lira are kept fanned out. Photo: Can Merey/dpa
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Türkiye's Central Bank Raises Inflation Forecasts, Vows Tight Policy

FILED - 24 May 2018, Türkiye, Istanbul: Turkish lira are kept fanned out. Photo: Can Merey/dpa
FILED - 24 May 2018, Türkiye, Istanbul: Turkish lira are kept fanned out. Photo: Can Merey/dpa

Türkiye's central bank raised its year-end inflation forecasts for this year and next to 44% and 21% respectively on Friday, and Governor Fatih Karahan vowed to keep policy tight to propel the disinflation process and hit targets.

The bank's previous inflation report three months ago forecast year-end inflation of 38% in 2024 and 14% next year, Reuters reported. The revision underlines its tougher-than-expected battle against inflation that began with aggressive rate hikes 18 months ago.
Presenting a quarterly update in Ankara, Karahan cited improvement in core inflation trends even as service-related price readings are proceeding slower than anticipated. But even in that sector, inflation is gradually losing momentum, he said.
"We will decisively maintain our tight monetary policy stance until price stability is achieved," he said. "As the stickiness in services inflation weakens, the underlying trend of inflation will decline further in 2025."
October inflation remained loftier than expected, dipping only to 48.58% annually on the back of tight policy and so-called base effects, down from a peak above 75% in May.
Monthly inflation - a gauge closely monitored by the bank for signs of when to begin rate cuts - rose by 2.88% in the same period on the back of clothing and food prices.
The bank has hiked rates by 4,150 basis points between June 2023 and March 2024, to 50%, as part of an abrupt shift to orthodox policy after years of low rates aimed at stoking growth.

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who in past years was viewed as influencing monetary policy, had supported the previous unorthodoxy. It triggered a series of currency crashes and sent inflation soaring.

Erdogan was quoted on Friday as telling reporters that "no one should doubt" the steady decline in inflation and that economic steps would continue with discipline and determination to ease price pressures.

The central bank warned last month that a bump in recent inflation readings increased uncertainty, prompting analysts to delay expectations for the first rate cut to December or January.

Karahan said the new inflation forecasts were based on maintaining tight policy, adding the bank would do "whatever is necessary" to wrestle inflation down, and pointing to what he called a significant fall in the annual rate since May.

He said the slowdown in domestic demand continues at a moderate pace and the output gap has continued to decline in the third quarter.