Bahrain Central Bank Expects Real GDP to Grow 3.1% in 2021

The Central Bank of Bahrain is seen in Manama, Oct. 27, 2013. (Reuters)
The Central Bank of Bahrain is seen in Manama, Oct. 27, 2013. (Reuters)
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Bahrain Central Bank Expects Real GDP to Grow 3.1% in 2021

The Central Bank of Bahrain is seen in Manama, Oct. 27, 2013. (Reuters)
The Central Bank of Bahrain is seen in Manama, Oct. 27, 2013. (Reuters)

Bahrain's Central Bank Governor, Rasheed Mohammed al-Maraj, said in an interview published on Sunday he expects the real gross domestic product to grow 3.1 percent in 2021.

Bahrain's annual real GDP growth reached 5.7 percent in the second quarter of 2021, pushed by the growth in the non-oil sector resulting from the recovery of the sectors most damaged by the coronavirus pandemic such as transportation and tourism.

The GDP is expected to continue to grow in the third and fourth quarters of 2021, Maraj said.

He noted that international bond issues denominated in US dollars were made with an amount of $4.5 billion during 2021. International bonds worth $1.475 billion were due during the same year.

The governor told local newspaper Albilad that foreign reserves increased to 1.63 billion dinars in September, and they were expected to keep growing because of the expected increase in revenues due to higher oil prices.



Oil Prices Rise as Concerns Grow over Supply Disruptions

Oil Prices Rise as Concerns Grow over Supply Disruptions
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Oil Prices Rise as Concerns Grow over Supply Disruptions

Oil Prices Rise as Concerns Grow over Supply Disruptions

Oil prices climbed on Tuesday reversing earlier declines, as fears of tighter Russian and Iranian supply due to escalating Western sanctions lent support.

Brent futures were up 61 cents, or 0.80%, to $76.91 a barrel at 1119 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 46 cents, or 0.63%, to $74.02.

It seems market participants have started to price in some small supply disruption risks on Iranian crude exports to China, said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

In China, Shandong Port Group issued a notice on Monday banning US sanctioned oil vessels from its network of ports, according to three traders, potentially restricting blacklisted vessels from major energy terminals on China's east coast.

Shandong Port Group oversees major ports on China's east coast, including Qingdao, Rizhao and Yantai, which are major terminals for importing sanctioned oil.

Meanwhile, cold weather in the US and Europe has boosted heating oil demand, providing further support for prices.

However, oil price gains were capped by global economic data.

Euro zone inflation

accelerated

in December, an unwelcome but anticipated blip that is unlikely to derail further interest rate cuts from the European Central Bank.

"Higher inflation in Germany raised suggestions that the ECB may not be able to cut rates as fast as hoped across the Eurozone, while US manufactured good orders fell in November," Ashley Kelty, an analyst at Panmure Liberum said.

Technical indicators for oil futures are now in overbought territory, and sellers are keen to step in once again to take advantage of the strength, tempering additional price advances, said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of research at Onyx Capital Group.

Market participants are waiting for more data this week, such as the US December non-farm payrolls report on Friday, for clues on US interest rate policy and the oil demand outlook.