Saudi Economy Grows by 8.8% in Third Quarter

Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)
Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)
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Saudi Economy Grows by 8.8% in Third Quarter

Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)
Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)

The General Authority for Statistics announced on Sunday that Saudi Arabia’s economy grew by 8.8 percent in the third quarter of 2022.

This growth was driven by the rise of oil-related activity by 14.2 percent, and non-oil activities by 6 percent, while government activities recorded a growth of 2.5 percent on an annual basis.

In the quarterly comparison, the seasonally adjusted real GDP grew by 2.1 percent on a quarterly basis, as oil activities grew by 4.5 percent, government activities by 1.5 percent, while non-oil activities decreased by 0.5 percent, on a quarterly basis.

The General Authority for Statistics noted that GDP at current prices amounted to 1.036 trillion riyals ($275.53 billion) in the third quarter, with crude petroleum and natural gas activities contributing 35.2 percent, followed by government service activities, at a rate of 14.1 percent, then manufacturing activities, with the exception of oil refining, with a contribution of 7.8 percent.

In this context, Saudi Finance Minister Mohammad Al-Jadaan said that non-oil revenues contributed to covering 40 percent of the volume of government expenditures until the end of 2021, thanks to the new fiscal policy that seeks to curb dependence on volatile oil revenues.

Speaking during the Budget 2023 Forum, which kicked off on Sunday in Riyadh, the minister said: “There were great challenges, as the deficit 5 years ago amounted to 15 percent of the budget’s financial domestic product.”

“We had to withdraw SR1 trillion from reserves, and borrow an additional SR1 trillion from the markets, to cover the deficit,” he noted

He added that Saudi Arabia has achieved the goal of the Fiscal Balance Program, which is considered one of the most important economic reform programs within Vision 2030.

“Let us now move to the Financial Sustainability Program, which is based on financial planning, whether in terms of revenues or expenditures, for a period of three years, and in some sectors for ten years,” he said.

According to the minister, work achieved during the past years helped improve services and raise their efficiency.

He stressed that Saudi Arabia took proactive steps to set a ceiling on energy prices, while Saudi Aramco was supported with tens of billions to avoid exporting inflation to the Saudi economy.

According to Al-Jadaan, the government has pumped 20 billion riyals ($5.3 billion) to provide support for beneficiaries of social security, the Citizen Account, and livestock breeders, stressing that abundance was more important than rising prices during the inflation stage.

The Saudi minister underlined the need to empower the private sector, by promoting structural reforms and changing regulations, as well as providing a legislative environment that contributes to the development of the sector.

For his part, Faisal Al-Ibrahim, Minister of Economy and Planning, explained that the Saudi budget supported the implementation and achievement of Vision 2030. He stressed that one of the factors of success was long-term economic planning, coupled with the adequate financial strategies.

Al-Ibrahim touched on the role of development funds, which he said contributed to economic mobility and diversification and empowered the private sector.

The Minister of Economy and Planning added that the private sector was the government’s first strategic partner, and the most important axis in diversifying the sources of growth.

He explained that the private sector’s contribution to the Kingdom has now reached 43 percent, with the target of 65 percent by the end of 2030.

In a dialogue session entitled, “The Impact of Enabling Investment on Economic Growth,” Eng. Khaled Al-Falih, Minister of Investment, stated that the Saudi economy, despite the various world challenges, has achieved the highest growth among the Group of Twenty, reaching 10.3 percent in the first three quarters of the year.

He noted that the global economic total debt rate was increasing and exceeded 100 percent in many leading economies, while the Kingdom’s debt rate registered a decline of 25 percent.



Saudi Energy Minister Says Kingdom Remains Reliable, Flexible Supplier

Saudi Arabia's Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman al-Saud attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
Saudi Arabia's Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman al-Saud attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
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Saudi Energy Minister Says Kingdom Remains Reliable, Flexible Supplier

Saudi Arabia's Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman al-Saud attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
Saudi Arabia's Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman al-Saud attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman seized the spotlight at a high-level dialogue session held during the 2026 St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, breaking a strategic silence that had become a focus of questions and a gauge for global market expectations.

Speaking on Thursday, he delivered carefully calibrated messages to the energy sector, stressing that the world urgently needs stability in energy markets and declaring with confidence that the Kingdom is a flexible energy supplier, was, and will remain so under all circumstances.

In his remarks during a special session at the forum, where the Kingdom is taking part as “main guest of honor” as the two countries mark the centenary of diplomatic relations, Prince Abdulaziz acknowledged that current geopolitical events in the Middle East were distracting attention and obstructing focus on Saudi Arabia’s strategic priorities, foremost among them the goals of Vision 2030.

He described the situation as a source of considerable frustration.

Even so, he sent a strong message of reassurance to global markets, saying in a firm tone that it was their duty, and that of every Saudi citizen, to defy this difficult environment and continue to pursue their ambitions.

The Kingdom has the capability and confidence to address challenges and demonstrate its economic and operational resilience, he added.

He pointed to what he described as the success of Saudi Arabia’s infrastructure and logistics system in turning tragedies into opportunities, and in managing the Hajj season with unprecedented success despite the surrounding regional turmoil.

On the partnership with Moscow, the Saudi Energy Minister announced the signing of 30 new cooperation agreements between the private sectors in the two countries across fields including industry, education, tourism, and energy.

Saudi Arabia's Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman al-Saud attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)

Prince Abdulaziz said the Kingdom will sign agreements across various fields and that there are no limits or restrictions on joint cooperation.

