IMF Warns: MENA Region Faces 4 Challenges

International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks at a news conference during the World Bank/IMF Spring Meetings at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) headquarters in Washington, Thursday, April 13, 2023. (AP)
International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks at a news conference during the World Bank/IMF Spring Meetings at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) headquarters in Washington, Thursday, April 13, 2023. (AP)
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IMF Warns: MENA Region Faces 4 Challenges

International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks at a news conference during the World Bank/IMF Spring Meetings at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) headquarters in Washington, Thursday, April 13, 2023. (AP)
International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks at a news conference during the World Bank/IMF Spring Meetings at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) headquarters in Washington, Thursday, April 13, 2023. (AP)

Growth of the real GDP in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is projected to slow this year to 3.1 percent from 5.3 percent in the previous year, announced Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Jihad Azour.

Azour added that inflation is forecast to remain unchanged at around 15 percent this year before declining modestly in 2024.

In a videoconference attended by Asharq Al-Awsat, Azour explained that the MENA countries face four challenges this year, which are dealing with the effects of inflation, global uncertainty, international financing difficulties, and economic reform developments.

Azour explained that dealing with inflation may require increasing interest rates, which affects economic growth. At the same time, uncertainty and geopolitical tensions pervade all global horizons, and their consequences fall on everyone's shoulders.

Concerning oil-importing countries, the rise in energy prices increases the risks, especially with the increase in the cost of financing and the difficulty in obtaining it. As for the oil-exporting countries, the most critical challenge is growing and diversifying revenues.

Meanwhile, Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Taiani said Thursday that his country wants the IMF to start disbursing a loan to Tunisia without conditions.

During a press conference with his Tunisian counterpart, Tajani vowed to work on Tunisia's behalf in negotiations with the IMF, repeating Italy's proposal that the loan be delivered in two tranches and not be fully dependent on all reforms being in place.

"But not utterly conditional on... the conclusion of the reform process. Start financing, encourage the reforms," he told reporters.

Last week, President Kais Saied rejected IMF "diktats", which asked Tunisia to carry out economic reforms and subsidy cuts as terms for the stalled bailout.

Saeed said he would "not hear diktats" from abroad, warning that the subsidies could lead to unrest.

European leaders feared the collapse of the Tunisian economy could increase the influx of immigrants to European shores.

Tunisia's debts amount to about 80 percent of its gross domestic product, and it reached a preliminary agreement with the Fund in mid-October for a new $1.9 billion loan to help overcome the financial crisis.

However, talks reached a dead end after Tunisia failed to implement a reform program to restructure more than 100 indebted state-owned companies and lift subsidies on some essential goods and services.



Saudi Investment Minister: Our Economy Offers Major Opportunities for French Companies

Saudi Minister of Investment Fahad Al-Saif and France’s Minister of Economy, Finance and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty, Roland Lescure. Asharq Al-Awsat
Saudi Minister of Investment Fahad Al-Saif and France’s Minister of Economy, Finance and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty, Roland Lescure. Asharq Al-Awsat
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Saudi Investment Minister: Our Economy Offers Major Opportunities for French Companies

Saudi Minister of Investment Fahad Al-Saif and France’s Minister of Economy, Finance and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty, Roland Lescure. Asharq Al-Awsat
Saudi Minister of Investment Fahad Al-Saif and France’s Minister of Economy, Finance and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty, Roland Lescure. Asharq Al-Awsat

Saudi Minister of Investment Fahad Al-Saif said Monday that French foreign direct investment in Saudi Arabia has reached €16.3 billion, noting that France is the Kingdom’s fourth-largest source of FDI.

He added that the presence of French companies in Saudi Arabia now spans more than 18 sectors.

Speaking at the opening of the French-Saudi Investment Roundtable hosted in Paris, which was also attended by Roland Lescure, France’s Minister of Economy, Finance and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty, Al-Saif said French companies hold around 650 investment licenses in the Kingdom.

This, he said, reflects the extent of French business activity and the growing opportunities available within the Saudi economy.

The meeting is being held as part of the official visit of Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman to France. Organized by the Ministry of Investment, it brings together government officials, business leaders, and chief executives from major companies in both countries.

Discussions focus on opportunities to expand partnerships in sectors including industry, transport and logistics, artificial intelligence, and digital infrastructure, among others. New agreements and memoranda of understanding are also expected to be signed.

