Gas Prices Soar as Indefinite Halt of Nord Stream 1 Kindles Winter Fears

View of pipe systems and shut-off devices at the gas receiving station of the Nord Stream 2 Baltic Sea pipeline in Lubmin, Germany, Sunday, Sept. 4, 2022. (dpa via AP)
View of pipe systems and shut-off devices at the gas receiving station of the Nord Stream 2 Baltic Sea pipeline in Lubmin, Germany, Sunday, Sept. 4, 2022. (dpa via AP)
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Gas Prices Soar as Indefinite Halt of Nord Stream 1 Kindles Winter Fears

View of pipe systems and shut-off devices at the gas receiving station of the Nord Stream 2 Baltic Sea pipeline in Lubmin, Germany, Sunday, Sept. 4, 2022. (dpa via AP)
View of pipe systems and shut-off devices at the gas receiving station of the Nord Stream 2 Baltic Sea pipeline in Lubmin, Germany, Sunday, Sept. 4, 2022. (dpa via AP)

Dutch and British wholesale gas prices soared on Monday morning, reversing most of a downward trend seen the previous week, after Russian gas deliveries to Germany via the Nord Stream 1 were suspended indefinitely over the weekend.

The British contract for day-ahead delivery sky-rocketed 200 pence, or 133% to 350 pence per therm by 0929 GMT, and the within-day contract gained 50 pence to 350 p/therm.

On the continent, the Dutch TTF day-ahead gas contract was up 54.52 euros, or 29% at 245 euros per megawatt hour (MWh).

Further out, Dutch gas for October, the European benchmark contract, gained 59 euros to 268 euros/MWh.

The British October contract was up 146 pence at 546 p/therm.

Prices reacted to a post-market close announcement on Friday from Russia's Gazprom that an oil leak in equipment of the Nord Stream 1 pipeline, which runs under the Baltic Sea to Germany, meant it would stay shut beyond last week's three-day maintenance shutdown.

"Our TTF day-ahead price view today is for prices to pare last week's losses as Europe braces itself for no Russian gas for the foreseeable future and exacerbates fears of a winter supply crunch," Refinitiv analyst Wayne Bryan said in a morning report.

Fundamental drivers were taking a backseat, with Russian rhetoric not supporting a restart of flows via Nord Stream 1 anytime soon, he added.

The Kremlin has repeatedly blamed Western sanctions for the shutdown.

"The market should rise a lot Monday, but the question is for how much and how long, and to what extent the market had already priced this in," analysts at Energi Danmark said in a note.

Europe is losing close to 1 billion cubic meters of natural gas supply per month due to the loss of Nord Stream 1, Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at ING said.

The latest move also increased nervousness about flows via Ukraine as well as the TurkStream pipeline, going forward, he added.

"What is clear is that the more Russia reduces gas flows to Europe, the less leverage they have over Europe," Patterson said.

Analysts at Sweden's SEB bank said they maintained a Russian gas flow scenario of 10-20% of normal capacity during the winter.

"This would partly maximize Russian geo- and energy security political pressure on the EU, and partly provide Moscow with valuable income," they added.

Anticipating rising market volatility, Finland and Sweden reacted immediately over the weekend by promising liquidity guarantees to energy companies.

European gas storages were 81.55% full as of Sept. 3, according to Gas Infrastructure Europe data.

In the European carbon market, the benchmark contract was down 3.49 euros at 74.40 euros a ton.



Alswaha: Saudi Arabia's Participation at WEF Strengthens Global Efforts in AI Technologies

Saudi Minister of Communications and Information Technology Eng. Abdullah Alswaha. SPA file photo
Saudi Minister of Communications and Information Technology Eng. Abdullah Alswaha. SPA file photo
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Alswaha: Saudi Arabia's Participation at WEF Strengthens Global Efforts in AI Technologies

Saudi Minister of Communications and Information Technology Eng. Abdullah Alswaha. SPA file photo
Saudi Minister of Communications and Information Technology Eng. Abdullah Alswaha. SPA file photo

Saudi Minister of Communications and Information Technology Abdullah Alswaha has underlined the Kingdom's pivotal role in driving the global agenda to enhance the digital economy, foster innovation, and leverage artificial intelligence (AI) to serve humanity and protect the planet.

In a statement to the Saudi Press Agency (SPA), he highlighted that the Kingdom's international standing is a result of the support and guidance of the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud.

The minister explained that Saudi Arabia's participation in the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, held from January 20 to 24, comes at a time when the world is transitioning from the digital age to the AI age.

This underscores the Kingdom's significant role in leading global efforts to promote innovation and utilize AI for the benefit of humanity.

He noted that the annual high-profile gathering provides a global platform to showcase the Kingdom's developmental, economic, and technological achievements under the framework of Saudi Vision 2030, made possible by the support of the Kingdom's leadership.

Alswaha said that Saudi Arabia is working in partnership with the international community to harness AI as a key tool for advancing sustainable development and achieving global goals, adding that these efforts aim to improve quality of life, support the digital economy, and create new job opportunities across various sectors, contributing to a sustainable and prosperous future for all.