OPEC: We Do Not Target Oil Prices, IEA Should be 'Very Careful'

A US Chevron oil tanker is seen at a port in Venezuela. (Reuters)
A US Chevron oil tanker is seen at a port in Venezuela. (Reuters)
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OPEC: We Do Not Target Oil Prices, IEA Should be 'Very Careful'

A US Chevron oil tanker is seen at a port in Venezuela. (Reuters)
A US Chevron oil tanker is seen at a port in Venezuela. (Reuters)

The International Energy Agency (IEA) should be "very careful" about discouraging investment in the oil industry, which was vital for global economic growth, announced OPEC Secretary General Haitham al-Ghais.

Ghais warned that such statements could lead to oil market volatility in the future.

He said that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, including Russia, a group known as OPEC+, were not targeting oil prices but focusing on market fundamentals.

He warned that finger-pointing and misrepresenting the actions of the oil exporters and their allies was "counter-productive."

IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol has been critical of the OPEC+ group's surprise announcement of production cuts of 1.66 million barrels per day (bpd) from May until the end of 2023.

In an interview with Bloomberg on Wednesday, Birol said OPEC should be careful about pushing oil prices up as that would translate into a weaker global economy.

If anything would lead to future volatility, it is the IEA's repeated calls to stop investing in oil, knowing that all data-driven outlooks envisage the need for more of this precious commodity to fuel global economic growth and prosperity in the decades to come, especially in the developing world, added Birol.

On Thursday, Ghais said blaming oil for inflation was "erroneous and technically incorrect" and that the IEA's repeated calls to stop investing in oil is what would lead to market volatility.

Saudi Arabia also blamed the IEA and its initial predictions for a 3 million bpd fall in Russian production on the back of the Ukraine invasion last year for Washington's decision to sell oil from its reserves.

Russian Deputy Prime Alexander Novak said on Thursday that the OPEC+ group of leading oil producers saw no need for further output cuts despite lower-than-expected Chinese demand but that the organization can constantly adjust policy if necessary.

He stressed that Russia reached its targeted output this month after announcing cuts of 500,000 bpd, or five percent of its oil production, until the year-end.

Russia is part of the OPEC+ group of oil-producing countries that announced a combined reduction of around 1.16 million bpd earlier this month, a surprise decision the US described as unwise.

Novak added that Russian oil and gas condensate production is expected to decline to around 515 million tons (10.3 million bpd) this year from 535 million tons in 2022, broadly in line with a Reuters report this week.

Asked if the group needed to lower its output further because of falling oil prices, Novak replied: "Well, no, of course not because we only made a decision (on the reduction) a month ago, and it will come into force from May for those countries that have joined."

He added that OPEC+ did not expect a shortage in oil supplies in global markets after production cuts, as expected by the International Energy Agency.

Russia maintained its oil production and exports by increasing sales outside of Europe following the severe Western sanctions over the Ukraine war.

Novak said that Russia would this year divert to Asia 140 million tons of oil and oil products that previously would have headed to Europe. He also said Russia would supply 80 million tons and 90 million tons of oil and oil products to the West in 2023.

Meanwhile, oil prices rose on Thursday, recouping earlier losses fueled by fears of a recession in the US and increased Russian oil exports, which offset the impact of OPEC production cuts.

New orders for key US-manufactured capital goods fell more than expected in March, and shipments declined.

US Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showing US crude inventories fell last week by 5.1 million barrels to 460.9 million barrels helped to limit the price fall, far exceeding analyst forecasts of a 1.5 million drop in a Reuters poll.

OPEC's share of India's oil imports fell fastest in 2022/23 to the lowest in at least 22 years, as intake of cheaper Russian oil surged, data from industry sources show.

Sources said that oil loading from western Russian ports in April would be the highest since 2019, exceeding 2.4 million bpd, despite Moscow's pledge to reduce production.

Moscow has also increased fuel supplies to Türkiye, Asia, Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America.



Saudi Industrial Production Falls 23.5% in August

A factory operated by Saudi Arabia’s East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry. (Company photo)
A factory operated by Saudi Arabia’s East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry. (Company photo)
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Saudi Industrial Production Falls 23.5% in August

A factory operated by Saudi Arabia’s East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry. (Company photo)
A factory operated by Saudi Arabia’s East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry. (Company photo)

Saudi Arabia’s industrial production index fell 23.5% in August 2026 from a year earlier, weighed down by declines in mining and quarrying and manufacturing activity, data from the General Authority for Statistics showed on Sunday.

On a monthly basis, the index dropped 14% from July, amid declines in both main activities.

The data showed that the oil activities index fell 33.6% year on year, while the non-oil activities index rose 1.2%, reflecting divergent performances between the two sectors during the month.

By economic activity, the mining and quarrying index declined 35.8% year on year and 24% from July. The manufacturing index fell 8.8% annually and 3.2% month on month.

The decline in manufacturing was driven by a 24.1% year-on-year drop in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products, and a 3.3% decrease in the manufacture of chemicals and chemical products.