Energy Tops Areas of Cooperation

The Investment Minister noted that the oil and gas sector is among the industries most likely to benefit from strengthened Saudi-French relations, given the long-standing presence of French companies in the Kingdom’s energy sector.

Cooperation also extends across the broader energy landscape, including renewable energy, hydrogen, and grid infrastructure, while French firms continue to expand their footprint in energy, industry, transport, construction, water, and services.

Energy remains one of the most prominent areas of French involvement in Saudi Arabia, alongside growing opportunities in new sectors closely linked to the Kingdom’s economic diversification drive under Vision 2030.

From Energy and Industry to Artificial Intelligence

The investment partnership between the two countries is increasingly expanding beyond traditional sectors into the new economy, particularly artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, culture, creative industries, and mining.

The inclusion of these sectors on the roundtable agenda reflects both sides’ efforts to transform established economic ties into investment partnerships in some of the fastest-growing industries, capitalizing on rising demand in the Saudi market and the technological and industrial capabilities of French companies.

French firms are already active in sectors such as transport and logistics, water and environmental services, hospitality, and healthcare. As the Saudi economy continues to expand, additional opportunities are emerging in advanced technology and manufacturing.


IEA: Not Discussing 2nd Release of Strategic Oil Reserves

Strategic oil reserve tanks in Texas (Reuters)
Strategic oil reserve tanks in Texas (Reuters)
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IEA: Not Discussing 2nd Release of Strategic Oil Reserves

Strategic oil reserve tanks in Texas (Reuters)
Strategic oil reserve tanks in Texas (Reuters)

The International Energy Agency is not discussing a second release of strategic oil reserves at this time, IEA chief Fatih Birol told Reuters on Monday.

"Not for the time being," Birol said on the sidelines of an energy conference in Norway ⁠when asked whether ⁠the agency was discussing a second release of strategic reserves.

The IEA is always following the markets "very, very closely", and 80% of strategic reserves remain ⁠after a 400 million-barrel release in March, Birol added.

On gas, Birol expressed concerns Europe's current levels of gas reserves, which are around 62% according to transparency platform AGSI.

The European Union has a target of filling levels to 80% by December 1.

"The stocks are ⁠lower ⁠than historical averages, and we are still hoping to get gas from the Middle East, and at the same time ... Europe has committed itself to nullify the Russian gas imports," he said.

"If we have a harsh winter in Europe, we may have some challenges."


Fewer Than 20 Ships Transited Strait of Hormuz at the Start of the Week

Vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, August 24, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer
Vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, August 24, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer
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Fewer Than 20 Ships Transited Strait of Hormuz at the Start of the Week

Vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, August 24, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer
Vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, August 24, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer

Fewer than 20 commodity vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz at the start of the week, shipping data showed on Monday, as Iranian and US blockades restrict traffic through the chokepoint for energy shipments.

Four vessels crossed the strait on Sunday, initial data from shiptracker Kpler showed by 0228 GMT, with 13 on Saturday. The figures could change as some ships had switched off transponders on their way through.

That compared with Friday's figure of 16 transits, with two empty very large crude carriers (VLCCs) entering the Gulf with the tracking devices switched off, one heading to Iraq and the other to ⁠Bahrain, the data ⁠showed.

A VLCC carrying 2 million barrels of Emirati crude exited the strait on Thursday.

Eight very large gas carriers transited the strait over the past three days, the data showed, according to Reuters, six of them entering empty while the others carried liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) loaded from Iran and exited the Gulf.

Overall traffic volumes remained suppressed ⁠in the week to August 21, as vessels aborted transit plans or switched routes through the strait's north after attacks, the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) agency said in a report.

A total of 89 vessels exited the strait while 103 entered over the seven-day period, the report, based on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data, showed.

"Traffic remains well below normal levels, with AIS-detected transits approximately 90% below pre-conflict baselines and declining since the June 24 to June 26 peak," it added.

Tanker traffic, at 45% of the total, continued ⁠to dominate movement ⁠through the strait, the agency said. Of these, 56% were tankers that carry crude oil, oil products or chemicals while LPG carriers accounted for a further 24%.

Since July 6, the UKMTO has reported 23 incidents of projectile strikes, leading to bridge, engine-room, and structural damage across vessels in the strait and its vicinity.

A total of 24 commodity vessels sailed through the Bab el-Mandeb strait on Sunday, down from Saturday's figure of 32, which was an increase from 22 on Friday, Kpler data showed.

Two VLCCs entered the Red Sea on Saturday with one carrying Iraqi Basrah crude and the other empty, it showed.