Saudi Arabia Outperforms Goals Outlined in Vision 2030

King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Outperforms Goals Outlined in Vision 2030

King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial District in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia has outperformed some of the goals outlined in Vision 2030, such as female workforce participation which increased to 36 percent, ahead of the 2030 target of 30 percent, according to a recent report by PwC Middle East.

The Kingdom’s economic diversification plans are beginning to bear fruit across various sectors, the report said, with the share of the non-oil economy reaching 59 percent, and non-oil GDP increasing in 2022 by 15 percent in actual terms and 28 percent in nominal terms, compared to the pre-Vision baseline.

The report stressed that Riyadh found its way to recovery through the tourism sector and the economic initiatives, which are aimed at expansion, innovation and diversification, indicating that this positive outlook was due to high oil prices and strong balance sheets at the sovereign and institutional levels.

Richard Boxshall, PwC Partner and Chief Economist commented: “The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) as a whole is making good progress towards achieving its countries’ National Visions, with areas of common focus including non-oil diversification, improving infrastructure, advancing digitalization, creating competitive business environments and workforce nationalization targets for the private sector.”

He continued: “Most GCC countries are also advancing towards their sustainability objectives, such as investing in solar generation capacity. With COP28 on the horizon, we expect the momentum and reinvestments driving this transformation to increase.”

The report highlighted the speed with which the region moved in its endeavor to secure the recovery of the non-oil economy, even in the sectors most affected by the pandemic, namely hospitality, transportation, retail and wholesale trade.

In 2022, the tourism sector in five Gulf countries, namely Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain and Oman, recorded a decline of 8 percent compared to 2019 levels. However, by the last quarter of 2022, three of them, namely Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, recorded much higher levels than those registered in the same period in 2019.

PwC Middle East revealed that Saudi Arabia received almost 6 million visitors in the fourth quarter of 2022, up 47 percent compared to the same quarter in 2019.

“Saudi Arabia’s economy has shown great growth since the launch of Vision 2030... The Kingdom’s increased focus on diversity has enabled the country to lead its economic sustainability agenda on a larger scale,” said Faisal Al-Sarraj, partner and Saudi deputy country leader at PwC Middle East.

He added: “This only gives us more optimism that the future for the Kingdom expands beyond Vision 2030 and will continue to lead by example through innovative solutions and transformation.”



Oil Prices Set for Second Annual Loss in a Row, Stable Day on Day

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
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Oil Prices Set for Second Annual Loss in a Row, Stable Day on Day

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo

Oil prices were on track to end 2024 with a second consecutive year of losses on Tuesday, but were steady on the day as data showing an expansion in Chinese manufacturing was balanced by Nigeria targeting higher output next year.

Brent crude futures fell by 7 cents, or 0.09%, to $73.92 a barrel as of 1306 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude lost 4 cents, or 0.06%, to $70.95 a barrel.

At those levels, Brent was down around 4% from its final 2023 close price of $77.04, while WTI was down around 1% from where it settled on Dec. 29 last year at $71.65.

In September, Brent futures closed below $70 a barrel for the first time since December 2021, while their highest closing price of 2024 at $91.17 was also the lowest since 2021, as the impacts of a post-pandemic rebound in demand and price shocks from Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine began to fade.

According to Reuters, oil prices are likely to be constrained near $70 a barrel in 2025 as weak demand from China and rising global supplies are expected to cast a shadow on OPEC+-led efforts to shore up the market, a Reuters monthly poll showed on Tuesday.

A weaker demand outlook in China in particular forced both the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) to cut their oil demand growth expectations for 2024 and 2025.

With non-OPEC supply also set to rise, the IEA sees the oil market going into 2025 in a state of surplus, even after OPEC and its allies delayed their plan to start raising output until April 2025 against a backdrop of falling prices.

Investors will also be watching the Federal Reserve's rate cut outlook for 2025 after central bank policymakers earlier this month projected a slower path due to stubbornly high inflation.

Lower interest rates generally incentivise borrowing and fuel growth, which in turn is expected to boost oil demand.

Markets are also gearing up for US President-elect Donald Trump's policies around looser regulation, tax cuts, tariff hikes and tighter immigration, as well as potential geopolitical shifts from Trump's calls for an immediate ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war, as well as the possible re-imposition of the so-called "maximum pressure" policy towards Iran.

Prices were supported on Tuesday by data showing China's manufacturing activity expanded for a third straight month in December but at a slower pace, suggesting a blitz of fresh stimulus is helping to support the world's second-largest economy.

However, that was balanced out by potential for higher supply next year, as Nigeria said it is targeting national production of 3 million barrels per day (bpd) next year, up from its current level of around 1.8 million bpd.