Some industrial activities, however, recorded annual growth. The index for electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply rose 9.4%, while the index for water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities increased 7.4%.

On a monthly basis, the non-oil activities index rose 1.4%, while the oil activities index fell 21.5%, according to the authority’s preliminary data.

 


Iraqi Central Bank Says Traders Will Not Bear the Difference Under New Dollar Exchange Rate

Employees walk outside the Central Bank of Iraq headquarters in Baghdad (Reuters)
Employees walk outside the Central Bank of Iraq headquarters in Baghdad (Reuters)
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Iraqi Central Bank Says Traders Will Not Bear the Difference Under New Dollar Exchange Rate

Employees walk outside the Central Bank of Iraq headquarters in Baghdad (Reuters)
Employees walk outside the Central Bank of Iraq headquarters in Baghdad (Reuters)

The Central Bank of Iraq announced on Saturday that traders will not be charged the difference under the new dollar exchange rate for transfers whose purchases and funding were confirmed at the previous rate before the seventh of this month.

Iraqi markets have experienced disruption following the central bank’s unexpected decision to raise the dollar exchange rate in the draft federal budget for fiscal year 2027 from 1,320 dinars to 1,520 dinars per dollar.

In a statement issued on Saturday regarding traders’ transfers awaiting execution, the Central Bank of Iraq said it was monitoring banking transactions carried out before and after the exchange rate adjustment and verifying that banks comply with the applicable instructions and regulations, in order to protect the rights of traders and customers.

The central bank urged companies and traders whose transfers to finance imports were due for execution before the seventh of this month to contact their banks and confirm that the transfers had been processed. It noted that it had previously strengthened banks’ accounts to cover these transfers, monitor any delays, and ensure that traders were not charged exchange rate differences on transfers confirmed as purchased and funded at the previous rate.

The bank stressed that “if execution is delayed or additional amounts are demanded, a complaint can be submitted through the Central Bank of Iraq’s complaints platform for follow-up with the bank concerned.” It added that it was coordinating with banks and electronic payment companies to introduce special foreign trade cards for small-scale traders to facilitate import financing, in accordance with the mechanisms and regulations set by the central bank.

The exchange rate adjustment has pushed the dollar’s price in Iraq’s parallel market to 1,665 dinars and led to a sharp increase in the prices of essential goods and electrical appliances.


Thailand Prepares to Host IMF-World Bank Meetings

The conference logo of the IMF-World Bank Group Annual Meetings 2026 is displayed on a wall backdrop inside a meeting room at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center in Bangkok on October 9, 2026. (Photo by Chanakarn LAOSARAKHAM / AFP)
The conference logo of the IMF-World Bank Group Annual Meetings 2026 is displayed on a wall backdrop inside a meeting room at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center in Bangkok on October 9, 2026. (Photo by Chanakarn LAOSARAKHAM / AFP)
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Thailand Prepares to Host IMF-World Bank Meetings

The conference logo of the IMF-World Bank Group Annual Meetings 2026 is displayed on a wall backdrop inside a meeting room at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center in Bangkok on October 9, 2026. (Photo by Chanakarn LAOSARAKHAM / AFP)
The conference logo of the IMF-World Bank Group Annual Meetings 2026 is displayed on a wall backdrop inside a meeting room at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center in Bangkok on October 9, 2026. (Photo by Chanakarn LAOSARAKHAM / AFP)

Thailand is preparing to host the IMF–World Bank Annual Meetings in Bangkok from October 12–18, bringing together more than 15,000 participants from 191 countries, including central bank governors, economic policymakers and business leaders, for discussions on the world economy.

To ease traffic, Bangkok government offices will work from home on October 12, 14 and 15, while October 13 is an existing public holiday and October 16 has been declared a special government and ⁠bank holiday, with ⁠private companies and state enterprises asked to consider suitable arrangements.

Security has been tightened at the meeting venue in central Bangkok and 21 official hotels, according to the authorities.

About 500 Tourist Police officers will also help secure the ⁠venue, delegate hotels and tourist attractions through undercover deployments, patrols, drones and motorcade escorts coordinated with around 39 embassies, Tourist Police Bureau Commissioner Phongsiam Meekhanthong said.

Visiting leaders include Swiss President Guy Parmelin, making the first official visit to Thailand by a Swiss president in 22 years, and Singapore President Tharman Shanmugaratnam, the Thai Foreign Ministry said.

Participants’ spending could generate 1.05–2.25 billion baht for ⁠the ⁠Thai economy, according to the Thai Finance Ministry.

More than 320 electric vehicles will serve participants to cut carbon emissions, Reuters quoted the Thai Finance Ministry as saying.

Heavy to very heavy rain is forecast for Bangkok and surrounding provinces on October 10-11, potentially causing localized flooding, the Bangkok Metropolitan Administration warned.

This comes after parts of the city flooded two weeks ago following 320 mm of rain over three days.