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Experts to Asharq Al-Awsat: Saudi Arabia Playing its Responsible Role in Controlling Oil Market

Workers are seen at a Saudi Aramco facility. (SPA)
Workers are seen at a Saudi Aramco facility. (SPA)
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Experts to Asharq Al-Awsat: Saudi Arabia Playing its Responsible Role in Controlling Oil Market

Workers are seen at a Saudi Aramco facility. (SPA)
Workers are seen at a Saudi Aramco facility. (SPA)

Saudi Arabia announced on Monday its decision to extend the voluntary oil production cut of one million barrels per day until August. Saudi analysts told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Kingdom’s decision would reduce fluctuations in global oil prices and strengthen the efforts of the OPEC+ alliance to support, stabilize and control international markets.

Saudi Arabia’s decision was followed by a similar step by Russia, which also announced reducing its oil exports by 500,000 barrels per day in August.

Experts stressed the importance of voluntary price cuts to achieve price stability and protect producers and consumers alike, noting that the Saudi decision also limits the contraction of global economic growth.

Dr. Mohammad al-Sabban, former senior adviser to the Saudi Energy Minister, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Kingdom’s decision to extend the voluntary cut achieves stability in oil markets, which are witnessing great fluctuations. He also emphasized that Saudi Arabia was assuming a responsible role in controlling markets, in cooperation with oil-producing countries.

Al-Sabban underscored the importance of the voluntary cut in boosting the role of OPEC+ in the markets, as it confirms that the organization is seeking to achieve stability in the global oil markets.

Economist Dr. Fahd bin Jumaa said the Kingdom, with its recent decision, confirms that it will bear the loss of sales of one million barrels per day, out of concern for market stability.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, he said: “OPEC+ is making intense efforts to achieve its goals in stabilizing the oil markets, given the global economic situation...”

An official source in the Ministry of Energy said that the Kingdom would extend the voluntary cut of one million barrels per day, which began in July, for another month, adding that the cut could be extended beyond that period.

“The Kingdom’s production for the month of August 2023 will be approximately 9 million barrels per day,” Saudi state news agency SPA quoted an official source in the ministry as saying.

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman had previously stated that the cut could be “extendable.”

Shortly after Monday’s announcement, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said Moscow would cut its oil exports by 500,000 barrels per day in August.

Later on Monday, Algeria said it would cut oil output by an extra 20,000 barrels from Aug. 1-31 to support Saudi Arabia and Russia’s efforts to balance and stabilize oil markets, its energy ministry said.

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Business

IMF Says Gulf Buffers, Export Flexibility Can Absorb War Shock

IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack speaks during a press conference. (Reuters file)
IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack speaks during a press conference. (Reuters file)
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IMF Says Gulf Buffers, Export Flexibility Can Absorb War Shock

IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack speaks during a press conference. (Reuters file)
IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack speaks during a press conference. (Reuters file)

The International Monetary Fund said that the economic impact of the ongoing conflict on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states will depend on its duration, scope and intensity, with strong financial buffers and export flexibility expected to limit the fallout.

IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack noted that outcomes will vary by country, largely depending on geographic location and the ability to resume exports. She explained that higher oil prices could help some countries offset production losses either partially or fully, depending on how quickly export flows recover.

She pointed to the Gulf’s substantial sovereign buffers and solid economic foundations, built through years of structural reforms aimed at diversifying income and strengthening logistics infrastructure. These measures have improved the region’s resilience to external shocks.

The IMF’s assessment broadly aligns with recent analysis by ratings agency Standard & Poor’s, which highlighted Saudi Arabia’s East–West pipeline as a strategic alternative export route that reduces reliance on key maritime chokepoints.

Elevated oil prices may also compensate for declining output, while the region’s large financial reserves are expected to support a swift recovery once the conflict subsides.

Kozack also highlighted pressure on regional financial markets, with Gulf stock indices declining and bond spreads widening in line with global volatility driven by inflation concerns and rising geopolitical risks.

Economists broadly view the region’s ample financial assets and foreign reserves as a buffer that will support a quicker rebound. Lessons from past energy crises have also helped Gulf states develop more flexible financial and logistics systems.

Standard & Poor’s recently underscored Saudi Arabia’s strong fiscal position and stable credit rating, citing substantial financial buffers and prudent policies. It also noted that alternative export routes such as the East–West pipeline allow the Kingdom to bypass the Strait of Hormuz, reducing risks to trade and growth.

