DP World to Build Port, Logistics Park in Indonesia

Work on the projects is expected to begin in the third quarter of 2021. Asharq Al-Awsat
Work on the projects is expected to begin in the third quarter of 2021. Asharq Al-Awsat
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DP World to Build Port, Logistics Park in Indonesia

Work on the projects is expected to begin in the third quarter of 2021. Asharq Al-Awsat
Work on the projects is expected to begin in the third quarter of 2021. Asharq Al-Awsat

DP World, the leading provider of smart supply chain logistics, alongside its partner Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec (CDPQ), a global investment group, have signed a long-term agreement with Indonesia’s leading conglomerate Maspion Group to start the construction of an international container port and industrial logistics park in Gresik.

Work on the projects is expected to begin in the third quarter of 2021, with a total investment of up to $1.2 billion, enhancing East Java’s position as a key trade gateway for Indonesia.

The signing ceremony was held on Saturday in the presence of Suhail Al Mazrouei, UAE Minister of Energy and Infrastructure, and Luhut Binsar Pandjaitan, Indonesia’s Coordinating Minister for Maritime and Investment Affairs, in Jakarta at the ''Indonesia-Emirates Amazing Week 2021'' which was held under the theme ''Building Path Towards Economic Recovery''.

The signatories of the formal agreements were Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem, Group Chairman and CEO of DP World, and Chairman and CEO of Maspion Group Dr. Alim Markus.

Under the agreement, a joint venture company will be established between DP World and CDPQ’s global investment platform and Maspion Group, the first of its kind in the Indonesian transportation sector involving a foreign direct investor (FDI) partner and a private sector Indonesian company.

DP World Maspion East Java will become the sole operator of a modern international container port with design capacity of up to three million twenty-foot equivalent units (TEU).

DP World and CDPQ will also work with Maspion Group to develop an integrated industrial and logistics park, adjacent to the Container Terminal, with an initial land area of 110 hectares with scope for future expansion.

The Park will provide world-class trade environment for domestic and international businesses to help drive economic growth and create jobs.



IMF Expects Middle East Economies to Rebound to 6.6% Growth in 2027

Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) attends a press conference at the IMF/World Bank 2026 Spring Meetings in Washington, D.C., US, April 16, 2026. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz
Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) attends a press conference at the IMF/World Bank 2026 Spring Meetings in Washington, D.C., US, April 16, 2026. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz
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IMF Expects Middle East Economies to Rebound to 6.6% Growth in 2027

Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) attends a press conference at the IMF/World Bank 2026 Spring Meetings in Washington, D.C., US, April 16, 2026. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz
Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) attends a press conference at the IMF/World Bank 2026 Spring Meetings in Washington, D.C., US, April 16, 2026. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz

The International Monetary Fund expects the economies of the Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan to rebound to growth of 6.6 percent in 2027, following a projected contraction of 1.3 percent this year, amid the economic fallout from the regional war and disruptions to energy production and trade, which have affected countries across the region to varying degrees.

Jihad Azour, the IMF's director for the Middle East and Central Asia, said economies directly affected by the conflict are facing severe pressures, while other economies in the region, along with most countries in the Caucasus and Central Asia, have shown greater resilience.

He explained that the path of the recovery will depend largely on how quickly energy production and trade return to normal and on countries’ ability to maintain macroeconomic stability.

The forecasts come after the economies of the Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan grew by 3.3 percent in 2025, illustrating the scale of the shock expected this year before a strong rebound next year.

Azour stressed, however, that the overall projections mask significant disparities among the region’s economies and that the recovery will not be uniform across countries.

Oil Exporters and Importers

Azour said oil-exporting countries directly affected by disruptions to energy production and trade will experience a marked contraction in 2026, although higher oil prices will provide some support to their fiscal and external positions.

A gradual recovery in production and trade is expected to drive a strong rebound in GDP growth in 2027, although output levels will remain below the trajectory projected before the outbreak of the conflict.

By contrast, economic activity in the region’s oil-importing countries has remained relatively resilient during 2026 and is expected to continue doing so. Workers’ remittances, tourism revenues, favorable financial conditions and government support have helped cushion the immediate impact of the shock, although the policy space available to governments is narrowing.

The IMF expects inflation in these economies to rise moderately in 2026 before gradually easing thereafter.

The Chinese-flagged container shipping vessel Hui Fa transits the Gulf of Oman on October 13, 2026. (Photo by AFP)

Lower Inventories, Greater Risks

Azour noted that the impact of the energy shock has been less severe than initial estimates suggested, thanks to surpluses accumulated before the war, production by non-Gulf countries, alternative transportation routes, adjustments in demand and drawdowns from inventories.

He cautioned, however, that these factors have provided time for adjustment but are not sustainable resources. Available inventories have declined and spare production capacity has narrowed, leaving markets more vulnerable to larger price increases should disruptions recur.

