Saudi Budget Expected to Reveal Shift from Deficit to Surplus for First Time in 8 Years

The surplus from the country’s general budget would be directed to boost government reserves and support national funds. (SPA)
The surplus from the country’s general budget would be directed to boost government reserves and support national funds. (SPA)
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Saudi Budget Expected to Reveal Shift from Deficit to Surplus for First Time in 8 Years

The surplus from the country’s general budget would be directed to boost government reserves and support national funds. (SPA)
The surplus from the country’s general budget would be directed to boost government reserves and support national funds. (SPA)

The Saudi cabinet is expected to approve the news state budget on Wednesday. 

Experts told Asharq Al-Awsat the budget would reflect the start of a new financial phase, with the end of the deficit that has continued since 2014.  

They explained that the surplus from the country’s general budget would be directed to boost government reserves and support national funds, while emphasizing the success of the government’s financial reforms.  

Fadl Al-Buainain, member of the Shura Council, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the budget for the coming year is expected to register the highest figures during the current decade, with the start of a new financial phase in which the surpluses begin to be harvested.  

He expected this year’s surplus to reach 90 billion riyals ($24 billion), compared to an actual deficit of 73 billion riyals ($19.4 billion) in 2021.  

According to a preliminary statement, revenues for the current year are expected to reach 1.222 trillion riyals ($325.8 billion), and expenditures 1.132 trillion riyals ($301.8 billion), he revealed.  

He added that the government succeeded in completing its financial reforms, achieving fiscal balance, ending the deficit, and focusing on strategic spending according to a disciplined vision that achieves stability, despite the difficult geopolitical and economic conditions in the world.  

Dr. Salem Bajaja, professor of economics at the University of Jeddah, told Asharq Al-Awsat that next year’s budget forecasts confirm the success of government policies.  

He added that the government would maintain financial support in relation to the volume of expenditures in the most important sectors, namely health and education, and the improvement and rehabilitation of public services to include all fields in the Kingdom.  



UN Predicts World Economic Growth to Remain at 2.8% in 2025

A vegetable vendor sits beside a bonfire on his handcart on a cold winter evening in New Delhi on January 6, 2025. (Photo by Sajjad HUSSAIN / AFP)
A vegetable vendor sits beside a bonfire on his handcart on a cold winter evening in New Delhi on January 6, 2025. (Photo by Sajjad HUSSAIN / AFP)
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UN Predicts World Economic Growth to Remain at 2.8% in 2025

A vegetable vendor sits beside a bonfire on his handcart on a cold winter evening in New Delhi on January 6, 2025. (Photo by Sajjad HUSSAIN / AFP)
A vegetable vendor sits beside a bonfire on his handcart on a cold winter evening in New Delhi on January 6, 2025. (Photo by Sajjad HUSSAIN / AFP)

Global economic growth is projected to remain at 2.8% in 2025, unchanged from 2024, held back by the top two economies, the US and China, according to a United Nations report released on Thursday.

The World Economic Situation and Prospects report said that "positive but somewhat slower growth forecasts for China and the United States" will be complemented by modest recoveries in the European Union, Japan, and Britain and robust performance in some large developing economies, notably India and Indonesia.

"Despite continued expansion, the global economy is projected to grow at a slower pace than the 2010–2019 (pre-pandemic) average of 3.2%," according to the report by the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs.

"This subdued performance reflects ongoing structural challenges such as weak investment, slow productivity growth, high debt levels, and demographic pressures," Reuters quoted it as saying.

The report said US growth was expected to moderate from 2.8% last year to 1.9% in 2025 as the labor market softens and consumer spending slows.

It said growth in China was estimated at 4.9% for 2024 and projected to be 4.8% this year with public sector investments and a strong export performance partly offset by subdued consumption growth and lingering property sector weakness.
Europe was expected to recover modestly with growth increasing from 0.9% in 2024 to 1.3% in 2025, "supported by easing inflation and resilient labor markets," the report said.

South Asia is expected to remain the world’s fastest-growing region, with regional GDP projected to expand by 5.7% in 2025 and 6% in 2026, supported by a strong performance by India and economic recoveries in Bhutan, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka, the report said.

India, the largest economy in South Asia, is forecast to grow by 6.6% in 2025 and 6.8% in 2026, driven by robust private consumption and investment.
The report said major central banks are likely to further reduce interest rates in 2025 as inflationary pressures ease. Global inflation is projected to decline from 4% in 2024 to 3.4% in 2025, offering some relief to households and businesses.
It calls for bold multilateral action to tackle interconnected crises, including debt, inequality, and climate change.
"Monetary easing alone will not be sufficient to reinvigorate global growth or address widening disparities," the report added.