He added that the strategic mindset in Riyadh and Moscow had moved beyond being merely “producers of oil or gas” to “manufacturing and supplying energy in its comprehensive sense,” including hydrocarbons and the export of electrons.

In an explanation of his earlier position, which had kept oil traders on edge, Prince Abdulaziz said he had deliberately remained silent during the period that witnessed one of the most severe global energy crises.

A minister is required to maintain his composure and not panic, because panic makes a person lose control of the narrative, he explained.

He moved on to express his intention to maintain silence, because silence amid many unknowns is a message and a humble acknowledgment that reality is changing quickly, and is a form of respect for oneself and for others.

He concluded his assessment of current market conditions with a pointed remark reflecting the scale of uncertainty clouding the global scene.

“The situation we’re going through now does make a point here, which is the world needs every molecule of energy, and every form of stabilization to this energy, because without energy security, you will lose sustainability,” the Saudi minister said.

“There are so many moving parts, there are so many unknowns, there are things that you think have become a reality, but then you wake up in the next morning and the reality is no longer a reality.”

Novak says the market faces a 12 million barrel shortfall

For his part, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak described the current crisis in the international oil market as unprecedented, with no parallel even in the 20th century.

Novak said Russia would deal with the Western sanctions imposed on it with flexibility and complete calm, given its position as a key supplier of energy resources to the international market.

He warned of a large, hidden shortfall in global supply, estimated at about 12 million barrels per day that are currently not reaching the market.

He said global markets had not yet felt the full impact of the energy crisis caused by the Middle East conflict because the situation was being managed through withdrawals from surplus reserve inventories.

Novak cautioned that if the conflict continues and Gulf states delay increasing production, the market will face an acute and immediate physical shortage of supplies within a few months.

In his analysis of the producers’ alliance, Novak stressed that the OPEC+ agreement remains a key driver of energy market direction.

He said its members control more than 50% of global production and more than 40% of total exports, adding that the agreements have proven highly efficient at curbing volatility and reducing market fluctuations.

Novak said current data gave countries an opportunity to accelerate compliance, describing the existing approach as a “standard and normal course” that allows countries that had previously exceeded their quotas for any reason to implement compensation plans for their earlier overproduction more quickly.

On Russia, Novak said technical analytical calculations to determine Russia’s maximum production ceiling are continuing in cooperation with the companies concerned, and would be discussed with partners by the end of 2026.

He expected Moscow to effectively reach its assigned production levels this year under the agreed quotas, despite current output being slightly lower than at the start of the year because several refineries were undergoing “emergency and unscheduled maintenance.”

Expectations of strong demand

OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said the organization expects robust oil demand growth and would not change its estimates despite the conflict in the Middle East and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

“Despite all the commentary out ⁠there that oil demand is declining, we have not registered signs of that yet,” Al Ghais said.

“We still see robust demand growth at 1.2 million barrels a day for this year,” he said.

He also said investment in the oil sector should not be affected by "one-off events" that may occur anywhere in the world.

Egyptian Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources Karim Badawi told the session that renewable energy is a top priority to reduce dependence on natural gas. He said Egypt is working hard to increase electricity generation from wind and hydropower to secure a sustainable energy mix.

Markets hold their breath before the Sunday marathon

The remarks made at the forum on Thursday carry major significance as a prelude and practical indicator of the direction of leading producers ahead of decisive oil-related meetings next Sunday.

That day will see three consecutive meetings, beginning with OPEC’s administrative conference, followed by the 66th meeting of the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, or JMMC, which is responsible for monitoring compliance levels, consensus, and the approval of current compensation plans.

Investors are closely watching the 41st ministerial meeting of the OPEC+ alliance. Informed sources said the alliance is likely to approve an additional gradual increase in its targets for next July.


OPEC Secretary General: Oil Demand to Remain Robust, No Change to Estimates

OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
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OPEC Secretary General: Oil Demand to Remain Robust, No Change to Estimates

OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais attends the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg on June 4, 2026. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)

OPEC expects robust oil demand growth and is not changing its estimates, Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said on Thursday at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, despite the Middle East conflict and closure of the ⁠Strait of Hormuz.

"Despite ⁠all the commentary out there that oil demand is declining, we have not registered signs of that yet," ⁠Reuters quoted Al Ghais as saying.

"We still see robust demand growth at 1.2 million barrels a day for this year," he said.

He also said that investments in the oil industry should not be affected by "one-off events" that happen ⁠anywhere ⁠in the world.

"We need to invest well ahead of time to be prepared for the demand that we see in the future," he said.


Egypt Plans to List More State-owned Companies, Replace In-kind Subsidies with Cash

Headquarters of the Central Bank of Egypt in downtown Cairo (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Headquarters of the Central Bank of Egypt in downtown Cairo (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Egypt Plans to List More State-owned Companies, Replace In-kind Subsidies with Cash

Headquarters of the Central Bank of Egypt in downtown Cairo (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Headquarters of the Central Bank of Egypt in downtown Cairo (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Egypt aims to list four to five state-owned companies on the Cairo stock exchange before the end of the year as part of its state asset sales strategy, Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said on Thursday.

The government also plans to shift from in-kind subsidies to cash subsidies during the coming financial year, as part of efforts to improve the targeting of social support, Madbouly said at a press conference, Reuters reported.

It does not aim to reduce the monetary value of subsidies but rather ensure they reach those entitled to receive them, he added.

More than 60 million people receive subsidised essential commodities through state-run outlets, while at least 10 million others benefit from subsidised bread.