OAPEC Says OPEC+ Decision is Correct and Came at Right Time

The Secretary-General of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC), Ali bin Sabt (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Secretary-General of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC), Ali bin Sabt (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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OAPEC Says OPEC+ Decision is Correct and Came at Right Time

The Secretary-General of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC), Ali bin Sabt (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Secretary-General of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC), Ali bin Sabt (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The Secretary-General of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC), Ali bin Sabt, said the OPEC+ decision to cut oil production is correct and was taken at the right time.

In a press statement issued by OAPEC on Saturday, bin Sabt confirmed that the "decision took into account the uncertainty surrounding the performance of the global economy," as its growth rate is expected to drop by about three percent during 2023.

Last week, OPEC+ agreed to cut two million barrels per day of its output, saying it was necessary to respond to rising interest rates in the West and a weaker global economy.

He explained that the decision came in line with the successful approach taken by OPEC+ in taking proactive steps to avoid any oil market imbalances, especially on the demand and supply sides.

The Sec-Gen pointed out that the main objective of the decision is to ensure stability and balance in the global oil market and bring oil prices to levels acceptable to all market actors.

OAPEC includes Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, and the United Arab Emirates.

Markets worldwide are facing sharp volatility due to increased uncertainty in the global economy, which gives the dollar strength as a haven and increases the cost of its denominated commodities of other currencies.

Oil prices dropped with the rise of the dollar, which reached its highest level in 20 years, amid a decline in oil prices from the highest levels achieved last March at $147 per barrel, while it is currently trading at less than $100 per barrel.

Oil prices tumbled more than three percent on Friday as global recession fears and weak oil demand, especially in China, exceeded the support it received from the large cut to the OPEC+ supply target.

Brent crude futures fell $2.94, or 3.1 percent, to settle at $91.63 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell $3.50, or 3.9 percent, to $85.61.

Brent and WTI contracts fluctuated between positive and negative for most of Friday but fell for the week by 6.4 percent and 7.6 percent, respectively.

US core inflation posted its most significant annual increase in 40 years, reinforcing views that interest rates will remain higher for longer with the risk of a global recession.

The next US interest rate decision is due in early November.

A survey showed that US consumer sentiment improved steadily in October, but households' inflation expectations fell slightly.

The US dollar index rose by 0.8 percent. A stronger dollar reduces demand for oil by making fuel more expensive for buyers who use other currencies.

On Thursday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) lowered its forecast for oil demand for this year and warned of a possible global recession.

The Agency estimates that underproduction among the group means the possibility of reducing production by one million barrels per day.

The decision led to a dispute between OPEC+, specifically Saudi Arabia, and the US, which usually measures such decisions by their local impact ahead of the November midterms when the Democrats and Republicans prepare for elections.

Oil prices were also supported by a sharp decline in US distillate inventories, although US crude oil inventories are more significant than expected.



Iraq Oil Output Exceeds 5 million bpd

Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
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Iraq Oil Output Exceeds 5 million bpd

Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)

Iraq produces more than 5 million barrels of oil per day (bpd), Oil Minister Basim Mohammed told state news agency INA on Saturday.

According to Reuters, Iraq is pushing for a higher OPEC production quota as the economic fallout from the Iran war and new investment by oil majors increase pressure on Baghdad to boost output, potentially putting it at odds with the producer group.

The conflict has hit Iraq particularly hard, forcing major export cuts and depriving the state of oil revenue, which accounted for 88% of government income last year.


IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
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IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)

Central bankers around the world would need to consider any slowdown in AI-driven growth as they assess steps in their fight against inflation, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Friday.

Georgieva said concerns about dependence on the AI investment boom and high valuations were impacting markets around the world.

"Things are going up and down, and this is likely to continue," she told an audience at IMF headquarters in Washington, adding that the volatility would complicate the job of central banks at a time when risks to price stability had been growing.

A steep rout in technology stocks on Thursday rippled through markets on fears that ⁠the Democrats' victory ⁠in the US midterm elections would increase regulatory scrutiny of AI and slow the data center build-out, sending investors to the safety of bonds.

The political jitters are hitting an AI trade already on shaky footing due to worry about return on massive spending on AI-related infrastructure, with the meltdown spurring margin calls and spooking retail investors and hedge ⁠funds alike.

Georgieva said the AI investment boom was lifting growth in some countries, helping to offset a negative oil-supply shock triggered by the war in the Middle East, but it was also adding to inflationary pressures and financial stability concerns.

The IMF last month flagged significant growth and financial stability risks from a potential ending of the AI investment boom, among other factors, including a prolonged Middle East war. At the time, it warned that a steep drop in AI investment could lead to a sharp fall in asset prices, ultimately cutting global GDP ⁠by 1.1% ⁠by 2028, including a 1.8% drop in US output.

Georgieva did not repeat the downside forecast on Friday, but acknowledged the recent market volatility.

"Should there be a slowdown in the AI-driven growth impulse, it would need to be factored in as central banks assess the necessary steps in the fight against stubborn inflation," she said.

Democrats are planning to unleash a flood of new legislation targeting artificial intelligence systems and data-center development when they take control of the US Congress in January, Reuters reported on Friday, citing congressional aides and advocates.

That would mark a sharp shift from the Republican-led Congress, where lawmakers largely focused on promoting AI development and declined to pass legislation restricting the technology.


World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
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World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)

World food prices edged lower in October as weaker import demand contributed to monthly declines in cereal, dairy and meat prices, but were still nearly 6% higher than a year earlier, the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization said on Friday.

The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks monthly changes in international prices for a basket of food commodities, ‌averaged 133.9 points ‌in October, down from a revised ‌135.6 ⁠in September.

The index ⁠was 5.9% higher than a year earlier, but remained 16.4% below its March 2022 peak.

FAO's cereal price index fell 4.5% from September and was 12.6% lower than a year ago, as wheat and maize quotations declined. Wheat prices eased on weak import demand ⁠and improved production prospects, especially in Argentina.

"Expectations of ‌easing constraints on Black ‌Sea export flows added to the downward pressure on prices, ‌although continued disruptions to Black Sea logistics limited the decline," ‌FAO said in a statement.

Maize prices also eased after reaching a three-year high in September, pressured by the US harvest, expectations of ample supplies in South America and renewed ‌prospects of easing tensions in the Black Sea region.

Vegetable oil prices edged up 0.3%, ⁠as ⁠higher soybean and sunflower oil prices more than offset a fall in rapeseed oil prices.

Sugar prices rose 6.6%, their fourth straight monthly increase, to the highest level since December 2024, after rainfall disrupted harvesting in Brazil. They were now 28.8% above a year ago.

The dairy index fell 1.1%, as lower butter and cheese prices linked to ample supplies and subdued demand outweighed gains in milk powder.

The meat index declined 1.2%, while still slightly above its year-earlier level, as ovine and bovine meat prices fell.