Saudi GDP Exceeds $1 Tln, Shows Kingdom’s Economy Is on Right Track

Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan speaks at the second Financial Sector Conference in Riyadh on Wednesday. (Bashir Saleh)
Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan speaks at the second Financial Sector Conference in Riyadh on Wednesday. (Bashir Saleh)
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Saudi GDP Exceeds $1 Tln, Shows Kingdom’s Economy Is on Right Track

Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan speaks at the second Financial Sector Conference in Riyadh on Wednesday. (Bashir Saleh)
Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan speaks at the second Financial Sector Conference in Riyadh on Wednesday. (Bashir Saleh)

The size of Saudi Arabia’s GDP, which reached $1.7 trillion in 2016, demonstrated that the Kingdom’s economy is on the right path as it advances the implementation of Vision 2030.

Vision 2030 is a unique transformative blueprint that aims to diversify and double the size of the Saudi economy, so it becomes one of the largest world economies. It also looks to establish a sustainable future in all fields.

Speaking at the second Financial Sector Conference in Riyadh, Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan affirmed that the Kingdom has achieved remarkable results within the comprehensive development process, whose features were drawn by Vision 2030.

The progress took place under the directives of Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman bin Abdulaziz and the direct supervision of Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Crown Prince and Prime Minister.

Al-Jadaan opened on Wednesday the two-day conference organized by the partners of the Financial Sector Development Program, including the Ministry of Finance, Saudi Central Bank and Capital Market Authority.

Relationship with Iran

Al-Jadaan stressed that the re-establishment of Saudi-Iranian diplomatic relations paves the way for discussing opportunities for cooperation and investment between the two countries.

The minister noted that Iran is a neighboring country, and there are no obstacles that prevent normalization. He added that the Kingdom is committed to the principles of the recently concluded agreement with Iran.

Bank assets

According to Al-Jadaan, top achievements since the launch of Vision 2030 include Saudi Arabia becoming one of the fastest-growing financial markets worldwide.

Saudi banking assets have increased by 37% since 2019, reaching SAR3.6 trillion ($960 billion) by the end of last year. Moreover, the number of financial technology companies has risen from 20 in 2019 to 147 in 2022.

The minister added that the financial sector holds the key to the prosperity of the Kingdom’s traditional and digital infrastructure, and that ambitious goals have been set for the development of the financial sector.

International institutions

“The Kingdom is a reliable investor partner. In this regard, five international financial institutions have joined the local First Traders’ Program, where the Public Investment Fund issued the first-ever $3 billion international green bond in October; the second issue of $5.5 billion was completed last month, boosting the Kingdom’s successes,” said Al-Jadaan.

“Also, the National Development Fund (NDF) last year injected some $4 billion to support domestic and international investors to implement projects in the industrial, energy, mining, and logistics sectors,” he added.

E-Payments

The minister revealed that the percentage of electronic payments in the retail sector amounted to about 57% of the total transactions.

Furthermore, Al-Jadaan said that the number of small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) has nearly doubled since 2016 as the share of bank financing going to SMEs reached 7.9 % and 45 % of SMEs are owned by Saudi women.

Al-Jadaan explained that the Kingdom today has strong economic and financial foundations, with an average inflation rate of 2.5 % in 2022. This figure is one of the lowest among G20 countries.

In addition, non-oil revenues reached 35% of expenditures in 2022.

GDP growth in 2022 reached 8.7 %, supported by a healthy growth in non-oil GDP, which amounted to 5.4 %.

Localization rate

Al-Jadaan also talked about the high rates of localization in the private sector.

“The Female participation rate in the labor market is now 37 %. Consumption is strong and home ownership has grown to a record 62 %, while real estate lending quadrupled since 2018,” he said.

Al-Jadaan said that the Saudi Privatization Program has a pipeline of over 200 projects in 17 targeted sectors, creating tremendous opportunities for investors.



Saudi Arabia Raises $12 Billion in International Bonds Amid Strong Demand

Skyscrapers are seen in King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters).
Skyscrapers are seen in King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters).
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Saudi Arabia Raises $12 Billion in International Bonds Amid Strong Demand

Skyscrapers are seen in King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters).
Skyscrapers are seen in King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Reuters).