Inflation risk

At the global level, the IMF is closely monitoring disruptions to energy markets, warning that sustained price increases could drive inflation higher and slow economic growth.

Oil and gas prices have surged by more than 50 percent over the past month, with Brent crude rising above $100 per barrel. If maintained for a year, this could push global inflation up by about 40 basis points and reduce economic output by between 0.1 and 0.2 percent, according to the Fund.

The IMF has signaled it stands ready to support member states, although no requests for emergency financing have been received so far.

It remains in close contact with finance ministers and central bank governors as the conflict enters its third week with no clear end in sight.

Kozack added that central banks should closely monitor whether inflation pressures extend beyond energy prices and whether inflation expectations remain stable.

The Fund is expected to incorporate the impact of the conflict into its updated global economic forecasts, due in mid-April during its Spring Meetings with the World Bank.

Business

Italy in Talks with US, Azerbaijan, Algeria to Offset Loss of Gas from Qatar

A general view shows cisterns at the deposit of an oil site, in Rome on March 19, 2026. (Photo by Andreas SOLARO / AFP)
A general view shows cisterns at the deposit of an oil site, in Rome on March 19, 2026. (Photo by Andreas SOLARO / AFP)
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Italy in Talks with US, Azerbaijan, Algeria to Offset Loss of Gas from Qatar

A general view shows cisterns at the deposit of an oil site, in Rome on March 19, 2026. (Photo by Andreas SOLARO / AFP)
A general view shows cisterns at the deposit of an oil site, in Rome on March 19, 2026. (Photo by Andreas SOLARO / AFP)

Italy is talking to several countries, including the United States, Azerbaijan and Algeria, to secure gas supplies now that Iranian strikes on Qatar appear to have halted its exports for an extended period, Energy Minister Gilberto Pichetto Fratin said.

Iranian attacks have knocked out 17% of Qatar's liquefied natural gas (LNG) export capacity, causing an estimated $20 billion in lost annual revenue and ⁠threatening supplies to Europe ⁠and Asia, QatarEnergy's CEO told Reuters on Thursday.

"The very fact that Qatar's LNG plant that had been shut down was also bombed had a devastating impact on prices," Pichetto Fratin said on Friday attending ⁠an event in Milan.

Edison, an Italian unit of French power company EDF, has a long-term contract with QatarEnergy for the supply of 6.4 billion cubic meters of gas per year to Italy, nearly 10% of the country's annual gas consumption.

Qatar had already declared force majeure on gas exports earlier this month, flagging to Edison it would not be ⁠able ⁠to fulfill its contractual obligations concerning April.

The pause in supplies is likely be longer-lasting after its gas infrastructures were hit hard this week, QatarEnergy's CEO said.

Pichetto Fratin said on Friday that despite the disruption in supplies from the Middle East, Italy had agreed with the European Union that the bloc should not return to buying its gas from Russia.

Business

Shell: Repair of Second Unit at Pearl Facility in Qatar to Take About a Year

A digital price sign is seen at a Shell gasoline station in San Francisco, California, USA, 18 March 2026. EPA/JOHN G. MABANGLO
A digital price sign is seen at a Shell gasoline station in San Francisco, California, USA, 18 March 2026. EPA/JOHN G. MABANGLO
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Shell: Repair of Second Unit at Pearl Facility in Qatar to Take About a Year

A digital price sign is seen at a Shell gasoline station in San Francisco, California, USA, 18 March 2026. EPA/JOHN G. MABANGLO
A digital price sign is seen at a Shell gasoline station in San Francisco, California, USA, 18 March 2026. EPA/JOHN G. MABANGLO

Shell said on Friday that full repair of its train two at the Pearl GTL (gas-to-liquids) facility in Qatar would ⁠take around a ⁠year, confirming a statement to Reuters from QatarEnergy, after Iranian ⁠attacks earlier this week.

Shell said train one at the facility was not damaged, and its QatarEnergy LNG N(4), which Shell has ⁠a ⁠30% interest in and which equates to 2.4 MTPA of equity production, was not impacted.

Shell has a 100% interest in Pearl GTL in Qatar, which has capacity to process up to 1.6 billion cubic ⁠feet ⁠per day of wellhead gas, converting it into 140,000 bpd of gas-to-liquids.