Egypt Sees Budget Deficit Narrowing to 5.6% of GDP this Year

This picture taken on August 24, 2022 from the landmark Cairo Tower shows a night-time view of vehicles driving past lit-up billboards along the "October 6" highway running through the Zamalek district (R) of Egypt's capital Cairo to the Agouza district (L) in its twin-city of Giza. (AFP)
This picture taken on August 24, 2022 from the landmark Cairo Tower shows a night-time view of vehicles driving past lit-up billboards along the "October 6" highway running through the Zamalek district (R) of Egypt's capital Cairo to the Agouza district (L) in its twin-city of Giza. (AFP)
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Egypt Sees Budget Deficit Narrowing to 5.6% of GDP this Year

This picture taken on August 24, 2022 from the landmark Cairo Tower shows a night-time view of vehicles driving past lit-up billboards along the "October 6" highway running through the Zamalek district (R) of Egypt's capital Cairo to the Agouza district (L) in its twin-city of Giza. (AFP)
This picture taken on August 24, 2022 from the landmark Cairo Tower shows a night-time view of vehicles driving past lit-up billboards along the "October 6" highway running through the Zamalek district (R) of Egypt's capital Cairo to the Agouza district (L) in its twin-city of Giza. (AFP)

Egypt expects more progress on reducing its budget deficit this year and a foresees a decline in its debt ratio after currency devaluations caused it to rise last year, Finance Minister Mohamed Maait told a news conference on Monday.

The deficit was expected to narrow to 5.6% of gross domestic product (GDP) in the fiscal year that began on July 1, from 6.1% in 2021/22, he forecast. It would fall still further in 2023/24 to 5%.

The budget had a primary surplus of 1.3% last year, its fifth year of such surpluses, he added.

The debt-to-GDP ratio would fall to 82.5% this year from 87.4% last year and 84.6% in 2020/21. Maait had expected the ratio to fall last year, but devaluations in the first half of 2022 had added four percentage points to the total, he said.

The Egyptian pound weakened to 18.76 to the dollar as of June 30 from 15.66 pound on Jan. 19.

Egypt was continuing negotiations with the International Monetary Fund begun in March, Maait said, adding that the fund had not asked Egypt to reduce subsidies on bread as had been reported in some media.

The IMF last month said Cairo still needed to make "decisive progress" on fiscal and structural reform.



Gold Firms in Thin Trade as Investors Weigh Fed Outlook

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
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Gold Firms in Thin Trade as Investors Weigh Fed Outlook

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo

Gold prices firmed on Monday, although trading was thin due to the holiday season and as investors looked for cues on the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory for next year after it signaled gradual easing in its latest meeting.
Spot gold added 0.3% at $2,628.63 per ounce, as of 0941 GMT, trading in a narrow $16 range. US gold futures eased 0.1% to $2,643.10.
"(It's a) Quiet day with lower liquidity and limited data releases during the holiday season," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.
"We retain a constructive outlook for gold in 2025, targeting a move to $2,800/oz by mid-2025."
The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points on Dec. 18, although the central bank's predictions of fewer rate cuts in 2025 resulted in a decline in gold prices to their lowest level since Nov. 18 last week.
US consumer spending increased in November, supporting the Fed's hawkish stance, a sentiment that was also shared by San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly.
Higher interest rates dull non-yielding bullion's appeal.
"Presently, we are in a lull for Christmas week with the gold price trending sideways. Federal Reserve policy is clear with expectations of rising interest rates in the second half of the year," said Michael Langford, chief investment officer at Scorpion Minerals.
"The next big impact is the incoming presidency of (Donald) Trump and the initial presidential decrees that he might declare. This has the potential to add to market volatility and be bullish for gold prices."
Gold, often considered a safe-haven asset, typically performs well during economic uncertainties.
Spot silver rose 0.8% to $29.75 per ounce and platinum climbed 1.3% to $938.43. Palladium steadied at $920.53.