Saudi Economy Grows by 8.8% in Third Quarter

Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)
Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)
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Saudi Economy Grows by 8.8% in Third Quarter

Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)
Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)

The General Authority for Statistics announced on Sunday that Saudi Arabia’s economy grew by 8.8 percent in the third quarter of 2022.

This growth was driven by the rise of oil-related activity by 14.2 percent, and non-oil activities by 6 percent, while government activities recorded a growth of 2.5 percent on an annual basis.

In the quarterly comparison, the seasonally adjusted real GDP grew by 2.1 percent on a quarterly basis, as oil activities grew by 4.5 percent, government activities by 1.5 percent, while non-oil activities decreased by 0.5 percent, on a quarterly basis.

The General Authority for Statistics noted that GDP at current prices amounted to 1.036 trillion riyals ($275.53 billion) in the third quarter, with crude petroleum and natural gas activities contributing 35.2 percent, followed by government service activities, at a rate of 14.1 percent, then manufacturing activities, with the exception of oil refining, with a contribution of 7.8 percent.

In this context, Saudi Finance Minister Mohammad Al-Jadaan said that non-oil revenues contributed to covering 40 percent of the volume of government expenditures until the end of 2021, thanks to the new fiscal policy that seeks to curb dependence on volatile oil revenues.

Speaking during the Budget 2023 Forum, which kicked off on Sunday in Riyadh, the minister said: “There were great challenges, as the deficit 5 years ago amounted to 15 percent of the budget’s financial domestic product.”

“We had to withdraw SR1 trillion from reserves, and borrow an additional SR1 trillion from the markets, to cover the deficit,” he noted

He added that Saudi Arabia has achieved the goal of the Fiscal Balance Program, which is considered one of the most important economic reform programs within Vision 2030.

“Let us now move to the Financial Sustainability Program, which is based on financial planning, whether in terms of revenues or expenditures, for a period of three years, and in some sectors for ten years,” he said.

According to the minister, work achieved during the past years helped improve services and raise their efficiency.

He stressed that Saudi Arabia took proactive steps to set a ceiling on energy prices, while Saudi Aramco was supported with tens of billions to avoid exporting inflation to the Saudi economy.

According to Al-Jadaan, the government has pumped 20 billion riyals ($5.3 billion) to provide support for beneficiaries of social security, the Citizen Account, and livestock breeders, stressing that abundance was more important than rising prices during the inflation stage.

The Saudi minister underlined the need to empower the private sector, by promoting structural reforms and changing regulations, as well as providing a legislative environment that contributes to the development of the sector.

For his part, Faisal Al-Ibrahim, Minister of Economy and Planning, explained that the Saudi budget supported the implementation and achievement of Vision 2030. He stressed that one of the factors of success was long-term economic planning, coupled with the adequate financial strategies.

Al-Ibrahim touched on the role of development funds, which he said contributed to economic mobility and diversification and empowered the private sector.

The Minister of Economy and Planning added that the private sector was the government’s first strategic partner, and the most important axis in diversifying the sources of growth.

He explained that the private sector’s contribution to the Kingdom has now reached 43 percent, with the target of 65 percent by the end of 2030.

In a dialogue session entitled, “The Impact of Enabling Investment on Economic Growth,” Eng. Khaled Al-Falih, Minister of Investment, stated that the Saudi economy, despite the various world challenges, has achieved the highest growth among the Group of Twenty, reaching 10.3 percent in the first three quarters of the year.

He noted that the global economic total debt rate was increasing and exceeded 100 percent in many leading economies, while the Kingdom’s debt rate registered a decline of 25 percent.



Oil Gains Capped by Uncertainty over Sanctions Impact

FILE PHOTO: An oil pump jack is seen at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, May 3, 2017. REUTERS/Ernest Scheyder/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: An oil pump jack is seen at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, May 3, 2017. REUTERS/Ernest Scheyder/File Photo
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Oil Gains Capped by Uncertainty over Sanctions Impact

FILE PHOTO: An oil pump jack is seen at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, May 3, 2017. REUTERS/Ernest Scheyder/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: An oil pump jack is seen at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, May 3, 2017. REUTERS/Ernest Scheyder/File Photo

Oil prices crept higher on Wednesday as the market focused on potential supply disruptions from sanctions on Russian tankers, though gains were tempered by a lack of clarity on their impact.

Brent crude futures rose 16 cents, or 0.2%, to $80.08 a barrel by 1250 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude was up 26 cents, or 0.34%, at $77.76.

The latest round of US sanctions on Russian oil could disrupt Russian oil supply and distribution significantly, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its monthly oil market report on Wednesday, adding that "the full impact on the oil market and on access to Russian supply is uncertain".

A fresh round of sanctions angst seems to be supporting prices, along with the prospect of a weekly US stockpile draw, said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, Reuters reported.

"Tankers carrying Russian crude seems to be struggling offloading their cargoes around the world, potentially driving some short-term tightness," he added.

The key question remains how much Russian supply will be lost in the global market and whether alternative measures can offset the , shortfall, said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong.

OPEC, meanwhile, expects global oil demand to rise by 1.43 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2026, maintaining a similar growth rate to 2025, the producer group said on Wednesday.

The 2026 forecast aligns with OPEC's view that oil demand will keep rising for the next two decades. That is in contrast with the IEA, which expects demand to peak this decade as the world shifts to cleaner energy.

The market also found some support from a drop in US crude oil stocks last week, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute (API) figures on Tuesday.

Crude stocks fell by 2.6 million barrels last week while gasoline inventories rose by 5.4 million barrels and distillates climbed by 4.88 million barrels, API sources said.

A Reuters poll found that analysts expected US crude oil stockpiles to have fallen by about 1 million barrels in the week to Jan. 10. Stockpile data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) is due at 10:30 a.m. EST (1530 GMT).

On Tuesday the EIA trimmed its outlook for global demand in 2025 to 104.1 million barrels per day (bpd) while expecting supply of oil and liquid fuel to average 104.4 million bpd.

It predicted that Brent crude will drop 8% to average $74 a barrel in 2025 and fall further to $66 in 2026 while WTI was projected to average $70 in 2025, dropping to $62 in 2026.