VAT Increase to Support Fiscal Imbalance, Preserve Reserves in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia embarked on the implementation of the amended VAT at the beginning of July, Asharq Al-Awsat
Saudi Arabia embarked on the implementation of the amended VAT at the beginning of July, Asharq Al-Awsat
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VAT Increase to Support Fiscal Imbalance, Preserve Reserves in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia embarked on the implementation of the amended VAT at the beginning of July, Asharq Al-Awsat
Saudi Arabia embarked on the implementation of the amended VAT at the beginning of July, Asharq Al-Awsat

Saudi economists confirmed that Saudi Arabia’s move to increase its value-added tax (VAT) to 15 percent does not primarily aim at increasing state revenues, it is led by a deeper policy where it aims to achieve fiscal balance while maintaining reserves amid a drop in consumerism.

This will enable the Kingdom to provide needed services and sustain jobs.

Former Chief Counselor and Director General of Investment at the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency Khalid Al-Sweilem said that the recently amended VAT is intended to support the fiscal imbalance between public revenues and expenditures caused by the negative impact of the coronavirus crisis.

“The Kingdom achieved advanced results compared to other countries in maintaining the citizens’ jobs in both public and private sectors, and the strength of its services, in healthcare and other fields,” Al-Sweilem said during a webinar to discuss the economic impact of the pandemic.

Al-Sweilem pointed out that delay in applying the controls does not achieve what is required in such a crisis, but may produce counterproductive results.

Current circumstances, according to the economist, show the importance of controlling financial policy and building adequate reserves to face crises, because it is not possible to develop sectors and diversify the economy without confirming control and sustaining fiscal policy in the long run.

According to Al-Sweilem, the Kingdom’s economy differs from some models in various advanced economies. The Saudi economy depends on oil and government spending, from this stems the importance of sustainability, financial stability and well-being of the citizen.
But Saudi Arabia can no longer base its financial and economic policies only on oil.

“You cannot trust the current prices because it doesn’t mean they will remain the same. We can’t base our future … on oil prices after what we just saw,” Abdullah Alrebdi, board member of Saudi Financial Association (SAFA), said.

Alrebdi was referring to the oil price war earlier this year after Russia walked away from a deal with OPEC and nine other oil exporters to curtail supplies.

In May, the Saudi government announced that it would raise value-added tax (VAT) from 5 percent to 15 percent starting from July 1.

Asked why the government does not lower the VAT again following the stabling of oil prices, Alrebdi said this was a long-term plan.

“The government is looking at 2021, 2022 and 2023 … and how to fund public salaries, maintenance and other services,” he said, adding that the VAT was “part of the solution, but not the solution.”



Syria's Wheat Harvest Expected to More Than Double this Year

FILE PHOTO: A drone view shows a land that was planted with wheat and has been harvested, in Qamishli, Syria August 12, 2025. REUTERS/Orhan Qereman/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A drone view shows a land that was planted with wheat and has been harvested, in Qamishli, Syria August 12, 2025. REUTERS/Orhan Qereman/File Photo
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Syria's Wheat Harvest Expected to More Than Double this Year

FILE PHOTO: A drone view shows a land that was planted with wheat and has been harvested, in Qamishli, Syria August 12, 2025. REUTERS/Orhan Qereman/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A drone view shows a land that was planted with wheat and has been harvested, in Qamishli, Syria August 12, 2025. REUTERS/Orhan Qereman/File Photo

Syria's wheat production is expected to more than double this year, authorities said, bolstered by heavier rains and the state's recapture of a northeastern breadbasket region from Kurdish forces — but demand has grown in parallel.

The agriculture ministry estimates a harvest between 2.3 million and 2.5 million metric tons of wheat this year, senior ministry official Ahmed Jalal Al-Ahmad told Reuters. Last year's production stood at around 900,000 metric tons.

"We were blessed with a bountiful harvest season," Ahmad said.

Production increased partly "due to a season of heavy rainfall", a surprise turnaround after last year's historic drought slashed wheat production and threatened a food crisis.

Ahmad said the harvest projection was also higher because the count included contributions from northern ⁠and northeastern provinces, held ⁠for years by Kurdish authorities but now merged into state control after an offensive by Syrian government troops.