Azour identified a prolonged war as the most significant risk to the outlook, warning that further disruptions to energy production, shipping routes or critical infrastructure would weaken economic activity among Gulf oil exporters, increase inflationary pressures and exacerbate fiscal and external strains across the region.

He also warned that tighter global financial conditions could weaken demand, raise borrowing costs and increase pressure on currencies, particularly in economies with substantial sovereign debt-financing needs or a heavy reliance on external financing.

Low-income and fragile economies remain the most vulnerable to these risks because of their dependence on food imports and limited fiscal space, at a time when official development assistance is also declining.

Call for Targeted Support and Rebuilding Fiscal Buffers

Azour urged policymakers to prioritize price stability and fiscal sustainability, using monetary policy as the first line of defense when inflationary pressures emerge, complemented by prudent fiscal policy, particularly in countries with limited financial resources.

He stressed the importance of rebuilding fiscal buffers to withstand future shocks by strengthening domestic revenues, improving spending efficiency and developing stronger fiscal frameworks. He cautioned against broad-based subsidies, favoring instead temporary and targeted cash assistance for the groups most affected, helping keep the cost of intervention within budgetary limits.

Over the longer term, Azour emphasized the importance of strong institutions, credible monetary frameworks and central bank independence, alongside greater trade diversification, deeper regional integration and a stronger capacity to adopt new technologies, including artificial intelligence, to boost productivity and support growth.

Azour noted that the IMF has approved approximately $48 billion in financing for countries in the region since 2020. During fiscal year 2026, it also carried out around 437 technical assistance and capacity-building projects in 31 countries.

The IMF is scheduled to release its full regional report in Dubai on October 22, providing a more detailed assessment of economic developments and policy priorities.


Gold Rebounds from One-week Low as Dollar Slips

Gold bracelets and necklaces on display for sale at a gold shop in Istanbul's Grand Bazaar (AFP)
Gold bracelets and necklaces on display for sale at a gold shop in Istanbul's Grand Bazaar (AFP)
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Gold Rebounds from One-week Low as Dollar Slips

Gold bracelets and necklaces on display for sale at a gold shop in Istanbul's Grand Bazaar (AFP)
Gold bracelets and necklaces on display for sale at a gold shop in Istanbul's Grand Bazaar (AFP)

Gold prices climbed 1% on Thursday, rebounding from a one-week low hit in the previous session as the US dollar eased, while investors assessed the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate increase this month after a hot inflation report.

Spot gold rose 1% to $4,146.74 per ounce by ‌0501 GMT, after hitting ‌its lowest since October 7 on Wednesday. ‌US ⁠gold futures for December ⁠delivery gained 1.5% to $4,167.30.

The dollar slipped after scaling an 18-month peak overnight. A softer dollar makes greenback-priced bullion more affordable for buyers overseas.

"What we're seeing here is just the symptoms of a market uncertain about US interest rate policy, and that is resulting in a bit of volatility," said Kyle Rodda, senior ⁠financial market analyst at Capital.com.

"We're coming up to ‌a really critical level for ‌gold, which is just below the $4,000 level. If we see, again, some ‌really strong data, then there's a view that the Fed ‌will have to hike relatively urgently, then that will be the level of focus."

US consumer prices accelerated in September as the cost of gasoline surged. Traders are pricing in about a 29% chance of ‌a rate hike later this month, compared with 22% before the data, according to CME's FedWatch ⁠Tool.

San Francisco ⁠Fed President Mary Daly said the US central bank will probably need to increase short-term interest rates further, though she signaled no need for a hike at the October 27-28 meeting. Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said there's time to wait and see before any more action.

Although gold is viewed as an inflation hedge, higher interest rates reduce its appeal because it does not pay interest.

Market focus now turns to the Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales data due at 1230 GMT.

Among other metals, spot silver gained 0.7% to $56.01, platinum rose 1% to $1,608.20 and palladium climbed 1.3% to $1,108.14.


IMF Plans Mission to Lebanon in November

A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, DC, US, November 24, 2024. (Reuters)
A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, DC, US, November 24, 2024. (Reuters)
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IMF Plans Mission to Lebanon in November

A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, DC, US, November 24, 2024. (Reuters)
A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, DC, US, November 24, 2024. (Reuters)

IMF officials held good discussions with Lebanese authorities this week that will continue in coming weeks, with ‌IMF staff ‌to visit ‌the ⁠country in November, a ⁠senior IMF official said on Thursday.

Athanasios Arvanitis, deputy ⁠director of the ‌IMF's ‌Middle East and ‌Central Asia ‌Department, said the focus of the discussions had been ‌on the banking sector and ⁠ensuring ⁠that the Lebanese people had confidence in the system, Reuters reported.

Restoring debt sustainability was another key issue, Arvanitis said.