Tunisia’s Economy Records Unprecedented Contraction

The Tunisian economy records an unprecedented contraction in 2020 (Reuters)
The Tunisian economy records an unprecedented contraction in 2020 (Reuters)
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Tunisia’s Economy Records Unprecedented Contraction

The Tunisian economy records an unprecedented contraction in 2020 (Reuters)
The Tunisian economy records an unprecedented contraction in 2020 (Reuters)

Tunisia recorded an unprecedented economic contraction estimated at 8.8 percent in 2020 compared to 2019, according to figures by the National Institute of Statistics (INS).

In terms of sectoral figures, the INS affirmed that the rate of added value of market services declined by 13.3 percent.

It rose to 50 percent in tourism activities that include hotels, restaurants and cafes, in addition to transportation services related mostly to the tourism sector.

These figures did not surprise economists and finance experts, given the quarterly economic results announced since early 2020.

Regarding non-market services (services provided by the government), a decline of 7.6 percent was recorded in Q4 2020, following the adoption of the new work system in public administrative services with exceptional working hours.

According to statistics from the Ministry of Agriculture, Water Resources and Fisheries, the sector’s added value posted an increase of 4.4 percent in 2020.

On the other hand, the building materials and ceramics industry sector saw a one percent growth compared to the same period of the previous year.

The added value of non-manufacturing industries decreased by 3.2 percent in Q4 2020, compared to the same period in 2019.

This decline is due to a 34 percent drop in production in the mining sector, following the decrease in raw phosphate production.

Hence, production in this area was estimated at 3.1 million tons in 2020 compared to 3.7 million tons in 2019.

Commenting on forecasts over the economic recovery, Tunisian economic expert Jannat bin Abdullah said the return of economic activities to their previous levels is not only related to the pandemic but is also affected by the political and social environment, which is still dominated by tensions and disputes.

“This affects the classification of the Tunisian economy by international financing structures, which makes it difficult to obtain loans to finance development projects and create job opportunities,” she explained.

Jannat further pointed to the importance of overcoming the “uncertainty” in the country, in an attempt to provide an environment capable of attracting foreign investment.



Saudi Aramco Signs Second Phase of Its Jafurah Gas Field

This picture shows Aramco tower (C) at the King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) in Riyadh on April 16, 2023. (AFP via Getty Images)
This picture shows Aramco tower (C) at the King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) in Riyadh on April 16, 2023. (AFP via Getty Images)
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Saudi Aramco Signs Second Phase of Its Jafurah Gas Field

This picture shows Aramco tower (C) at the King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) in Riyadh on April 16, 2023. (AFP via Getty Images)
This picture shows Aramco tower (C) at the King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) in Riyadh on April 16, 2023. (AFP via Getty Images)

Saudi Arabia's state oil company Aramco said it has signed contracts for the second phase of the expansion of its Jafurah gas field and the third phase of expanding its main gas network.

The awarded contracts are worth more than $25 billion, and will target sales gas production growth of more than 60% by 2030, compared to 2021 levels.

Aramco President and CEO Amin H. Nasser said the contract awards "demonstrate our firm belief in the future of gas as an important energy source, as well as a vital feedstock for downstream industries. The scale of our ongoing investment at Jafurah and the expansion of our Master Gas System underscores our intention to further integrate and grow our gas business to meet anticipated rising demand."

"This complements the diversification of our portfolio, creates new employment opportunities, and supports the Kingdom’s transition towards a lower-emission power grid, in which gas and renewables gradually displace liquids-based power generation. To get where we are today, a lot of hard work, innovation and a strong ‘can do’ spirit has been demonstrated by teams across our vast network of suppliers and service providers, who have joined Aramco on this journey to build and expand our world-class energy infrastructure,” he added.

According to Aramco, the Company has awarded 16 contracts, worth a combined total of around $12.4 billion, for phase two development at Jafurah. The work will involve construction of gas compression facilities and associated pipelines, expansion of the Jafurah Gas Plant including construction of gas processing trains, and utilities, sulfur and export facilities. It will also involve construction of the Company’s new Riyas Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) fractionation facilities in Jubail — including NGL fractionation trains, and utilities, storage and export facilities — to process NGL received from Jafurah.

Another 15 lump sum turnkey contracts, worth a combined total of around $8.8 billion, have been awarded to commence the phase three expansion of the Master Gas System, which delivers natural gas to customers across the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The expansion, being conducted in collaboration with the Ministry of Energy, will increase the size of the network and raise its total capacity by an additional 3.15 billion standard cubic feet per day (bscfd) by 2028, through the installation of around 4,000km of pipelines and 17 new gas compression trains.

An additional 23 gas rig contracts worth $2.4bn have also been awarded, along with two directional drilling contracts worth $612 million. Meanwhile, 13 well tie-in contracts at Jafurah, worth a total of $1.63bn, have been awarded between December 2022 and May 2024.

Progress at Jafurah

The Jafurah unconventional gas field is estimated to contain 229 trillion standard cubic feet of raw gas and 75 billion Stock Tank Barrels of condensate. Phase one of the Jafurah development program, which commenced in November 2021, is progressing on schedule with initial start-up anticipated in the third quarter of 2025. Aramco expects total overall lifecycle investment at Jafurah to exceed $100 billion and production to reach a sustainable sales gas rate of two billion standard cubic feet per day by 2030, in addition to significant volumes of ethane, NGL and condensate.