The contributions from three recaptured provinces make up more than half of the expected production, with Hasakah expected to yield around 800,000 tons, Raqqa 300,000 tons and Deir Ezzor about 250,000 tons, he added.

"These 1.5 million tons represent the real difference in the increased production this season compared to last year."

In the years leading up to the government's takeover, wheat production in these regions suffered from ⁠prolonged droughts and constant fighting between the various factions controlling them.

Despite the stellar harvest, Syria will still need to import some of its wheat, as the country requires around 4 million tons a year, Ahmad said.

Hundreds of thousands of Syrians who fled the country during its nearly 14-year war have returned after the ousting of Bashar al-Assad

"We may always need to import during this period until we reach full recovery to meet market demand, especially for soft wheat used in bread production," Ahmad said.

He said the agriculture ministry was working to expand grain infrastructure in the north and northeast, planning to add more than 15 grain centers in Hasakah, Raqqa, Deir Ezzor and the Aleppo countryside.

The state ⁠buys and sells ⁠domestic wheat through the Syrian Grain Establishment and set a price of $380 per ton this year, with an incentive bonus of about $70 per ton delivered, according to Syrian state media.

The government has launched a new electronic platform to organize the purchases and set appointments for farmers to deliver their produce to grain centers. However, it has drawn the ire of producers who say the system is disconnected from local needs and realities on the ground.

"Booking platforms don't suit the agricultural fields," farmer Abdullah Al-Issa said. "The size of the platforms is one thing, the reality is another, the offices are another, and the farmer's reality is something else entirely."

Issa also complained about this year's low wheat prices compared with last year. In 2025, the government's incentive bonus was $130 for every ton delivered.

"The prices aren't commensurate with the wheat's value; they're very low," he said.


Iraq to Export Crude, Naphtha through Syria after Hormuz Shock

A pump jack operates near a crude oil reserve in the Permian Basin oil field near Midland, Texas, US February 18, 2025. REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
A pump jack operates near a crude oil reserve in the Permian Basin oil field near Midland, Texas, US February 18, 2025. REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
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Iraq to Export Crude, Naphtha through Syria after Hormuz Shock

A pump jack operates near a crude oil reserve in the Permian Basin oil field near Midland, Texas, US February 18, 2025. REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
A pump jack operates near a crude oil reserve in the Permian Basin oil field near Midland, Texas, US February 18, 2025. REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo

Iraq is preparing to export crude oil and naphtha through ports in Syria, Syrian and Iraqi energy officials and refinery sources said after the Iran war cut off its main Gulf shipping routes.

The move would broaden an arrangement that has seen Iraq export fuel oil through the Mediterranean port of Baniyas after the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which sharply curtailed Gulf export routes for OPEC's second-largest producer.

Two Iraqi oil officials said plans to diversify crude and fuel export routes, including through Syria, would continue even after the Iran war ends and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal, as part of a government-approved strategy to reduce Iraq's reliance on a single export corridor.

"The Iraqi government and the oil ministry attach the highest importance to diversifying crude export routes, particularly through Syrian territory," Iraqi oil ministry spokesperson Saleem al-Rikabi told Reuters.

Rikabi said the oil ministry, through state oil marketer SOMO, was continuing "discussions and cooperation" with Syria to expand exports through its western neighbor.

Iraq ‌normally exports a ‌total of around 3.6 million barrels of oil per day and before the Iran war around ‌3.4 ⁠million bpd flowed through ⁠its southern Basra terminals.

Mohammed Al-Ahdab, head of the media office at Syrian Petroleum Company (SPC), said the operation and offloading were continuing, despite the anticipated opening of the strait.

Before the disruption caused by the Iran war, Iraq mainly exported its fuel oil from the Gulf port of Khor al-Zubair, but the conflict has forced it to seek alternative routes after the strait was closed and storage facilities began filling up.

The initial work-around, which began operating in April, saw millions of barrels of Iraqi fuel oil trucked across Syria to Baniyas and re-exported from there.

Syria plans to open two extra unloading areas and other facilities in Baniyas within a week to handle Iraqi crude oil and naphtha, a Syrian energy ministry official said. ⁠Ahdab said Baniyas can now unload an average of 900 tanker-trucks per day.