Saudi Arabia has raised $12 billion from global debt markets in its first international bond issuance of the year, attracting bids worth nearly $37 billion. This demonstrates strong investor appetite for Saudi debt instruments.

The issuance comes just two days after the approval of the 2025 annual borrowing plan by Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan. The plan estimates financing needs for the fiscal year at SAR 139 billion ($37 billion). The funds will be used to cover the projected SAR 101 billion ($26.8 billion) budget deficit for 2025, as well as repay SAR 38 billion ($10 billion) in principal debt obligations due this year.

The National Debt Management Center (NDMC) announced on Tuesday that the issuance includes three tranches: $5 billion in three-year bonds, $3 billion in six-year bonds, and $4 billion in ten-year bonds. Total demand for the bonds reached $37 billion, exceeding the issuance size by three times and reflecting robust investor interest.

The NDMC emphasized that this issuance aligns with its strategy to broaden the investor base and efficiently meet Saudi Arabia’s financing needs in global debt markets.

According to IFR, a fixed-income news service, the initial price guidance for the three-year bonds was set at 120 basis points above US Treasury yields. The six-year and ten-year bonds were priced at 130 and 140 basis points above the same benchmark, respectively.

Strong demand allowed Saudi Arabia to lower yields on the shorter-term bonds, further demonstrating investor confidence. Economists noted that the pricing above US Treasuries is attractive in the current market, showcasing trust in Saudi Arabia’s economic stability and financial strategies.

International confidence

Economic experts view this successful bond issuance as a testament to international confidence in Saudi Arabia’s robust economy and financial reforms. Dr. Mohammed Al-Qahtani, an economics professor at King Faisal University, said the move underscores Saudi Arabia’s commitment to diversifying financing tools both domestically and internationally. He added that the funds would support Vision 2030 projects, reduce pressure on domestic resources, and attract strong international investor interest.

The issuance strengthens Saudi Arabia’s ability to meet financial needs, expand its investor base, and establish a global financing network, he said, noting that it also facilitates entry into new markets, enabling the Kingdom to accelerate infrastructure projects and capital expenditures.

Dr. Ihsan Buhulaiga, founder of Joatha Business Development Consultants, described the 2025 budget as expansionary, aimed at meeting the financing needs of economic diversification programs. He stressed that the budget deficit is an “optional” one, reflecting a deliberate choice to prioritize Vision 2030 initiatives over immediate fiscal balance.

Buhulaiga explained that the Kingdom’s approach balances two options: limiting spending to available revenues, which would avoid deficits but delay Vision 2030 initiatives, or borrowing strategically to fund Vision 2030 goals. He said that the annual budget is just a component of the larger vision, which requires sustained funding until 2030.

He continued that Saudi Arabia’s fiscal space and creditworthiness allow it to borrow internationally at competitive rates, explaining that this flexibility ensures financial sustainability without compromising stability, even during challenges like the COVID-19 pandemic.

Saudi Arabia’s debt portfolio remains balanced, with two-thirds of its debt domestic and one-third external. As of Q3 2024, public debt stood at approximately SAR 1.2 trillion, below the 30% GDP ceiling. According to the Ministry of Finance, the budget deficit is expected to persist through 2027 but remain below 3% of GDP.

Buhulaiga highlighted the importance of capital expenditure, which reached SAR 186 billion in 2023 and is projected to rise to SAR 198 billion in 2024, a 6.5% increase.

He emphasized the government’s pivotal role in economic diversification, supported by investments from the Public Investment Fund (PIF), the National Development Fund, and its subsidiaries, including the Infrastructure Fund.

The PIF recently announced a $7 billion Murabaha credit facility, facilitated by Citigroup, Goldman Sachs International, and JPMorgan. Meanwhile, the NDMC arranged a $2.5 billion revolving credit facility earlier in January, compliant with Islamic principles, to address budgetary needs.

In November, Moody’s upgraded Saudi Arabia’s credit rating to Aa3, aligning with Fitch’s A+ rating, both with a stable outlook. S&P Global assigns the Kingdom an AA-1 rating with a positive outlook, reflecting a high ability to meet financial obligations with low credit risk.

The IMF estimates Saudi Arabia’s public debt-to-GDP ratio at 26.2% in 2024, describing it as low and sustainable. This is projected to rise to 35% by 2029 as foreign borrowing continues to play a key role in financing deficits.