Crude could begin crossing ‌from Iraq to Syria at around 50,000 barrels per day once the loading installations ‌are ready, the two Iraqi oil ministry officials said. There were no immediate details on planned levels of naphtha exports.

Tanker-truck exports are expected to begin ‌in early July, Syrian and Iraqi officials said, while SOMO is set to open offices in Baniyas.

FEE INCOME FOR SYRIA

In April, SOMO ‌awarded contracts to supply about 650,000 metric tons of fuel oil per month from April to June to be trucked overland via Syria. Iraq exported a record 18 million tons of fuel oil in 2024, equivalent to roughly 1.5 million tons per month, with the best available data for 2025 showing they were near the levels reached in late 2024.

SPC Deputy CEO Ahmad Kobbaji told Reuters in May that Syria had limited infrastructure but was increasing its ‌unloading and re-export capacity for Iraqi fuel products.

Under President Ahmed al-Sharaa, Syria is seeking to reintegrate into the regional and global economy after decades of Assad family rule and nearly 14 years ⁠of war devastated its economy and ⁠left it politically and financially isolated.

Syria is earning transit fees from the fuel oil shipments, paid through buyers and intermediaries rather than directly by SOMO, the Iraqi oil ministry officials said. Reuters was unable to determine what Syria was earning or how fees were collected.

Iraqi fuel oil shipped via Syria had reached destinations across Africa and Europe, with the latest tanker arriving in Alexandria, Egypt, on June 9, LSEG shipping data showed.

IRAQ KEEN TO EXPORT, DESPITE RISKS

The route to Baniyas is fraught with challenges, with highways damaged by years of war, and Reuters reporters saw lines of Iraqi tankers stretching for more than 30 km (19 miles) along the road to the port.

In June, two Iraqi fuel tankers collided near Homs, spilling thousands of liters of fuel, while protesters in northeast Syria blocked Iraqi tankers to protest against rising fuel prices and deteriorating living conditions.

A source at the Baniyas facility with direct knowledge of the transfers said the Iraqi fuel oil is not processed at the refinery. Instead, tanker trucks unload at a marine platform connected to storage tanks north of the refinery, from where the fuel is pumped directly to waiting export tankers.

Meanwhile, Syria is working on reviving war-damaged pipelines to replace the tanker route, SPC's Kobbaji said in May. The Iraq-Syria oil pipeline can pump up to 300,000 barrels per day, the Syrian energy ministry official said.


Kuwait Offers Crude for July Delivery after Lifting Force Majeure

A boat sails in the Gulf waters as the sun sets behind Kuwait City's landmark Kuwait Towers on June 9, 2026. (Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT / AFP)
A boat sails in the Gulf waters as the sun sets behind Kuwait City's landmark Kuwait Towers on June 9, 2026. (Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT / AFP)
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Kuwait Offers Crude for July Delivery after Lifting Force Majeure

A boat sails in the Gulf waters as the sun sets behind Kuwait City's landmark Kuwait Towers on June 9, 2026. (Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT / AFP)
A boat sails in the Gulf waters as the sun sets behind Kuwait City's landmark Kuwait Towers on June 9, 2026. (Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT / AFP)

Kuwait Petroleum Corp is offering crude for July delivery via a tender, a document showed on Friday, after lifting force majeure and announcing plans to ramp up output.

The producer is offering Kuwait Export Crude with each cargo at 2 million barrels, according to the document.

They will be sold at a differential to the average Oman and Dubai price quotes on a delivered ex-ship basis, Reuters quoted it as saying.

The tender will close on Tuesday with bids ⁠remaining valid until Wednesday.

KPC ⁠said on Thursday that all force majeure notices issued during the US-Israeli war on Iran have been lifted with immediate effect, the government communication center reported on X.

The country's oil production would increase to 2 million barrels per day (bpd) ⁠within a week, coinciding with the opening of the Strait of Hormuz and resumption of commercial shipping, it added.

Kuwait exported about 1.2 million bpd of crude on average in the first two months of this year, which plummeted to near zero in April, data from shiptracker Kpler showed.

Last week, KPC sold 4 million barrels of crude for June delivery via a tender.

The cargoes were loaded via STS at Oman's Sohar area onto Very Large Crude Carriers Sea Ruby and Maran Atalanta, which are heading to China, Kpler data showed.